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Vote of Confidence

Cookie Lyon

By Cookie Lyon,
in Carolina Panthers

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On 12/29/2018 at 12:02 PM, MHS831 said:

The key question may not be WHAT DOES TEPPER THINK? but HOW DOES TEPPER THINK?. Remember, Tepper is a numbers guy from Wall Street--he makes decisions about the future based on numbers.  I said this in another thread:

Tepper (at some point) wanted Mike Tomlin fired. That is all we really know about Tepper and personnel decisions, so let's start there.  Tomlin has a very good QB in Pittsburgh who has not always had the highest profile supporting cast.  Yet in 12 seasons under Tomlin, the Steelers have never been below .500.  Tomlin's career win percentage?  66%.

Rivera has the most athletic QB in NFL history and has had a stellar defense for most of his career.  He has had 5 seasons where the Panthers finished below .500 and only 3 where they were above .500.  Numbers guys on Wall Street do not like volatility-it is a sign of instability in the markets--mixed messages.  Five years of losing money vs. three years of solid earnings does not keep you employed long.... RR's win percentage is .555 over his career, which makes it sound as if this is a winning franchise in the RR era, but he has engineered winning campaigns with a good QB just 37.5% of his time as head coach. His overall record is distorted by the three winning seasons where the team won 11, 12, and 15 games.  He has won NFL coach of the year twice (based on his record that year). 

Consistency? Volatility?

When their careers are compared, Tomlin wins 10.5 games per season.   In perhaps an equal situation, Rivera wins 8.75 games per season.  That is a big spread when you consider how many teams that win more than 10 games make the playoffs vs. the number of teams that win 9 games or fewer.

OK now if you analyze more details, you might compare the statistical advantage expected to gain in his appeals along with his clock management decisions. 

So the fact that Tepper has not endorsed Rivera could be significant.  You have to consider how a numbers guy thinks--and how he uses numbers to predict and determine success.

Being to lazy to look it up I'm curious as to each coach's opponents winning percentage.

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