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Film Analysis: Is Panthers WR Torrey Smith The Answer?


Saca312

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The Panthers grabbed themselves Torrey Smith after trading Worley to the Eagles. Taking on a 5M cap hit, Smith comes in as the Panthers highest paid WR on the roster. 

At first glance, it's obvious the Panthers are looking for speed and experience. Torrey Smith brings both of those to the table. Boasting incredibly athletic combine numbers (his 'lowest' athletic metric is still in the elite levels), it's fair to say he has plenty of potential. However, at age 29 it does come to wonder whether what he's shown the past few years are just a fluke, or a sign of things to come.

In this thread, I'm here hoping to bring to you guys a better picture of him overall as a receiver. I plan on showing both his good points and his bad and letting you all decide whether the trade was worth it or not. The goal is to not convince you guys on one point or the other, but to show from an objective standpoint his strengths and weaknesses.

I won't be showing you what he's done prior to the Eagles. There's already plenty of articles out there on that (i.e. this fluff piece here: https://t.co/O2SQAwFpZ9). 

Anyhow, go ahead and look below and decide for yourself.

The Good

One thing Torrey Smith does pretty well is sell the double move and get separation.

Against Josh Norman, Smith faces off coverage. Norman is playing outside leverage, so the idea is for Smith to sell his route outside to keep Norman at a disadvantage. Smith fakes going outside and remains inside with a double move, getting him separation. Wentz underthrows, but likely would've been a touchdown had someone like Cam hit him right on target.

Animated GIF

On that play, Smith shows good recognition of the defense and a solid head nod to sell and fake out his route. This gave him the possible opportunity of running into the endzone with a touchdown.

Throughout film, he shows ability to use head bobs to create separation and working well outside the numbers. On the route below, Smith finds himself on a route outside the numbers. To get separation, he showcases a decent head bob that forces the corner to stutter a bit and let Smith get the separation he needed. While clearly the QB underthrows, he does get separation and draws a PI as a consolation prize instead.

Animated GIF

Finally, he shows decent footwork throughout his repertoire to get open down the field. 

Against the Rams, Smith finds himself facing off coverage. Noticing the situation, he gets enough depth and stutter steps to the middle of the field into the open zone. Corner obviously remains in his role of staying deep down the field, and to his dismay finds that clearly the Eagles have found an open zone in their defense. Smith takes advantage for a huge gain.

Animated GIF

Against Waynes, Smith's footwork allows him to get open once again. Does a quick stutter to get open inside and gain leverage against Waynes. While he certainly could be more aggressive at the catch point and catch this (which still would be hard to catch given it was a bad throw), he still shows his potential in terms of using certain moves to get open.

Animated GIF

The Bad

Well, with the good comes the bad. Smith is by no means a perfect receiver, and he has some things he needs to work on.

In the below example, Smith is facing press coverage against the Chiefs. Ideally, you want a solid release to be able to get a step on the corner and "stack" him to get open. Smith fails with proper footwork to do so, and gets trapped. Throws off timing with Wentz and also fails to adjust to the catch as well.

Animated GIF

Now, adding on, he does not do well in contested catch scenarios. All Panthers WRs had that issue, so this is not encouraging. Wentz is in scramble mode so expecting an in-stride pass in this situation is not logical. Wentz throws the ball in a situation where he just has to beat Sorenson at the catch point. Turns head, puts hands up, and drops what he should've caught.

Animated GIF

In the next example, he still doesn't show the aggressiveness you want in a WR at the catch point. Against the Rams, the QB throws a perfect pass to Smith, landing right in his hands. However, Smith isn't able to haul it in, letting a DB come in and easily strip it out. In this scenario, Smith needs to be more aggressive at the catch point and come down with stronger hands.

Animated GIF

Finally, Smith has had a really bad time with drops. So far, I've personally seen at least 8 times he should've been able to catch the ball in certain scenarios, but below are two of the more egregious.

Getting a free release, Smith finds himself wide open. Wentz throws a perfect ball that lands squarely in Smith's hands. However, much like Ginn in his time in Carolina, he drops what should've been the easy catch and fails to capitalize on a solid throw.

Animated GIF

Below, Smith once again drops another on target catch. Getting wide open over the middle, Smith could've easily gotten the 1st down and more. However, much like Russell Shepard, he's unable to haul it in on the slant. This leads to an incompletion and failure to convert the 3rd down.

Animated GIF

Overall

Note: The following is plainly my opinion. Ignore if you prefer not to see my thoughts.

