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Trevor Lawrence proves going #1 doesn't mean much

Jmac

By Jmac,
in Carolina Panthers

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top dawg Grand Master

top dawg

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Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, Krovvy said:

🤦‍♀️

You can hit anywhere, but mathematically speaking, of course.

I get it, math is good on paper. In a practical and historical sense, does it really make that big of a difference? Top 10 vs top one, for example, is the mathematical  difference that huge, especially when juxtaposed against real results?

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WeDoNotTank Collaborator

WeDoNotTank

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Posted
1 minute ago, top dawg said:

I get it, but math is good on paper. In a practical and historical sense, does it really make that big of a difference? Top 10 vs top one, let's say, is the mathematical  difference that huge, especially when juxtaposed against real results?

Most of the top twenty the percentage seems similar it only matters for people who fall in love with one player.

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Krovvy Grand Master

Krovvy

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Just now, top dawg said:

I get it, but math is good on paper. In a practical and historical sense, does it really make that big of a difference? Top 10 vs top one, let's say, is the mathematical  difference that huge, especially when juxtaposed against real results?

History isn't practical though, it just is or was. It doesn't change preset day, don't change this into the gambler's fallacy.

Now, having said that, it's still pretty damn hard to make the right selection. It's why the best quarterback can and does get selected later. That's on scouting though, it has nothing really to do with historical draft selections.

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