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Tankers ONLY: Predicting the top 12 picks by remaining schedule


MHS831

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16 hours ago, MHS831 said:

Projected Finish for Tankers:

 

I took a look at the winnable games left on the schedule for the bottom teams—(they are in bold below)—and I guessed how many of those each bottom-feeding team will win.  At the end of this exercise, the Panthers are projected to draft 10th overall. and I included the strength of schedule on Nov 30. 

 

1.     NY Jets (0-16)  Strength of Schedule: .591 (prediction: 0 more wins)

 

2.     Jacksonville (1-15)  Strength of Schedule: .555  (prediction: 0 more wins)

 

3.     Cincinnati (3-12-1)  Strength of Schedule: .555 (prediction: 1 more win)

 

4.     Detroit Lions (4-12) Strength of Schedule: .506 (prediction: 0 more wins)

 

5.     Philadelphia Eagles (4-11-1) Strength of Schedule: .526 (prediction: 1 more win)

 

6.     Dallas Cowboys (5-11) Strength of Schedule: .486 (prediction: 2 more wins)

 

7.     New York Giants (5-11) Strength of Schedule: .489 (prediction: 1 more win)

 

8.     Los Angeles Chargers (5-11) Strength of Schedule: .492  (prediction: 1 more win)

 

9.     Atlanta Falcons (5-11) Strength of Schedule: .533 (prediction: 1 more win)

 

10.  Carolina Panthers (5-11)  Strength of Schedule: .534  (prediction: 1 more win)

 

11.  Miami Dolphins (from Houston 5-11) Strength of Schedule (HOU): .549 (prediction: 1 more win)

 

12.  Denver Broncos (5-11)  Strength of Schedule: .565 (prediction: 1 more win)

 

13.  Washington Football Team (6-10) Strength of Schedule: .466 (prediction: 2 more wins)

 

Teams for Panther fans to cheer for (winnable games in parentheses):

 

Dallas (4), LA Chargers (3), Atlanta (1), Houston (2), Denver (2), Washington (3)

 

 

 

Current 2021 NFL Draft Order | Round One

 

Order as of Nov 30 at 11:35 PM ET.

 

1. New York Jets (0-11)

 

Remaining Games: LV, @SEA, @LAR, CLE, @NE  (0-16)

 

2. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-10)

 

Strength of Schedule: .555
Remaining Games: @MIN, TEN, @BAL, CHI, @IND (1-15)

 

3. Cincinnati Bengals (2-8-1)

 

Strength of Schedule: .538
Remaining Games: @MIA, DAL, PIT, @HOU, BAL  (3-12-1)

 

4. Dallas Cowboys (3-8)

 

Strength of Schedule: .486
Remaining Games: @BAL, @CIN, SF, PHI, @NYG  (5-11)

 

5. Los Angeles Chargers (3-8)

 

Strength of Schedule: .492
Remaining Games: NE, ATL, @LV, DEN, @KC  (5-11)

 

6. Philadelphia Eagles (3-7-1)

 

Strength of Schedule: .526
Remaining Games: @GB, NO, @ARI, @DAL, WSH (4-11-1)

 

7. New York Giants (4-7)

Strength of Schedule: .489[GN1] 
Remaining Games: @SEA, ARI, CLE, @BAL, DAL (5-11)

 

 

 

8. Carolina Panthers (4-8)

 

Strength of Schedule: .534
Remaining Games: DEN, @GB, @WSH, NO (5-11)

 

9. Washington Football Team (4-7)

 

Strength of Schedule: .466
Remaining Games: @PIT, @SF, SEA, CAR, @PHI  (6-10)

 

10. Detroit Lions (4-7)

 

Strength of Schedule: .506
Remaining Games: @CHI, GB, @TEN, TB, MIN  (4-12)

 

11. Atlanta Falcons (4-7)

 

Strength of Schedule: .533
Remaining Games: NO, @LAC, TB, @KC, @TB (5-11)

 

12. Miami Dolphins (from Houston 4-7)

 

Strength of Schedule (HOU): .549
Remaining Games (HOU): IND, @CHI, @IND, CIN, TEN  (6-10)

 

13. Denver Broncos (4-7)

 

Strength of Schedule: .565
Remaining Games: @KC, @CAR, BUF, @LAC, LV  (5-11)

 

14. Chicago Bears (5-6)

 

Strength of Schedule: .500
Remaining Games: DET, HOU, @MIN, @JAC, GB (7-9)

 

15. Minnesota Vikings (5-6)

 

Strength of Schedule: .500
Remaining Games: JAC, @TB, CHI, @NO, @DET  (8-8)

 

16. New England Patriots (5-6)

 

Strength of Schedule: .509
Remaining Games: @LAC, @LAR, @MIA, BUF, NYJ  (7-9)

 

17. San Francisco 49ers (5-6)

 

Strength of Schedule: .531
Remaining Games: BUF, WSH, @DAL, @ARI, SEA (7-9)

 


 [GN1]

 

Just FYI you have WAS, DAL, PHI & NY all drafting in the top 13.  One of those teams wins the division and drafts in the 20's.  It's sad it is such a bad division but that is how it works.

