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Football Outsiders has us ranked #22 Week 1 DVOA

redbuddha

By redbuddha,
in Carolina Panthers

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redbuddha Newbie

redbuddha

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http://www.footballo...ats/teameff2012

Regular season totals, through Week 1Revised as of 9/11/2012

These are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings for 2012, measured by our proprietary Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) system that breaks down every single NFL play and compares a team's performance to a league baseline based on situation in order to determine value over average. (Explained further here.)

There are no opponent adjustments in VOA until the fourth week of the season, which is why stats are currently listed as VOA rather than DVOA.

DAVE is a formula which combines our preseason projection with current VOA to get a more accurate forecast of how a team will play the rest of the season. Right now, the preseason projection makes up 90 percent of DAVE.

OFFENSE and DEFENSE DVOA are adjusted based on strength of opponent as well as to consider all fumbles, kept or lost, as equal value. SPECIAL TEAMS DVOA is adjusted for type of stadium (warm, cold, dome, Denver) and week of season. WEIGHTED DVOA represents an attempt to figure out how a team is playing right now, as opposed to over the season as a whole, by making recent games more important than earlier games.

As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE.

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