Route Running: 6.5/10

- He does show the ability to get separation using a variety of moves, such as a double move, head bob, or footwork. However, his overall route tree is limited. He'll get predictable on hitch routes,out routes, and plenty of others, allowing most corners to easily adjust and stop him. Needs to be more consistent in selling out routes other than relying on the same moves that keep showing on film. Diversifying his skillset and moveset is certainly a fixable issue, but this needs to happen sooner rather than later.

Separation: 7.5/10

Does get good separation when relying on speed. Mainly hampered by his route tree and being predictable, but from an athletic standpoint he'll most definitely get separation when the defense doesn't guess what he's running ahead of time. To get better, he'll need to fix his route-running tree so that he's able to take advantage of the athlete he is.

Speed: 10/10

There's no doubting he has speed. Plainly put, he's an athlete. His combine traits are on full display when he's downfield. Get him open in situations like Ginn and refine his route-running for such, and he'll give you the benefits of burner speed. 

Release: 2/10

- Really poor against press coverage. Cannot seem to get a decent release at the line of scrimmage from examples I'm seeing. Needs to refine technique completely, otherwise he'll have similar problems to Kelvin Benjamin

Catching: 2/10

- Doesn't seem to have natural hands. Tends to bobble a bit and not seem comfortable with the simple form of catching. Very Ginn-like from what I'm seeing, and does drop the easy balls on more than one occasion. From what I'm seeing, there's at least 8 drops over a span of 8 games that he could've caught. Needs to be far more aggressive at the catch-point

- Aggresiveness: 3.5/10

- Overall, not very aggressive. Will let DBs out-muscle him on plenty of occasions. Really needs to find a mean-streak to him and instill his will to get more chances.

What are your thoughts?

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    I think, if folks thought he was brought in to be a #1 type WR, they may need to rethink their thinking.

 

    I think, if folks think he was brought in to help in that WR room, and be a nice compliment to the WR corp. as a whole. Then those folks could be in the right frame of mind.

 

    We now have a poo ton of speed at WR. If Norv can figure it out? Man is it gon be fun.

 

    I also think that if all that speed does find a way to be effective. We may be able to get by without a true #1 for the foreseeable future. I think I would like to get us one, but I also think it MAY not be a priority. Think positive. Yeah, that's the ticket.

 

    

    

 

    

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Just now, iamhubby1 said:

We now have a poo ton of speed at WR. If Norv can figure it out? Man is it gon be fun.

Sounds a lot like we’re taking the Steelers approach with our WR corps.

Find a lot of speed guys and see who sticks. Can’t complain about that.

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20 minutes ago, Saca312 said:

The Panthers grabbed themselves Torrey Smith after trading Worley to the Eagles. Taking on a 5M cap hit, Smith comes in as the Panthers highest paid WR on the roster. 

At first glance, it's obvious the Panthers are looking for speed and experience. Torrey Smith brings both of those to the table. Boasting incredibly athletic combine numbers (his 'lowest' athletic metric is still in the elite levels), it's fair to say he has plenty of potential. However, at age 29 it does come to wonder whether what he's shown the past few years are just a fluke, or a sign of things to come.

In this thread, I'm here hoping to bring to you guys a better picture of him overall as a receiver. I plan on showing both his good points and his bad and letting you all decide whether the trade was worth it or not. The goal is to not convince you guys on one point or the other, but to show from an objective standpoint his strengths and weaknesses.

I won't be showing you what he's done prior to the Eagles. There's already plenty of articles out there on that (i.e. this fluff piece here: https://t.co/O2SQAwFpZ9). 

Anyhow, go ahead and look below and decide for yourself.

The Good

One thing Torrey Smith does pretty well is sell the double move and get separation.

Against Josh Norman, Smith faces off coverage. Norman is playing outside leverage, so the idea is for Smith to sell his route outside to keep Norman at a disadvantage. Smith fakes going outside and remains inside with a double move, getting him separation. Wentz underthrows, but likely would've been a touchdown had someone like Cam hit him right on target.

Animated GIF

On that play, Smith shows good recognition of the defense and a solid head nod to sell and fake out his route. This gave him the possible opportunity of running into the endzone with a touchdown.

Throughout film, he shows ability to use head bobs to create separation and working well outside the numbers. On the route below, Smith finds himself on a route outside the numbers. To get separation, he showcases a decent head bob that forces the corner to stutter a bit and let Smith get the separation he needed. While clearly the QB underthrows, he does get separation and draws a PI as a consolation prize instead.

Animated GIF

Finally, he shows decent footwork throughout his repertoire to get open down the field. 

Against the Rams, Smith finds himself facing off coverage. Noticing the situation, he gets enough depth and stutter steps to the middle of the field into the open zone. Corner obviously remains in his role of staying deep down the field, and to his dismay finds that clearly the Eagles have found an open zone in their defense. Smith takes advantage for a huge gain.

