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Verge's 2022 Mock Draft


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3 minutes ago, kungfoodude said:

I will bet with you on Howell. My original bet offered(to LG) was Howell versus the field. We can discuss metrics and timeline but I am willing to wager a substantial amount.

I’m down to bet on that because Howell was one of two QBs in this class I felt comfortable with 

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Just now, Varking said:

I’ll take it! 🙂 I think he goes early second personally but I like friendly bets. 

Deal! I think its the sweet spot and honestly if I was a huge Howell fan take that in a heartbeat....but Im not....

I think signs are gone, so its the avatar rights til week one regular season? 

 

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9 minutes ago, Basbear said:

I keep dancing around 3 or 4 or 2....I do think Willis is the only true QB lock to go in the first. I would bet on corral, ridder, or pickett or against them...that late 1st gets crazy....2 QBs may be the 31 and 32 picks....lions are a team I feel will try to trade up for one...but honestly no idea.

I think 1 or 2 will go in the first. I think the league is going to show they aren't enthusiastic about this crop.

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8 minutes ago, Basbear said:

Deal! I think its the sweet spot and honestly if I was a huge Howell fan take that in a heartbeat....but Im not....

I think signs are gone, so its the avatar rights til week one regular season? 

 

Wait…what are the stakes?  Nevermind…avatar choice

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1 minute ago, kungfoodude said:

I think 1 or 2 will go in the first. I think the league is going to show they aren't enthusiastic about this crop.

I think the league already has with the abnormal QB movements this offseason and more retreads being offered starting jobs...

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7 minutes ago, Varking said:

I’m down to bet on that because Howell was one of two QBs in this class I felt comfortable with 

I think we should hammer out the period of time and also the measures we will use.

I suggest length of rookie contract, so 3 or 4 years considering most won't be first rounders. Pick 3 or 4 as the mark.

For Metrics, I suggest PFR's Career AV, Total YPG(passing and rushing), Total TD's Per Game(passing and rushing), Total TO's per game(passing and rushing), Completion Percentage, QB Record(PFR stat) and Games Started.

This is a good combination of various measures of success and adds up to an odd number of categories, which will help avoid a push. The wager being that Howell WILL NOT lead more of these categories than he leads.

Debate any changes to these metrics now, then we can get into the wager amount itself.

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10 minutes ago, kungfoodude said:

I think 1 or 2 will go in the first. I think the league is going to show they aren't enthusiastic about this crop.

The one spot the league is insane about is the QB, even with most of the league not happy with the crop. All it takes is a panic-driven GM/owner/HC to pick a QB form this group in the mid-late 1st and swear other teams missed on a HOFer..... Just like Cam, QBs make teams go crazy....

I think you are the smart money with only 2 QBs, if made me pick right now Id say 3.....but could change before the draft. 

Edited by Basbear
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    • This is why it's probably going to be hard to trade down. This draft is fairly light on top tier talent but pretty deep in talent of that next tier down. I don't think there's going to be a lot of teams clamoring to move up and numerous teams might be entertaining moving down. Not a good market to trade down if that's the case. 
    • And if they can't find a reasonable trade down (I think we would need a 2nd rounder this year bare minimum to make any trade down worth it). I would definitely expect Dan to trade UP for an EDGE or LB in the top half of R2. Just makes too much sense. We also have a plethora of mid round picks to use as ammo. 
    • I don't mean to make this a mock draft thread particularly,  but every time I do a mock I have been investigating the talent that goes off the board between picks 8 and our low 2nd rounder pick 57. There is a gargantuan amount of talent still left on the board in the top half of the 2nd round every time I do one. Losing our original 2nd round pick to the Bears as the last pick of the Bryce trade stings badly .  I'm particularly looking at elite players like Carson Schwesinger (LB), Luther Burden (WR), Matthew Golden (WR), Maxwell Hairston (CB) , Nick Scourton , Landon Jackson, Donavan Ezeraku (all DEs/OLBs) . The sweet spot in this draft really feels like pick 15 to 40 - ish. This is why the Bears should be making bank with this draft. I don't know how realistic a trade down is from 8, but if we could pick up any teams higher 2nd rounder and still grab their 1st? We'd be cooking with gas man.  Say for example we get Tet McMillan at pick 8, if you wait all the way to 57 you stand the chance of not getting any impact pass rushers in this draft. And I don't think this team can afford that.  I'd personally love for them to take a break from drafting wrs in R1 or R2 (i think we've taken one in the top 2 rounds in the majority of the past few years), and stick to repairing the nfls worse defense in history (in terms of total points against iirc, or was it yards? Also included my most recent mock as an example . Don't put too much into the  late round selections lol  
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