Darnold stat predictions for the season

[CPsinceDay1]

42 minutes ago, Tinamedina said:

 

If the huddle can make threads about the stats of the backup qb's, then sam darnold's stats should matter. same energy.

They only did that, as a way to highlight any negative stat they can find on PJ, some fans will never like the "mobile" QB... they'll claim Darnold's athletic...

But the fact PJ is a topic is what scares them the most, they clearly don't have faith in Darnold, they looking at PS QBs...

Edited September 2, 2021 by CPsinceDay1

[L-TownCat]

He should have 3500-4500yds.

20-25 TDs

8-12 INTs

60-70% comp%

6-12 wins (Boom or Bust)

 

[mbarbour21]

• 4,150 yards
• 32 TDs
• 12 INTs
• 67% completion
• 11-6 record

I think our defense does some scoring, as well as our RBs and WRs on the ground. I really believe we can be good this year. I noticed Tepper saying, "Wait til we start airing it out.". So, I do believe he will get enough attempts to crack 4,000. Will that be majority "ball in the air" or "yards after the catch"? My prediction. It doesn't freakin' matter. 

[t96]

10 hours ago, glenwo2 said:

Then again, his job is not to convince *you* or any one of us that he's the guy.   He's supposed to convince Rhule, Brady, and Tepper that he's the guy.

And if they think he is while you don't, your viewpoint won't matter in the end.

 

Btw, 11-6 is a Guaranteed Playoff Berth, imo.

Then again, the question posed in this thread was:

 

How would you feel about our future with Sam Darnold going into next season?

[NAS]

2 minutes ago, mbarbour21 said:

I noticed Tepper saying, "Wait til we start airing it out."

Airing it out requires a solid offensive line.  I just don't think Sam will have enough time to take full advantage of his receiving weapons.  That is why I went with lower predictions than you.

[NAS]

1 minute ago, t96 said:

Then again, the question posed in this thread was:

 

How would you feel about our future with Sam Darnold going into next season?

I meant to reply to your post earlier.  What numbers would convince you that he is the future?

[kungfoodude]

2 minutes ago, t96 said:

Then again, the question posed in this thread was:

 

How would you feel about our future with Sam Darnold going into next season?

That is a Jets fan that came over with Darnold. He isn't here for the team.

[TLGPanthersFan]

3500 yards

25 TDs 

18 INTs 

 

[1of10Charnatives]

7 minutes ago, mbarbour21 said:

• 4,150 yards
• 32 TDs
• 12 INTs
• 67% completion
• 11-6 record

I think our defense does some scoring, as well as our RBs and WRs on the ground. I really believe we can be good this year. I noticed Tepper saying, "Wait til we start airing it out.". So, I do believe he will get enough attempts to crack 4,000. Will that be majority "ball in the air" or "yards after the catch"? My prediction. It doesn't freakin' matter. 

It does matter. In the NFL it is extremely hard to continuously gain yards after the catch without at least putting a few over the top. If you never beat teams over the top, they just keep cheating their coverage to stopping underneath more and more and YAC approach gets harder and harder. 

Darnold appears to have the arm to air it out and with our receiving corps he has the weapons. The question is, does he have an OL that can give him the time? With what we're starting the season, the answer appears almost certainly to be no. If Christensen and Brown develop quickly and learn the playbook unusually fast, perhaps by midseason that will start to change, but I for one do not really want to regularly test whether Cam Irving and Matt Paradis can give Darnold 3 or even 4 seconds in the pocket against a quality pass rush.

[mbarbour21]

21 minutes ago, 1of10Charnatives said:

It does matter. In the NFL it is extremely hard to continuously gain yards after the catch without at least putting a few over the top. If you never beat teams over the top, they just keep cheating their coverage to stopping underneath more and more and YAC approach gets harder and harder. 

Darnold appears to have the arm to air it out and with our receiving corps he has the weapons. The question is, does he have an OL that can give him the time? With what we're starting the season, the answer appears almost certainly to be no. If Christensen and Brown develop quickly and learn the playbook unusually fast, perhaps by midseason that will start to change, but I for one do not really want to regularly test whether Cam Irving and Matt Paradis can give Darnold 3 or even 4 seconds in the pocket against a quality pass rush.

I'm not saying being able to beat teams over the top is not important. I'm just saying that if the majority of the yards ARE yards after catch, it will be fine. We seen last year how ineffective YAC can be if there is little threat for a deep play. Darnold has the arm to get it there. I agree with you though. If the o-line is incapable of allowing the receivers to get deep, then that is an issue. I'm leaning on the optimistic side, that the line will play better than we expect.  

[shaqattaq]

16 hours ago, davos said:

Extra points TB in Denver (17 games):

• 2200 yards (400 completions)
• 5 TDs
• 5 INTs

I have a feeling that TB doesn't start all 17 games. Lock reclaims the starting spot around midseason.

[t96]

1 hour ago, NAS said:

I meant to reply to your post earlier.  What numbers would convince you that he is the future?

Honestly barring like MVP caliber numbers I'm not sure 1 year would completely convince me at all. If he had the numbers I posted except with like 10 or less interceptions and a bit higher completion % that could do it but in today's NFL you really can't have your QB throwing 1 pick per game over the course of a season and 62% would be pretty low too nowadays. I'd be (pleasantly) shocked if he puts up those TDs and yardage without throwing a lot of picks.

[Puresteel55]

10 hours ago, BurnNChinn said:

Yes it is!

[kungfoodude]

1 hour ago, t96 said:

Honestly barring like MVP caliber numbers I'm not sure 1 year would completely convince me at all. If he had the numbers I posted except with like 10 or less interceptions and a bit higher completion % that could do it but in today's NFL you really can't have your QB throwing 1 pick per game over the course of a season and 62% would be pretty low too nowadays. I'd be (pleasantly) shocked if he puts up those TDs and yardage without throwing a lot of picks.

62% seems low but he is a gunslinger. It's unlikely he will ever be a Teddy/Brees/ rady-like completion percentage guy. Even in this offense.

60-63% for a true gunslinger is actually not too bad.