It's been a decade since a team found their franchise QB in the top 5 of the NFL draft

[weyco2000]

On 12/8/2019 at 9:57 AM, bobowilson said:

And the last time it happened was when the Carolina Panthers selected Cam Newton with the 1st pick.

If you look at every "young" franchise QB in the NFL right now, none of them were taken early in the 1st round.   There is a lot of sentiment that we will have to tank next year or do a long rebuild to draft high enough to find a new qb, but the data is pretty interesting.   Don't be so sure we can't find someone in the middle part of the 1st round.

Here is the list of 'top 5' QBs selected since Cam Newton

Jameis Winston, Marcus Mariota, Sam Darnold, Mitch Trubisky, Carson Wentz, Baker Mayfield, Jared Goff, Blake Bortles, Sam Bradford.   Carson Wentz is the only one out of this bunch with potential to live up to his draft billing.

Now look at the 'young' quarterbacks actually thriving in the NFL

Deshaun Watson - 12th pick

Russell Wilson - 3rd round

Patrick Mahomes - 10th pick

Lamar Jackson - 32nd pick

Kirk Cousins - 3rd round

Dak Prescott - 4th round

Derek Carr - 2nd round

Ryan Tannehill (maybe) - 8th pick, but also was able to be signed as cheap FA

Jimmy Garappolo - 2nd round

I doubt Jacoby Brissett or Minshew will prove to be franchise QBs, but they're somewhere in the range and also didn't require early draft capital.

Kyler Murray may prove to be the first early QB drafted in a decade who is a franchise guy, but it's too early to determine how he will pan out.

I dont know getting drafted by a team with Pro Bowlers and potential HOF players littering the roster most definitely helped. Gross and Kalil anchoring a decent OL, along with Wharton at G. Double Trouble in the backfield, Smitty at WR and Olsen/Shockey at TE. Its unusual for QB picked that high to have immediate success, which is why the guys you mentioned end up on solid teams with key pieces in place. 

[cookinbrak]

8 hours ago, Cracka McNasty said:

Today I learned that 2012 was a decade ago

And Sam Bradford was drafted afterwards.

 

Never let facts get in the way of your narrative, kids.

[stirs]

Black White Black White Black White

[DeAngelo Beason]

Something to consider here...  when you're taken in the top 5, you're going to a HORRIBLE team.  7 of the guys on that list went to teams that are perennial dumpster fires.  When the organization has a culture of losing and making bad decisions it's hard for any young QB to pull them out of it.  

That's not to necessarily say any of them are great players.  Just saying they do deserve a little slack that some of the other guys got by default.