Do You Think CMC Will Get 1000 Yards Rushing / 1000 Yards Receiving During His Rookie Contract (First 4 Years?)

[Hoenheim]

So I was reviewing some stats recently since we're around the half way mark and CMC is stastically our best skill position player on offense.

I saw that McCaffrey has 579 rushing yards / 439 receiving yards at only 9 games played he's on a blistering pace and got me to thinking about him getting close to 1000 in each catagory.

Mind you this has only been done a grand total of TWO times in NFL history (Roger Craig : 1985 , Marshall Faulk : 1999 ). That would be an incredible honor but I'm thinking he's not going to have enough receiving yards. I could see him getting like 1100 rushing and 700 receiving.  Unless he pops off some huge receiving plays late in the season. I think him getting to 1000 rushing shouldnt be a problem though.

I also reviewed the stats of every other back in the top 20 in rushing yards currently and the only other two players anywhere near CMC are Alvin Kamara (546 / 473 ) and Saquon Barkley ( 586 , 530 ). Isn't it odd how close the stats are for Kamara, Barkley , and CMC are but CMC isn't anywhere near as sensationalized or gushed over as the other two RBs are?

So you think any of these 3 will get to that mythical 1000/1000 this season? In general do you think CMC will get to it eventually but not this year? 

Just thought this might be an interesting mid-season topic. 

Heres a CMC 2018 highlight : 

 

Also another general question, what is the final stat line you would predict for him? Id say 1100 and 700 

 

[Mage]

Maybe if we split him out wide more and let him make more catches downfield.  Otherwise I don't see it happening.  Newton would either need to target him more, and Cam's always been good for spreading the ball around, or CMC would need to start generating more explosive plays with the catches he gets underneath.

 

[Kevin Greene]

Question is, will he get a Lombardi?

[Hoenheim]

3 minutes ago, Mage said:

Maybe if we split him out wide more and let him make more catches downfield.  Otherwise I don't see it happening.  Newton would either need to target him more, and Cam's always been good for spreading the ball around, or CMC would need to start generating more explosive plays with the catches he gets underneath.

 

thats pretty much what I was thinking, and why he doesn't have 550+ receiving yards right now. Almost all of his targets come pretty damn close to the LOS and hes generally not had many huge catching plays this year. And almost never gets those big downfield targets that Kamara and Saquon get. 

[lightsout]

Won't happen because teams so far are either selling out to stop those shallow routes or selling out to stop the runs. So they're either gonna stack the box or spread it wide, meaning either CMC as a runner or receiver is going to suffer in favor of the other. 

Now if he ends up with a 150+ yards receiving game in the next couple of weeks, and can average about 80 yards of each in each game the rest of the season, it's certainly POSSIBLE. Personally, I think either his rushing or receiving will hit or be just below 1K this year and the other will be around 700 or so at most. Unless he just has a monster 300 total yardage game, then that goes out the window.

[Hoenheim]

5 minutes ago, lightsout said:

Won't happen because teams so far are either selling out to stop those shallow routes or selling out to stop the runs. So they're either gonna stack the box or spread it wide, meaning either CMC as a runner or receiver is going to suffer in favor of the other. 

Now if he ends up with a 150+ yards receiving game in the next couple of weeks, and can average about 80 yards of each in each game the rest of the season, it's certainly POSSIBLE. Personally, I think either his rushing or receiving will hit or be just below 1K this year and the other will be around 700 or so at most. Unless he just has a monster 300 total yardage game, then that goes out the window.

 

Rushing wise he's well on pace for just a bit over 1000 . Receiving wise it seems like he'd cap out at 800 max unless he had a couple of explosive receiving games. 

[lightsout]

9 minutes ago, Hoenheim said:

 

Rushing wise he's well on pace for just a bit over 1000 . Receiving wise it seems like he'd cap out at 800 max unless he had a couple of explosive receiving games. 

I always hate hearing "on pace for" when we're talking about any stat other than tackles or QB passing stats. Any game can be big or insignificant for any skill position player on offense. QBs can be predicted somewhat reliably. We all know Cam is going to land between 175 and 275 passing yards in any game, while Brady is going to be closer to 275+ in most games. But with RBs, teams can isolate them and force the plays to go through other guys much more reliably, thus limiting their numbers. CMC got a big boost from the Bengals game. Make that game on the high end of his typical game rushing this season (I put him at 60, for the sake of this example), he's at 455 yards rushing on the year and on pace for about 800 on the season. So you have to always take that stuff with a grain of salt. There's a chance McCaffrey misses 1000 yards in either category, and that wouldn't surprise me at all if that ends up being the case. Teams know he's our most deadly asset. Once we get to the end of the year with saints, falcons, and saints again, we'll see that play out. 

[t96]

Look at the defenses we play the rest of the year... It's doable this year.

[Wolfpredator]

As others have said, I don't see it happening unless he has a few BIG games...talking like 150+ receiving and 80+ Rushing.  I think realistically he ends up with 1700-1800 tops.

[jfra78]

He will have 200 all purpose yards this week

[OldNorthPowell]

1000 rush 800 receiving

[Eazy-E]

I don't think it will happen playing with Cam unless Cam's carries dramatically decrease.

[Vagrant]

short answer: no 

longer answer: i don't think anyone will hit that mark again. the league is so much different now than it was when people were making a serious run at it on a regular basis. marshall faulk and roger craig did it inside two of the most prolific offenses of all time. secondly, the story of david johnson of the cardinals is the cautionary tale of allowing a RB to touch the ball 380 times in a season and what that does to their longevity. it's like pitch counts in baseball. you just can't expect a guy to take that much abuse on a weekly basis and not break down. 

it's a fun stat to watch, but in this day and age your coach should be fired if your star back is approaching those numbers. 

[iamhubby1]

23 minutes ago, Vagrant said:

short answer: no 

longer answer: i don't think anyone will hit that mark again. the league is so much different now than it was when people were making a serious run at it on a regular basis. marshall faulk and roger craig did it inside two of the most prolific offenses of all time. secondly, the story of david johnson of the cardinals is the cautionary tale of allowing a RB to touch the ball 380 times in a season and what that does to their longevity. it's like pitch counts in baseball. you just can't expect a guy to take that much abuse on a weekly basis and not break down. 

it's a fun stat to watch, but in this day and age your coach should be fired if your star back is approaching those numbers. 

 

    Normally, I might agree with you. But man, Kamara, and Barkley have legitimate shots. And CmC might get damm close. 

 

    Also, these guys are not getting close to 30 touches a game. They are doing it with 20-25 touches. Those receiving yards add up. They aren't running for 1500, then receiving the other 500. They are much closer to 1,000, and 1,000, So the wear and tear is nowhere near as severe. 

 

    I mean, dang. 3 guys with a shot. All in the same year? Damm.