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16 hours ago, TLGPanthersFan said:

So we are gonna have to trade up for the QB. Because that is e only way we are getting a franchise caliber QB. Also we have no ideas if the QB crop will be any good next draft or the next. If we don’t draft a QB this draft we are likely stuck with Bathwater. If Rhule thinks TB is a franchise QB I am questioning his vision and wondering if he needs glasses. 
QB first then the rest of the team. 

I think the Bengals are sitting there at # 3 with a huge erection waiting for the bidding war to begin. The 3rd best QB in this draft is a HOT commodity. 

IF Jones was smart, he'd use this as leverage to sign Dak long term and then start listening to trade offers.

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12 hours ago, pantherj said:

The Saints versus Falcons will be a blowout win for the Saints imo. They're better without Brees. The Saints also play the god awful Vikings, Eagles, and the KC game could go either way and should be close. 

I don't see GB winning out, but I hope they do if that will prevent the Saints from resting their starters.

Disagree. The Falcons/Saints game will be a close one on Sunday. 

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1 hour ago, bababoey said:

Just FYI you have WAS, DAL, PHI & NY all drafting in the top 13.  One of those teams wins the division and drafts in the 20's.  It's sad it is such a bad division but that is how it works.

Yes, ---I did not know how to deal with that issue week 13...I had Washington after the Panthers, so I am thinking they or Dallas are going to the playoffs--would love to see them both finish with better records, but SOS is going to necessitate that they win a game more than we do. 

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1 hour ago, shaqattaq said:

I think the Bengals are sitting there at # 3 with a huge erection waiting for the bidding war to begin. The 3rd best QB in this draft is a HOT commodity. 

IF Jones was smart, he'd use this as leverage to sign Dak long term and then start listening to trade offers.

I read that they love Sewell, and with their QB on IR, that could be the smart pick.  However, they will get offers--but will a team cough up the cost for the #3 overall pick for the third best QB in the draft?  That is a ballsy move for any GM

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18 hours ago, MHS831 said:

1. New York Jets (0-11)

Remaining Games: LV, @SEA, @LAR, CLE, @NE  (0-16)

2. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-10)

Strength of Schedule: .555
Remaining Games: @MIN, TEN, @BAL, CHI, @IND (1-15)

3. Cincinnati Bengals (2-8-1)

Strength of Schedule: .538
Remaining Games: @MIA, DAL, PIT, @HOU, BAL  (3-12-1)

4. Dallas Cowboys (3-8)

Strength of Schedule: .486
Remaining Games: @BAL, @CIN, SF, PHI, @NYG  (5-11)

5. Los Angeles Chargers (3-8)

Strength of Schedule: .492
Remaining Games: NE, ATL, @LV, DEN, @KC  (5-11)

6. Philadelphia Eagles (3-7-1)

Strength of Schedule: .526
Remaining Games: @GB, NO, @ARI, @DAL, WSH (4-11-1)

7. New York Giants (4-7)

Strength of Schedule: .489[GN1] 
Remaining Games: @SEA, ARI, CLE, @BAL, DAL (5-11)

8. Carolina Panthers (4-8)

Strength of Schedule: .534
Remaining Games: DEN, @GB, @WSH, NO (5-11)

9. Washington Football Team (4-7)

Strength of Schedule: .466
Remaining Games: @PIT, @SF, SEA, CAR, @PHI  (6-10)

10. Detroit Lions (4-7)

Strength of Schedule: .506
Remaining Games: @CHI, GB, @TEN, TB, MIN  (4-12)

11. Atlanta Falcons (4-7)

Strength of Schedule: .533
Remaining Games: NO, @LAC, TB, @KC, @TB (5-11)

12. Miami Dolphins (from Houston 4-7)

Strength of Schedule (HOU): .549
Remaining Games (HOU): IND, @CHI, @IND, CIN, TEN  (6-10)

13. Denver Broncos (4-7)

Strength of Schedule: .565
Remaining Games: @KC, @CAR, BUF, @LAC, LV  (5-11)

14. Chicago Bears (5-6)

Strength of Schedule: .500
Remaining Games: DET, HOU, @MIN, @JAC, GB (7-9)

15. Minnesota Vikings (5-6)

Strength of Schedule: .500
Remaining Games: JAC, @TB, CHI, @NO, @DET  (8-8)

16. New England Patriots (5-6)

Strength of Schedule: .509
Remaining Games: @LAC, @LAR, @MIA, BUF, NYJ  (7-9)

17. San Francisco 49ers (5-6)

Strength of Schedule: .531
Remaining Games: BUF, WSH, @DAL, @ARI, SEA (7-9)

 


 

Current 2021 NFL Draft Order | Round One

Order as of Nov 30 at 11:35 PM ET.

