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Can we clinch next week?

Awesomeness!!

By Awesomeness!!,
in Carolina Panthers

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Happy Panther Grand Master

Happy Panther

Posted
Posted

Wow that site says the 2-10 texans are still alive. Lol afc is a mess

 

I was trying to figure out how.

 

It looks like Baltimore has to go 0-4 and TX 4-0. However Baltimore owns the tiebreaker so there has to be a third team that eliminates Baltimore within the Division.

 

The Bengals can't go 6-10 since they already have 8 wins

 

Pittsburgh could but own a tiebreaker over TX as well. So they have to go 0-4 to finish at 5-11*.

 

So it has to be the Browns. They have to go exactly 2-2.

 

This would set up a three way tie at 6-10 for the last spot. The first tiebreaker gets rid of all but one in each division. Baltimore and Cleveland tied head to head and would both have 6 conference wins. So The browns would have to win on common games or SOV or SOS. They have a couple of games remaining that are common.

 

So Ravens are eliminated. The Browns and Houston had no head to head and would again have 6 conference wins each.

 

If the Browns lose to New England both teams would be 1-4 in common games. So Houston would have to win on SOV where they currently trail .417 to .448.

 

*I guess there could be a 4 way tie with Pittsburgh in the mix too same scenarios

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Boltergeist Newbie

Boltergeist

Posted
Posted

I was trying to figure out how.

 

It looks like Baltimore has to go 0-4 and TX 4-0. However Baltimore owns the tiebreaker so there has to be a third team that eliminates Baltimore within the Division.

 

The Bengals can't go 6-10 since they already have 8 wins

 

Pittsburgh could but own a tiebreaker over TX as well. So they have to go 0-4 to finish at 5-11*.

 

So it has to be the Browns. They have to go exactly 2-2.

 

This would set up a three way tie at 6-10 for the last spot. The first tiebreaker gets rid of all but one in each division. Baltimore and Cleveland tied head to head and would both have 6 conference wins. So The browns would have to win on common games or SOV or SOS. They have a couple of games remaining that are common.

 

So Ravens are eliminated. The Browns and Houston had no head to head and would again have 6 conference wins each.

 

If the Browns lose to New England both teams would be 1-4 in common games. So Houston would have to win on SOV where they currently trail .417 to .448.

 

*I guess there could be a 4 way tie with Pittsburgh in the mix too same scenarios

 

you're forgetting about Miami's involvement in the tiebreaker - provided that PIT or CLE end up winning a 6-10 North tiebreaker. Houston would advance on conference record since neither MIA, PIT, or CLE would have 6 AFC wins

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Boltergeist Newbie

Boltergeist

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Yep good point

 

The 6-10 scenario will probably have a West team in it, so that further muddies the waters. The scenario I found where the 6-10 Texans gets in involves 8 teams at 6-10 (HOU, BUF, MIA, NYJ, BAL, CLE, PIT, SD). NYJ, MIA, PIT, and BAL all get eliminated in divisional tiebreakers. Houston would then win over BUF, CLE, and SD on conference record. Tennessee and Jacksonville are irrelevant should they get to 6 wins as well, but if Oakland gets to 6, then they'd get the 6 slot, since they can match the Texans with 6-6 AFC record and an H2H win

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Happy Panther Grand Master

Happy Panther

Posted
Posted

The 6-10 scenario will probably have a West team in it, so that further muddies the waters. The scenario I found where the 6-10 Texans gets in involves 8 teams at 6-10 (HOU, BUF, MIA, NYJ, BAL, CLE, PIT, SD). NYJ, MIA, PIT, and BAL all get eliminated in divisional tiebreakers. Houston would then win over BUF, CLE, and SD on conference record. Tennessee and Jacksonville are irrelevant should they get to 6 wins as well, but if Oakland gets to 6, then they'd get the 6 slot, since they can match the Texans with 6-6 AFC record and an H2H win

 

I found one with 7 teams - same as yours without Buffalo

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