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Predict Panthers Record from 2020 through 2025

PghPanther

By PghPanther,
in Carolina Panthers

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bababoey Enthusiast

bababoey

Posted
Posted
38 minutes ago, Jar Ja Rhule said:

2020  0-16

2021  16-0

2022  Suspended due to WW3

2023  Suspended due to WW3

2024  Meteor hits....  4-7

2025  First SFL (Space Football League) season:  0-16

war games apocalypse GIF

 

2020 9-7

2021 Zombies

2022 Zombies

2023 Zombies

2024 Zombies

2025 ZFL Zombie Football League 0-99

shaun of the dead zombie GIF

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trueblade Grand Master

trueblade

Posted
Posted

Five years is a long time out. My feeling is each you your record will improve or decline by no more than four games year over year. I realize there are outlier examples of more extreme swings, but that's my expectation. 

2020: 3-13 (We were 5-11 in 2019 so the range of outcomes is 1-15 to 9-7)

2021: 6-10 (Assuming we go 3-13 in 2020, the range of outcomes is 0-16 to 7-9)

2022: 9-7 (Assuming we go 6-10 in 2021, the range of outcomes is 2-14 to 10-6)

2023: 12-4 (Assuming we go 9-7 in 2022, range of outcomes is 5-11 to 13-3)

2024: 11-5 (Assuming we go 12-4 in 2023, the range of outcomes is 8-8 to 16-0)

2025: 9-7 (Assuming we go 11-5 in 2024, the range of outcomes is 7-9 to 15-1)

Remember, all predictions wrong or your money back!

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CatTower Newbie

CatTower

Posted
Posted

2020:  11-5

2021:  9-7

2022: 10-6

2023:  5-11

2024:  4-12

2025:  7-9

 

I predict Cam comes back strong and the team takes advantage of an opening in the NFC South.  Falcons are stuck with bloated contracts, Bucs are a mess, and the Saints have to rebuild after paying off the Brees contract.  

We will probably win the division the next 3 years with Cam putting up decent passing numbers.  By 2023, the team will have to rebuild and take a step back.

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MHS831 Grand Master

MHS831

Posted
Posted
16 minutes ago, CatTower said:

2020:  11-5

2021:  9-7

2022: 10-6

2023:  5-11

2024:  4-12

2025:  7-9

 

I predict Cam comes back strong and the team takes advantage of an opening in the NFC South.  Falcons are stuck with bloated contracts, Bucs are a mess, and the Saints have to rebuild after paying off the Brees contract.  

We will probably win the division the next 3 years with Cam putting up decent passing numbers.  By 2023, the team will have to rebuild and take a step back.

Hard to say about Cam--it does not look great (for 2021) at this point.  But this is your prediction and not mine.  I think if we keep Cam, the rebuild in 2023 is a good prediction--and I don't think Tepper wants to rebuild more than once with Rhule.   This is almost an argument against keeping Cam--not your intent--but when you compare this to what Tepper said about building a program, it does not include rebuilding in 3 years.

As I shared in a post on another thread--Tepper was 12 when Noll took over as coach in Pittsburgh.  He had 3 seasons with 1, 5, and 6 wins respectively.  When Tepper was 14 or 15, the dynasty began that led to 10 straight winning seasons, 7 10+ win seasons, and 4 rings.  That is what Tepper wants to see. 

If keeping Cam thwarts that process, then he cuts him loose now.  Keeping Cam is a "win now" move, and comments do not suggest that is the plan.

Remember, the Steelers of the 70s built that team through the draft and developing talent.  They were not big players in free agency. Now more than ever, I believe the need to dabble in free agency is the biggest threat to team success--you overpay for players other teams developed.  Most of the time, they are not fits for your system and underperform.  Instead, the Steelers developed a solid work ethic, chemistry, and it clicked.

 

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lightsout Grand Master

lightsout

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, trueblade said:

Five years is a long time out. My feeling is each you your record will improve or decline by no more than four games year over year. I realize there are outlier examples of more extreme swings, but that's my expectation. 

2020: 3-13 (We were 5-11 in 2019 so the range of outcomes is 1-15 to 9-7)

2021: 6-10 (Assuming we go 3-13 in 2020, the range of outcomes is 0-16 to 7-9)

2022: 9-7 (Assuming we go 6-10 in 2021, the range of outcomes is 2-14 to 10-6)

2023: 12-4 (Assuming we go 9-7 in 2022, range of outcomes is 5-11 to 13-3)

2024: 11-5 (Assuming we go 12-4 in 2023, the range of outcomes is 8-8 to 16-0)

2025: 9-7 (Assuming we go 11-5 in 2024, the range of outcomes is 7-9 to 15-1)

Remember, all predictions wrong or your money back!



Honestly, I don't think you're that far off. We're (on average) around 7-9 all-time. Standard deviation trends change depending on the team (we have a higher one than most teams), so I think a more accurate assumption based on sheer data is around 5 games year over year just to account for teams like us.

I'm gonna go with

2020: 6-10 (we're competitive in each game, no blowout losses ie by more than 3 possessions).
2021: 9-7 (miss the playoffs here as NO and Atlanta are both strong and we get edged out by them during the season in pivotal games)
2022: 11-5 (playoff run, no SB)
2023: 12-4 (playoff run, SB appearance)
2024: 8-8 (I think we have a big roster turnover here and it leads to new faces in key roles, which leads to inconsistency on the field)

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