*WORST CASE SCENARIO* If the season isn’t played

[t96]

2 hours ago, Whatev said:

Why is that ridiculous?  When you factor in salary caps/contracts and that complexity one “good” team this past year can’t field a decent team next year.  It’s a mess any way you look at it.  Free agents frozen?  Expand rosters?  Comp picks frozen?

If the Jaguars and Chiefs both have the same odds of picking 1st overall that would be completely retarded. No further explanation is needed.

[Brooklyn 3.0]

I'll ask again ... who are you drafting? College kids from last season that haven't played in six months and won't play this year? What about all the backups that were going to start this season? Will they not get drafted now bc we're going off what they've done to date? Other than Trevor and the OSU guy, you're going to gamble on seven rounds of players?

There will not be a Draft.

[jfra78]

45 minutes ago, Brooklyn 3.0 said:

I'll ask again ... who are you drafting? College kids from last season that haven't played in six months and won't play this year? What about all the backups that were going to start this season? Will they not get drafted now bc we're going off what they've done to date? Other than Trevor and the OSU guy, you're going to gamble on seven rounds of players?

There will not be a Draft.

This is probably true.  Many players wont declare for the draft to put more tape out there.

[Brooklyn 3.0]

10 minutes ago, jfra78 said:

This is probably true.  Many players wont declare for the draft to put more tape out there.

I'd assume the ones that were supposed to be seniors this season will finish school (online) and then play their final season next year. But every player will be going off near 18 months without being on a field.

2020 never happened.

[NanuqoftheNorth]

Father Time's clock is ticking and even if there is no season this year NFL players will need replacing by fresh bodies. 

Not sure what the draft will look like, but I'd be surprised if there wasn't one.  If I had to guess, the draft will be weighted by the last 2 or 3 years of a team's W/L record.  Might be some ping pong balls involved as well.

[Peon Awesome]

Interesting question. I think the fairest thing would be to do a weighted lottery, where odds are based as follows: 50% 2019 record, 25% 2018 record and 25% based on some analytics driven talent metric based on current rosters, like the ESPN FPI for instance. That way teams like the Patriots who lost their hall of fame qb don't get overly penalized. While not perfect, I think that would probably offend the least number of people.

Alternatively, you could get rid of the draft altogether for one year and have a free-for-all where teams can offer whatever contract they want for any draft eligible player. Someone might throw $120 million guaranteed at Trevor Lawrence with no assurances he will pan out. And someone else might buy low on a guy like junior year Joe Burrow and get a steal. Could be interesting. 

[Brooklyn 3.0]

If I was a college kid I'd be posting "Cam videos" showing I was still in shape.

[Panthercougar68]

In a perfect world they would just base it off the previous draft order where top 10 get better odds of picking top 10 again with a lottery system.

Its ducking stupid to think of teams like Baltimore, KC, San Fran, or New England to get the same chance to get pick 1 as us, Jacksonville, or even Cincy.

it would be entertaining if they kept the same order because Cincy and Miami would LOVE to see he offers to them for their 1st round pick.

[45catfan]

The best solution to draft if there is no season would be a weighted lottery based off the 2019 records in four different drawing pods.  These drawings would be picks 1-8, 9-16, 17-24, 25-32.  Why?  Usually teams don't have huge fall-offs or have great leaps of improvement, so most of the teams would likely fall in the group of pods where they would be drafting anyway.  Weighted in each pod as follows: the lowest pick-8 lots, second lowest-7 lots, third lowest 6-lots and so on until the highest pick (the eighth) gets 1 lot.  Start with pod 1-8, then 9-16 etc...

This is about the fairest way I can think of.

[CanadianCat]

12 hours ago, Brooklyn 3.0 said:

I'll ask again ... who are you drafting? College kids from last season that haven't played in six months and won't play this year? What about all the backups that were going to start this season? Will they not get drafted now bc we're going off what they've done to date? Other than Trevor and the OSU guy, you're going to gamble on seven rounds of players?

There will not be a Draft.

TBH if there still is a draft (I cannot imagine they would cancel it) then our team is probably best positioned to evaluate the players as the majority of our staff is freshly from the college ranks. 

[CarolinaNCSU]

Weighted lottery odds to pick, then if you're worried about tape for guys and how many will come out, run a shorter draft.

2-3 round draft for essentially the Top 100 players, every other player is an UDFA with each team granted typical draft pick money to lure these UDFA guys to their team instead of typical allotted UDFA bonuses.  Teams will still have enough tape/combine results to take chances on the middle round to late round guys.  Crapshoot as usual from the 4th round on, no different in this scenario. 

[45catfan]

2 minutes ago, CarolinaNCSU said:

Weighted lottery odds to pick, then if you're worried about tape for guys and how many will come out, run a shorter draft.

2-3 round draft for essentially the Top 100 players, every other player is an UDFA with each team granted typical draft pick money to lure these UDFA guys to their team instead of typical allotted UDFA bonuses.  Teams will still have enough tape/combine results to take chances on the middle round to late round guys.  Crapshoot as usual from the 4th round on, no different in this scenario. 

One thing will be for sure, declaring underclassmen will likely be the lowest numbers we've seen in years if there's no college season.  Top prospects, sure, but these underclassmen that have come out with day 3 grades...they'll stay in school if they were smart to get more tape.

[chknwing]

19 hours ago, CatTower said:

This is why we need a season.   They are going to screw us out of a franchise talent.

[panfanman]

If it's just a pure unweighted lottery, I would think reversing the draft order in each subsequent round would only be fair.