Odds up to 77% we get the first pick over Denver

[Happy Panther]

W

Odds Carolina over Pittsburgh 0%

Carolina over Atlanta 45%

Denver over Houston 45%

Denver over San Diego 40%

Carolina Wins 2 0%

Carolina wins only Atlanta 45%

Carolina only wins Pittsburgh 0%

Carolina loses both 55%

Total 100%

Denver Wins 2 18%

Denver wins only Houston 27%

Denver only wins San Diego 22%

Denver loses both 33%

Total 100%

Carolina gets first pick

Carolina Loses 2 55%

Carolina wins 1 and Denver wins 1 22%

Carolina wins 2 and Denver wins 2 0%

Carolina wins 1 and Denver wins 2 8%

85%

[PandaMan]

I hope Luck declares, otherwise this means nothing

[PanthersPhan18]

I don't get it....

[David Duke Is a Bad Person]

IMO, 99.9% Carolina Panthers get the number 1 pick.

[MHS831]

77% sounds about right, even though I have no idea where the percentages for success are derrived. For example, Carolina beats Atlanta is given 45%. In a normal game, Carolina has about a 5% chance of winning, but if Atlanta beats New Orleans Monday night, then the Panthers are given much better odds because the game becomes meaningless to the Falcons. Carolina will have 10 days to prepare and Atlanta 6. Factored?

Personally I think the The Golden Calf of Bristol cult will bring energy to Mile High Stadium and he will beat Houston. I predict 23-17.

[Happy Panther]

77% sounds about right, even though I have no idea where the percentages for success are derrived.

judgmentally by me!

For example, Carolina beats Atlanta is given 45%. In a normal game, Carolina has about a 5% chance of winning, but if Atlanta beats New Orleans Monday night, then the Panthers are given much better odds because the game becomes meaningless to the Falcons. Carolina will have 10 days to prepare and Atlanta 6. Factored?

Yeah I'm assuming it will be a meaningless game but that could change.

I forgot to add in "Carolina wins 1 and Houston wins 2" which would get us to 85%

[Mr. Scot]

I forgot to add in "Carolina wins 1 and Houston wins 2" which would get us to 85%

I'm guessing you mean Denver.

Based on what THM45 calculated, that'd actually put it at 100%.

[Happy Panther]

fixed

[Mr. Scot]

fixed

Not quite

Carolina wins 1 and Denver wins 2 8%

85%

[Happy Panther]

what's wrong with that?

[Mr. Scot]

what's wrong with that?

It only says 8% next to that line. Didn't you want it to say 85?

(my apologies if I'm missing your structure)

[Cavscout]

Go Broncos!