Corona Virus

[LinvilleGorge]

8 minutes ago, 332nd said:

Dunno about the elderly, but it's about 5% overall. 

That percentage is falsely inflated because it's 5% out of confirmed cases. There are a TON of undiagnosed cases.

[kass]

Schools are still open in Sweden and the number of children died with or because Covid-19 is... 

"Infants" 0

0-10 year olds: O

10-20 year olds: 4 

20-30: 4

Our outbreak is still merely concentrated around Stockholm and some eastern and middle regions of Sweden also have a notable number if cases.

If open schools would have this severe impact, shouldn't the rest of Sweden then also have an explosion of new cases. 

[LinvilleGorge]

1 minute ago, kass said:

Schools are still open in Sweden and the number of children died with or because Covid-19 is... 

"Infants" 0

0-10 year olds: O

10-20 year olds: 4 

20-30: 4

Our outbreak is still merely concentrated around Stockholm and some eastern and middle regions of Sweden also have a notable number if cases.

If open schools would have this severe impact, shouldn't the rest of Sweden then also have an explosion of new cases. 

Sweden is going to be a very interesting case study on how to handle this. If their numbers don't explode over the coming weeks then maybe other countries need to use their approach as a guideline.

[kass]

24 minutes ago, LinvilleGorge said:

Sweden is going to be a very interesting case study on how to handle this. If their numbers don't explode over the coming weeks then maybe other countries need to use their approach as a guideline.

Today one agency announced that they will look into the numbers and secure the data. They did do a quick dive into it, saying it looked about right but now they will go through every case again.

Hopefully a few other countries also are up to the task. 

I tried to find the numbers for the US but it's a jungle. I couldn't find any data that included when the person actually died. There are alot of delayed reporting so it's hard to predict trends.

[Tbe]

3 hours ago, LinvilleGorge said:

Sweden is going to be a very interesting case study on how to handle this. If their numbers don't explode over the coming weeks then maybe other countries need to use their approach as a guideline.

Yeah, I feel like there are going to be two different prediction models and response protocols in the end.

1) How does the virus spread in densely populated areas (NYC, Jersey, Italy) and what response is appropriate.

2) How does the virus spread in less dense populations (Sweden, much of the US) and what response is appropriate.

Edited April 16, 2020 by Tbe

[Bytes]

1 hour ago, LinvilleGorge said:

Sweden is going to be a very interesting case study on how to handle this. If their numbers don't explode over the coming weeks then maybe other countries need to use their approach as a guideline.

well recently their numbers have been going up. But its still to early to see the true impact of their approach. 

[Cam's New Arm]

Dr. Oz is a quack. Take him with a granial of salt.

[cookinbrak]

3 hours ago, LinvilleGorge said:

Sweden is going to be a very interesting case study on how to handle this. If their numbers don't explode over the coming weeks then maybe other countries need to use their approach as a guideline.

Sweden doesn't know what the word "exponential" means. They're right up there with China in misinformation.

Critics question Swedish approach as coronavirus death toll reaches 1,000

Quote

SWEDEN has recorded its highest number of coronavirus deaths in one day after refusing to lockdown like the rest of Europe.

The Scandinavian country's death toll hit 1,203 with a record 170 fatalities reported in the last 24 hours.

 

[332nd]

3 hours ago, LinvilleGorge said:

That percentage is falsely inflated because it's 5% out of confirmed cases. There are a TON of undiagnosed cases.

Ok, let's say 2%. Now it's only as deadly as the Spanish Flu.

[LinvilleGorge]

1 minute ago, 332nd said:

Ok, let's say 2%. Now it's only as deadly as the Spanish Flu.

We'll never truly know, but if I was hazarding a guess it's probably in the 1% range. That's still 10x deadlier than the common flu.

[332nd]

12 minutes ago, LinvilleGorge said:

We'll never truly know, but if I was hazarding a guess it's probably in the 1% range. That's still 10x deadlier than the common flu.

That's gonna be the biggest problem with this as estimates are all we're going to have to go on. 

[LinvilleGorge]

1 minute ago, 332nd said:

That's gonna be the biggest problem with this as estimates are all we're going to have to go on. 

I think the coming antibody tests will provide a much clearer picture and probably enough of a picture to produce a decent SWAG at least. Right now we don't even have that.

[Jared Patterson]

Its fine we will start back up going to work in May and Football will be fine

[Shocker]

Wow, Von Miller has it...

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/29046156/broncos-star-von-miller-tests-positive-coronavirus