1. New York Jets (0-11)

Remaining Games: LV, @SEA, @LAR, CLE, @NE  (0-16) AGREE

2. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-10)

Strength of Schedule: .555
Remaining Games: @MIN, TEN, @BAL, CHI, @IND (1-15) AGREE

3. Cincinnati Bengals (2-8-1)

Strength of Schedule: .538
Remaining Games: @MIA, DAL, PIT, @HOU, BAL  (2-13-1) with the backup QB I don't see them winning any more games

4. Dallas Cowboys (3-8)

Strength of Schedule: .486
Remaining Games: @BAL, @CIN, SF, PHI, @NYG  (5-11) THEY'LL BEAT CINN AND PHILLY

5. Los Angeles Chargers (3-8)

Strength of Schedule: .492
Remaining Games: NE, ATL, @LV, DEN, @KC  (5-11) MAYBE NE AND DENVER

6. Philadelphia Eagles (3-7-1)

Strength of Schedule: .526Remaining Games: @GB, NO, @ARI, @DAL, WSH (3-12-1) I DON'T SEE THEM WINNING ANYMORE GAMES

7. New York Giants (4-7)

Strength of Schedule: .489[GN1] 
Remaining Games: @SEA, ARI, CLE, @BAL, DAL (6-10)  I THINK THEY BEAT CLEV AND DALLAS

8. Carolina Panthers (4-8)

Strength of Schedule: .534
Remaining Games: DEN, @GB, @WSH, NO (4-12) DENVER WILL HAVE LOCK BACK AND THEIR DEFENSE WILL HOLD US DOWN

9. Washington Football Team (4-7)

Strength of Schedule: .466
Remaining Games: @PIT, @SF, SEA, CAR, @PHI  (6-10) THEY'LL BEAT US AND PHILLY and WIN THE EAST

10. Detroit Lions (4-7)

Strength of Schedule: .506
Remaining Games: @CHI, GB, @TEN, TB, MIN  (5-11) I THINK THEY'LL UPSET CHICAGO

11. Atlanta Falcons (4-7)

Strength of Schedule: .533
Remaining Games: NO, @LAC, TB, @KC, @TB (8-8) THEY ARE PLAYING GOOD BALL AND WILL WIN ALL BUT THE KC GAME. TB IS A MESS RIGHT NOW AND ATL WILL WIN BOTH GAMES

12. Miami Dolphins (from Houston 4-7)

Strength of Schedule (HOU): .549
Remaining Games (HOU): IND, @CHI, @IND, CIN, TEN  (6-10) WILL BEAT CHICAGO AND CINN.

13. Denver Broncos (4-7)

Strength of Schedule: .565
Remaining Games: @KC, @CAR, BUF, @LAC, LV  (5-11) THEY'LL BEAT US AND IT'S A TOSS-UP AGAINST LAC

14. Chicago Bears (5-6)

Strength of Schedule: .500
Remaining Games: DET, HOU, @MIN, @JAC, GB (6-10) THEY'LL BEAT JACKSONVILLE

15. Minnesota Vikings (5-6)

Strength of Schedule: .500
Remaining Games: JAC, @TB, CHI, @NO, @DET  (8-8) AGREED 

16. New England Patriots (5-6)

Strength of Schedule: .509
Remaining Games: @LAC, @LAR, @MIA, BUF, NYJ  (7-9) AGREED

17. San Francisco 49ers (5-6)

Strength of Schedule: .531
Remaining Games: BUF, WSH, @DAL, @ARI, SEA (7-9) AGREED

 


 [GN1]

 

 

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1 hour ago, MHS831 said:

I read that they love Sewell, and with their QB on IR, that could be the smart pick.  However, they will get offers--but will a team cough up the cost for the #3 overall pick for the third best QB in the draft?  That is a ballsy move for any GM

Ballsy, yes, but with all this talk about Dallas, Detroit, and Philly (I don't see this one) possibly in the hunt for a QB, AND the Wilson vs Fields debate, Some teams may get panicky. 

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14 hours ago, pantherj said:

The Saints versus Falcons will be a blowout win for the Saints imo. They're better without Brees. The Saints also play the god awful Vikings, Eagles, and the KC game could go either way and should be close. 

I don't see GB winning out, but I hope they do if that will prevent the Saints from resting their starters.

Better without Brees? Their D has stepped it up, even before Brees got hurt, so that side is just playing better period. That said, Hill is not a better QB. Their 24 points in the win at home against Atlanta was the least amount of points they’ve scored and that game was 10-9 until midway through the 3rd even with 8 sacks and 2 interceptions of Ryan. Then they played Denver, a garbage team that didn’t even have a real NFL QB playing. That game is about as bad an indicator of future play as you can get.

I think there’s more of a chance that GB beats Tennessee or Seattle wins out than NO beating KC. I’d be surprised if NO didn’t have anything to play for in week 17.

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1 hour ago, shaqattaq said:

Ballsy, yes, but with all this talk about Dallas, Detroit, and Philly (I don't see this one) possibly in the hunt for a QB, AND the Wilson vs Fields debate, Some teams may get panicky. 

And it is ballsy if they don't take a qb when they have a need---a tough spot for a GM.  I mean, is it better to move up for a Lance or stay put and take Trask or Jones?  They are balling this year in the SEC, but are the pickings easier without loud stadiums and so many NFL draft prospects sitting out?  I DUNNO!!!

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