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Tank Watch - Week 16

kungfoodude

By kungfoodude,
in Carolina Panthers

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kungfoodude Grand Master

kungfoodude

Posted
Posted

Here are the games impacting our draft position(Panthers current SOS: 0.504):

 

Lions(2-11-1) vs. Falcons(6-8)

This game could either put Atlanta securely out of our draft range or continue the Lions hot stretch in December. In theory, the Lions could win out and we would be ahead of them in the draft. This may sound crazy but they face the Falcons, Giants and a Week 18 Packers team in Detroit that could be resting players.

Giants(4-10) vs. Eagles(7-7)

If the hapless and now Jones-less Giants can muster a victory their SOS(0.534) would put them below us in the draft order.

Jaguars(2-12) vs. Jets(3-11)

This is the proverbial "win-win" matchup. A win by either team creeps them closer to our draft position. For Jacksonville, this would require the highly unlikely feat of winning out(@Jets, @Pats, Colts) but that scenario should give them a slight edge in SOS and we should be ahead of them. In the far more likely scenario, a Jets victory would only require them to win one of their two remaining games(Bucs, @Bills) and it would be a close shave on SOS(0.504).

Bears(4-10) vs. Seahawks(5-9)

Another "win-win" matchup for Panthers draft position. A Bears win would put them below the Panthers based on SOS(0.527). The Seahawks are currently behind us in the draft order based on SOS(0.517) but a victory here should put them well out of our range.

 

 

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DaveThePanther2008 Grand Master

DaveThePanther2008

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Posted
2 minutes ago, kungfoodude said:

Here are the games impacting our draft position(Panthers current SOS: 0.504):

 

Lions(2-11-1) vs. Falcons(6-8)

This game could either put Atlanta securely out of our draft range or continue the Lions hot stretch in December. In theory, the Lions could win out and we would be ahead of them in the draft. This may sound crazy but they face the Falcons, Giants and a Week 18 Packers team in Detroit that could be resting players.

Giants(4-10) vs. Eagles(7-7)

If the hapless and now Jones-less Giants can muster a victory their SOS(0.534) would put them below us in the draft order.

Jaguars(2-12) vs. Jets(3-11)

This is the proverbial "win-win" matchup. A win by either team creeps them closer to our draft position. For Jacksonville, this would require the highly unlikely feat of winning out(@Jets, @Pats, Colts) but that scenario should give them a slight edge in SOS and we should be ahead of them. In the far more likely scenario, a Jets victory would only require them to win one of their two remaining games(Bucs, @Bills) and it would be a close shave on SOS(0.504).

Bears(4-10) vs. Seahawks(5-9)

Another "win-win" matchup for Panthers draft position. A Bears win would put them below the Panthers based on SOS(0.527). The Seahawks are currently behind us in the draft order based on SOS(0.517) but a victory here should put them well out of our range.

 

Good Stuff

I worry about this game with TB.  They are severely short of playmakers but they are getting AB back which will help.  It would absolutely suck if we pulled an upset and ruin everything.  

Rhule is on the hot seat and our best scenario is for Tampa to destroy us in our own back yard.

Lions winning out would be awesome, 

Giants gave Dallas a hard time and could beat Philly. 

Jags and Jets I think are pretty much locked in ahead of us.  

Who knows with with the Bears.  There defense is pretty good but just can't seem to get out of their own way on offense. 

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kungfoodude Grand Master

kungfoodude

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, DaveThePanther2008 said:

Good Stuff

I worry about this game with TB.  They are severely short of playmakers but they are getting AB back which will help.  It would absolutely suck if we pulled an upset and ruin everything.  

Rhule is on the hot seat and our best scenario is for Tampa to destroy us in our own back yard.

Lions winning out would be awesome, 

Giants gave Dallas a hard time and could beat Philly. 

Jags and Jets I think are pretty much locked in ahead of us.  

Who knows with with the Bears.  There defense is pretty good but just can't seem to get out of their own way on offense. 

If we can pass the Bears and maybe GB locks up the #1 seed before Week 18, I think we have a shot at being top 5.

But our cleanest shot is just Chicago and New York winning a game. That is all it will take.

Edited by kungfoodude
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MHS831 Grand Master

MHS831

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1 hour ago, BIGH2001 said:

Rhule will beat New Orleans next week to give us the 9th pick.  That will also save his job.

Then WE could be playing a team resting its players.  After the injury-plagued loss to the Saints, the Bucs will not be seeking any moral victories week 18.

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Jon Snow Grand Master

Jon Snow

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3 hours ago, BIGH2001 said:

Rhule will beat New Orleans next week to give us the 9th pick.  That will also save his job.

There is no way this team wins another game.  Both teams we face have an incentive to play to win.  This team cannot beat the Hill lead Saints and the Bucs are trying for the number 1 seed. Unless they have that locked down by our second meeting we have not shot.  So there that.

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ECHornet Grand Master

ECHornet

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2 hours ago, Icege said:

Really not excited about losing out so that we can have ONE pick effectively benefit from it 😕

Agree, but a top 5 pick could really bring in Day 1/2 draft picks in a trade back scenario. 
 

Last draft, the #6 pick went for:

2021 #12, 2021 4th, and 2022 1st. 
 

The #10 pick went for:

2021 #12, 2021 3rd. 
 

That additional 1st rounder would be huge in 2023 when we may still be looking for QB/OL help. 

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