DVOA 2020 vs. 2021 Offense/Defense/Special Teams

[kungfoodude]

Offense

DVOA 2020: -0.2% (17th in the NFL)

DVOA 2021: -15.9% (25th in the NFL)

Passing DVOA 2020: 12.3% (20th in the NFL)

Passing DVOA 2021: -11.6 (29th in the NFL)

Rushing DVOA 2020: -8.8% (16th in the NFL)

Rushing DVOA 2021: -9.0% (16th in the NFL)

 

Defense

DVOA 2020: 7.3% (24th in the NFL)

DVOA 2021: -6.4% (8th in the NFL)

Passing DVOA 2020: 15.5% (23rd in the NFL)

Passing DVOA 2021: -3.0% (7th in the NFL)

Rushing DVOA 2020: -4.5% (20th in the NFL)

Rushing DVOA 2021: -11.1% (18th in the NFL)

 

Special Teams

DVOA 2020: 0.8 (16th in the NFL)

DVOA 2021: -3.1% (26th in the NFL)

 

Interesting to see that our offense and special teams have gotten so much worse in 2021, especially the passing offense. Conversely, the pass defense improvement has been remarkable. We do still struggle defending the run, however. Modest improvements so far in that area.

Edited October 21, 2021 by kungfoodude

[SmokinwithWilly]

2 things that haven't been a priority. Getting a solid kicker after Butker got poached, and building an offensive line with FA that don't spend the majority of their time on a bike. No wonder we went down in those 2 areas.

[kungfoodude]

10 minutes ago, SmokinwithWilly said:

2 things that haven't been a priority. Getting a solid kicker after Butker got poached, and building an offensive line with FA that don't spend the majority of their time on a bike. No wonder we went down in those 2 areas.

Given the fact that our rushing offense is basically the same as last year(middle of the league), I definitely see why they want to put emphasis on that moving forward. If you look at the 2020 vs. 2021 OL stats on FO, the drop off is pretty bad across the board. 

The passing offense though......woof. 

[thunderraiden]

Looks about right, a poo offensive line and an OC thats trying to fit a square peg in a round hole will do that.

[kungfoodude]

1 minute ago, thunderraiden said:

Looks about right, a poo offensive line and an OC thats trying to fit a square peg in a round hole will do that.

Add in one 29th rated(DVOA) QB and you have the recipe for a bottom 5 offense!

[Fox007]

[kungfoodude]

In defense of our rushing defense, 42% of our total rushing yardage allowed has been to Elliott and Cook. Those are two of the top 5 rushers(in yds/GM) in the NFL currently.

Taking a closer look at the rush defense specifically:

Game 1(NY Jets)

Jets OL(26th rated DVOA), Rushing Offense(31st in the NFL, 74.0 yds/GM)

Allowed: 45 rushing yards(29 yards under avg)

Game 2(New Orleans)

Saints OL(5th rated DVOA), Rushing Offense(9th in the NFL, 125.8 yds/GM)

Allowed: 48 rushing yards(77.8 yards under avg)

Game 3(Houston Texans)

Texans OL(32nd rated DVOA), Rushing Offense(26th in the NFL, 89.8 yds/GM)

Allowed: 42 rushing yards(47.8 yards under avg)

Game 4(Dallas Cowboys)

Cowboys OL(1st rated DVOA), Rushing Offense(2nd in the NFL, 164.3 yds/GM)

Allowed: 245 rushing yards(80.7 yds OVER avg)

Game 5(Philadelphia Eagles)

Eagles OL(21st rated DVOA), Rushing Offense(15th in the NFL, 113.7 yds/GM)

Allowed: 91 rushing yards(22.7 under avg)

Game 6(Minnesota Vikings)

Vikings OL(25th rated DVOA), Rushing Offense(8th in the NFL, 127.8 yds/GM)

Allowed: 198 rushing yards(70.2 yds OVER avg)

 

So we have pretty much won 4 out of 6 matchups on the DL. It's just the shelling we have taken in those two big losses skewed our stats quite a bit.

Edited October 21, 2021 by kungfoodude

[Fox007]

12 minutes ago, kungfoodude said:

In defense of our rushing defense, 42% of our total rushing yardage allowed has been to Elliott and Cook. Those are two of the top 5 rushers(in yds/GM) in the NFL currently.

