Mcshay’s new mock.

[kungfoodude]

16 minutes ago, AU-panther said:

I'm not saying the they are great at predicting which players will be best.  Actually nobody is. Everyone misses more than the hit.  I actually find it interesting that with the resources (money, people, time) that teams put into it they still hit as little as they do.

My point was scouts typical do a good job of predicting the top 20 players or so.  Not which team but the range of the draft.  

The reason I think this is important a lot of your casual fans think in terms of rank. "We need a DE and if DE3 isn't there we will take DE4, if DE4 isn't there we'll take DE5"  Teams look at grades.  When it comes time to draft they will have a small list of players they expect to be there, and Scouts Inc tends to do a pretty good job of predicting that small list based on what I have seen in the past.

For example, we are picking 16, I would think our pick will be someone on that list between 12-20.  There will always a chance someone drops, Star for example, and sometimes people reach some, but overall it is pretty accurate.

 

Yeah, that is basically what every franchise does prior to every draft. You have to get your board put together and evaluate the players in house. I am typically an advocate of BPA in the draft because it is easy to get caught reaching for a need position when your board does not dictate that as a smart move. 

Scout does a decent job, I think they were better on the basketball side than the football side but I was a subscriber prior to ESPN buying them. I think Rivals and 247 do a pretty decent job, as well. 

Every scout is going to have a little bit of a different take on each individual player they are grading. That's just the way it is. But most do have the top of their boards pretty similar.