Brady dialed up a game winner

[BrianS]

While I'm not sure Samuel was open, I am sure Ian Thomas was open.

[GOAT]

I have a problem with dialing up a 3rd down dagger with that much time left on the clock.

It's the same story with the DJ Moore play from last week, why were we going for the jugular instead of the first down?

Too far back, too much time on the clock, too much risk. You give them the ball back and a chance to score the game winner.

This play should've been a slant with Anderson as the primary. He either gains 5 yards to help Slye's chances, or he picks up a first.

 

No need to go for the homerun in this situation, come on.

[blackcat]

Whoever is at the bottom was way more open than Samuel.

[Icege]

*sees Samuel gain separation and then slow up once he sees Teddy get sacked*

*sees the same Teddy haters doing everything they can to continue to engage in cognitive disonance*

Glad to see not much has changed over the last cpl of weeks.

[Mr. Scot]

29 minutes ago, blackcat said:

Whoever is at the bottom was way more open than Samuel.

Thomas 

[Mr. Scot]

10 hours ago, Diehardpanther02 said:

Sometimes IGO posts and it makes you go.

Uhhhhhhh.

You even football bro?

Nice pics tho.

Technically it's not Igo's analysis.

He's reposting a tweet from Four Man Rush. If I remember correctly, they're friends of our good buddy Ellis.

[KSpan]

1 hour ago, GOAT said:

I have a problem with dialing up a 3rd down dagger with that much time left on the clock.

It's the same story with the DJ Moore play from last week, why were we going for the jugular instead of the first down?

Too far back, too much time on the clock, too much risk. You give them the ball back and a chance to score the game winner.

This play should've been a slant with Anderson as the primary. He either gains 5 yards to help Slye's chances, or he picks up a first.

 

No need to go for the homerun in this situation, come on.

Anderson may very well have been the intended target with Samuel meant to pull the safety deep.

[LinvilleGorge]

5 minutes ago, KSpan said:

Anderson may very well have been the intended target with Samuel meant to pull the safety deep.

There wasn't a preference in the read. The Saints were playing single high. The route combo was to force the safety's hand to create a single coverage situation one way or the other.

[GOAT]

3 hours ago, KSpan said:

Anderson may very well have been the intended target with Samuel meant to pull the safety deep.

Regardless of who the primary receiver was or wasn't, it should've been a play designed to release the ball immediately to avoid taking a sack.

[Mr. Scot]

8 minutes ago, GOAT said:

Regardless of who the primary receiver was or wasn't, it should've been a play designed to release the ball immediately to avoid taking a sack.

Can't guarantee that. Sometimes you have to ask the offensive line to, you know, block.

If they don't, you lose.

They didn't. We lost.

[GOAT]

1 minute ago, Mr. Scot said:

Can't guarantee that. Sometimes you have to ask the offensive line to, you know, block.

If they don't, you lose.

They didn't. We lost.

I'm an analytic guy when it comes to football. A quick drop slant read that offers a high risk vs reward would've been the call for me.

Same with the kick vs going for it. Going for the kick gave us a 2% chance to win, going for the 4th down conversion gave us 16% chance to win.

May the odds ever be in your favor.

[TheCasillas]

8 minutes ago, GOAT said:

I'm an analytic guy when it comes to football. A quick drop slant read that offers a high risk vs reward would've been the call for me.

Same with the kick vs going for it. Going for the kick gave us a 2% chance to win, going for the 4th down conversion gave us 16% chance to win.

May the odds ever be in your favor.

Turns out even if the field goal was only 60 yards away, we still only had a 3% chance to win. 
 

also, the graphic fox put up around 16% chance to win was inaccurate. Live vegas analytics had it at 11%. Not sure where fox got their data.

 

i too, am analytics guy. So I get your thinking.

[KSpan]

3 hours ago, LinvilleGorge said:

There wasn't a preference in the read. The Saints were playing single high. The route combo was to force the safety's hand to create a single coverage situation one way or the other.

I understand that and don't disagree, but there was likely a tendency Brady was looking for and and potential strategic outcomes given the score and clock situation. My point is that we don't know how this play stacked up in the grand scheme or if a throw to Samuel was really in the cards.

[LinvilleGorge]

24 minutes ago, KSpan said:

I understand that and don't disagree, but there was likely a tendency Brady was looking for and and potential strategic outcomes given the score and clock situation. My point is that we don't know how this play stacked up in the grand scheme or if a throw to Samuel was really in the cards.

The play blew up so fast we really don't even know what his first read was. I'm assuming it was the combo routes up top since it seemed like Teddy was looking the way of the deep safety, but for all we know, he was going to come back and take a peak at the hitch routes first.