Taking a closer look at the rush defense specifically:

Game 1(NY Jets)

Jets OL(26th rated DVOA), Rushing Offense(31st in the NFL, 74.0 yds/GM)

Allowed: 45 rushing yards(29 yards under avg)

Game 2(New Orleans)

Saints OL(5th rated DVOA), Rushing Offense(9th in the NFL, 125.8 yds/GM)

Allowed: 48 rushing yards(77.8 yards under avg)

Game 3(Houston Texans)

Texans OL(32nd rated DVOA), Rushing Offense(26th in the NFL, 89.8 yds/GM)

Allowed: 42 rushing yards(47.8 yards under avg)

Game 4(Dallas Cowboys)

Cowboys OL(1st rated DVOA), Rushing Offense(2nd in the NFL, 164.3 yds/GM)

Allowed: 245 rushing yards(80.7 yds OVER avg)

Game 5(Philadelphia Eagles)

Eagles OL(21st rated DVOA), Rushing Offense(15th in the NFL, 113.7 yds/GM)

Allowed: 91 rushing yards(22.7 under avg)

Game 6(Minnesota Vikings)

Vikings OL(25th rated DVOA), Rushing Offense(8th in the NFL, 127.8 yds/GM)

Allowed: 198 rushing yards(70.2 yds OVER avg)

 

So we have pretty much won 4 out of 6 matchups on the DL. It's just the shelling we have taken in those two big losses skewed our stats quite a bit.

Nice stats lately though.

Man be like let a ****** say Darnold is good. Never underestimate thems

[BrianS]

Passing numbers make complete sense though.  This line is currently competing with 2014 as one of our worst lines ever.

[kungfoodude]

11 minutes ago, BrianS said:

Passing numbers make complete sense though.  This line is currently competing with 2014 as one of our worst lines ever.

Actually, if you look at OL DVOA and Adjusted Sack Rate, there have been 3-4 years since 2010 that have been worse than this year.

That's actually the most upsetting part. Poor OL play isn't rare in Carolina

Edited October 22, 2021 by kungfoodude

[Khyber53]

40 minutes ago, kungfoodude said:

Actually, if you look at OL DVOA and Adjusted Sack Rate, there have been 3-4 years since 2010 that have been worse than this year.

That's actually the most upsetting part. Poor OL play isn't rare in Carolina

I think it is a systemic problem and probably starts in our scouting/evaluation department. Wonder how much turnover we've had there or if it has remained stagnant for the last decade. We do seem to make the same O-line mistakes again and again.

[kungfoodude]

9 minutes ago, Khyber53 said:

I think it is a systemic problem and probably starts in our scouting/evaluation department. Wonder how much turnover we've had there or if it has remained stagnant for the last decade. We do seem to make the same O-line mistakes again and again.

Actually, I think it really begins and ends in our front office. We don't really spend significant draft capital trying to build there historically. There is only so much dumpster diving you can do and be successful.

[ncstatekwi]

13 hours ago, kungfoodude said:

Offense

DVOA 2020: -0.2% (17th in the NFL)

DVOA 2021: -15.9% (25th in the NFL)

Passing DVOA 2020: 12.3% (20th in the NFL)

Passing DVOA 2021: -11.6 (29th in the NFL)

Rushing DVOA 2020: -8.8% (16th in the NFL)

Rushing DVOA 2021: -9.0% (16th in the NFL)

 

Defense

DVOA 2020: 7.3% (24th in the NFL)

DVOA 2021: -6.4% (8th in the NFL)

Passing DVOA 2020: 15.5% (23rd in the NFL)

Passing DVOA 2021: -3.0% (7th in the NFL)

Rushing DVOA 2020: -4.5% (20th in the NFL)

Rushing DVOA 2021: -11.1% (18th in the NFL)

 

Special Teams

DVOA 2020: 0.8 (16th in the NFL)

DVOA 2021: -3.1% (26th in the NFL)

 

Interesting to see that our offense and special teams have gotten so much worse in 2021, especially the passing offense. Conversely, the pass defense improvement has been remarkable. We do still struggle defending the run, however. Modest improvements so far in that area.

This keeps up I hope ST Coach BLACKBURN is gone and OC Joe BRADY!!!!

[Khyber53]

1 hour ago, kungfoodude said:

Actually, I think it really begins and ends in our front office. We don't really spend significant draft capital trying to build there historically. There is only so much dumpster diving you can do and be successful.

And I think the new boss there may be the same as the old boss there. I've said it before, Fitterer looks busy but his hit rate is pretty low at this point and really bad when it comes to offensive linemen.