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A different way to interpret QB statistics

Brandon

By Brandon,
in Carolina Panthers

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Brandon Newbie

Brandon

Posted
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One's perception of reality and true reality are often quite different beasts from one another. Many times we judge players on the total summation of their statistics, the ranting or raving of the talking heads, or in some cases just based on what we really want a player to be in our minds. In no position is this effect more apparent then when it comes to the often controversial topic of quarterbacks. The most important attribute in a QB is often whether or not they are a consistently good impact on a team or not.

The best way to go about determining this is to look at each individual game, and use those stats (QB rating in this particular case) to extrapolate exactly how consistent some of these QB's were. This eliminates a few exceptionally good or bad games from skewing a whole season's worth of stats. Most importantly it keeps teams which are heavily run or pass biased from punishing or bolstering their quarterback's stats, because we tend to overlook some games because the end result with a full season's stats may just be too good to be true. Why does it matter? For years there have been players getting far too much or too little credit based on perception rather than reality, and this is merely a tool to help paint a clearer picture.

The stat weighting is as follows, if a quarterback produces a game with a QB rating of 70 or lower, they will have 2 points deducted from their final tally. The reasoning behind this is that 70 tends to be the difference between an average/mediocre performance and a negative performance. If said quarterback has a game with a QB rating in excess of 100, they will receive one point back to help balance out any bad games or to further enhance their standing as a good impact on a team. With injuries at the QB position being so impactful any QB who plays in all 16 games will receive a further 2 points. If a quarterback happens to miss one or more games their point total will be multiplied out until it is equivalent to having played 16 games in that season. However, any quarterback who fails to play in at least half of the games in a season will not be included. Without anymore waiting let's get onto the results:

1. Phillip Rivers (Chargers): 6.0pts (16 games 10-3)

2. Chad Pennington (Dolphins): 6.0pts (16 games, 8-2)

2. Aaron Rodgers (Packers): 6.0pts (16 games, 8-2)

4. Kurt Warner (Cardinals): 4.0pts (16 games 6-2)

5. Peyton Manning (Colts): 3.0pts (16 games, 7-3)

5. Matt Cassell (Chiefs): 3.0pts (16 games, 7-3)

7. Jake Delhomme (Panthers): 2.0pts (16 games, 6-3)

8. Tony Romo (Cowboys) 1.14pts (14 games 7-3)

9. Jay Cutler (Bears): 1.0pts (16 games, 5-3)

10. Donovan McNabb (Eagles): 0.0pts (16 games, 4-3)

11. Eli Manning (Giants): -1.0pts (16 games, 3-3)

12. Matt Schaub (Texans): -1.2pts (13 games 5-3)

13. Shaun HIll (49ers): -1.8pts (9 games 3-2)

14. Matt Ryan (Falcons): -2.0pts (16 games, 6-5)

15. Jason Campbell (Redskins): -2.0pts (16 games, 4-4)

16. Drew Brees (Saints): -3.0pts (16 games 7-6)

17. Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers): -4.0pts (16 games, 4-5)

17. Kerry Collins (Titans): -4.0pts (16 games, 4-5)

19. Trent Edwards (Bills): -4.6pts (14 games, 4-4)

20. David Garrard (Jaguars): -6.0pts (16 games, 4-6)

21. Kyle Orton (Broncos): -6.4pts (15 games 2-4)

22. Joe Flacco (Ravens): -7.0pts (16 games, 5-7)

23. Jamarcus Russell (Raiders): -9.6pts (15 games 3-6)

24. Marc Bulger (Rams): -9.6pts (15 games, 1-5)

25. Derek Anderson (Browns): -11.2pts (10 games, 1-4)

Tom Brady (Patriots): Null, sample size too small

Daunte Culpepper (Lions): Null, sample size too small

Matt Hasselbeck (Seahawks): Null, sample size too small

Carson Palmer (Bengals): Null, sample size too small

Sage Rosenfels (Vikings): Null, sample size too small

Josh Freeman (Buccaneers): Null, rookie

Mark Sanchez (Jets): Null, rookie

All told it's plain that while this isn't a measure of whether a QB is good or not, it will go a long way towards clearing up whether or not a quarterback is as good or bad as you thought.

By the way I will be putting out a preseason power ranking next week for those who are interested.

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joemac Grand Master

joemac

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By the way I will be putting out a preseason power ranking next week for those who are interested.

I know that I can probably speak for everyone around here when I say that I will be waiting with baited breath.

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carolinarolls Newbie

carolinarolls

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I know that I can probably speak for everyone around here when I say that I will be waiting with baited breath.

bated

as in abated meaning shortened or lessened.

we bait hooks for fish and all sorts of traps for all sorts of prey. We even visit bait shops but we do not bait our breath nor can we.

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