Animated GIF

Against Waynes, Smith's footwork allows him to get open once again. Does a quick stutter to get open inside and gain leverage against Waynes. While he certainly could be more aggressive at the catch point and catch this (which still would be hard to catch given it was a bad throw), he still shows his potential in terms of using certain moves to get open.

Animated GIF

The Bad

Well, with the good comes the bad. Smith is by no means a perfect receiver, and he has some things he needs to work on.

In the below example, Smith is facing press coverage against the Chiefs. Ideally, you want a solid release to be able to get a step on the corner and "stack" him to get open. Smith fails with proper footwork to do so, and gets trapped. Throws off timing with Wentz and also fails to adjust to the catch as well.

Animated GIF

Now, adding on, he does not do well in contested catch scenarios. All Panthers WRs had that issue, so this is not encouraging. Wentz is in scramble mode so expecting an in-stride pass in this situation is not logical. Wentz throws the ball in a situation where he just has to beat Sorenson at the catch point. Turns head, puts hands up, and drops what he should've caught.

Animated GIF

In the next example, he still doesn't show the aggressiveness you want in a WR at the catch point. Against the Rams, the QB throws a perfect pass to Smith, landing right in his hands. However, Smith isn't able to haul it in, letting a DB come in and easily strip it out. In this scenario, Smith needs to be more aggressive at the catch point and come down with stronger hands.

Animated GIF

Finally, Smith has had a really bad time with drops. So far, I've personally seen at least 8 times he should've been able to catch the ball in certain scenarios, but below are two of the more egregious.

Getting a free release, Smith finds himself wide open. Wentz throws a perfect ball that lands squarely in Smith's hands. However, much like Ginn in his time in Carolina, he drops what should've been the easy catch and fails to capitalize on a solid throw.

Animated GIF

Below, Smith once again drops another on target catch. Getting wide open over the middle, Smith could've easily gotten the 1st down and more. However, much like Russell Shepard, he's unable to haul it in on the slant. This leads to an incompletion and failure to convert the 3rd down.

Animated GIF

Overall

Note: The following is plainly my opinion. Ignore if you prefer not to see my thoughts.

Route Running: 6.5/10

- He does show the ability to get separation using a variety of moves, such as a double move, head bob, or footwork. However, his overall route tree is limited. He'll get predictable on hitch routes,out routes, and plenty of others, allowing most corners to easily adjust and stop him. Needs to be more consistent in selling out routes other than relying on the same moves that keep showing on film. Diversifying his skillset and moveset is certainly a fixable issue, but this needs to happen sooner rather than later.

Separation: 7.5/10

Does get good separation when relying on speed. Mainly hampered by his route tree and being predictable, but from an athletic standpoint he'll most definitely get separation when the defense doesn't guess what he's running ahead of time. To get better, he'll need to fix his route-running tree so that he's able to take advantage of the athlete he is.

Speed: 10/10

There's no doubting he has speed. Plainly put, he's an athlete. His combine traits are on full display when he's downfield. Get him open in situations like Ginn and refine his route-running for such, and he'll give you the benefits of burner speed. 

Release: 2/10

- Really poor against press coverage. Cannot seem to get a decent release at the line of scrimmage from examples I'm seeing. Needs to refine technique completely, otherwise he'll have similar problems to Kelvin Benjamin

Catching: 2/10

- Doesn't seem to have natural hands. Tends to bobble a bit and not seem comfortable with the simple form of catching. Very Ginn-like from what I'm seeing, and does drop the easy balls on more than one occasion. From what I'm seeing, there's at least 8 drops over a span of 8 games that he could've caught. Needs to be far more aggressive at the catch-point

- Aggresiveness: 3.5/10

- Overall, not very aggressive. Will let DBs out-muscle him on plenty of occasions. Really needs to find a mean-streak to him and instill his will to get more chances.

What are your thoughts?

I could have saved u a ton of time. The answer is no.

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3 minutes ago, Saca312 said:

Sounds a lot like we’re taking the Steelers approach with our WR corps.

Find a lot of speed guys and see who sticks. Can’t complain about that.

 

    Two more things to think about. We also have Clay, who at least saw the field last year. So he is another "Speed guy".

 

    And Cam should be healthy for ALL Off Season workouts. 

 

    By the time Training Camp ends. We should have a pretty good idea how we may look this year. I am excited about watching this play out.

 

    I just don't see this year being the year we get that true #1 WR. At least not from FA. But hey, who knows? We got kinda lucky with the production KB gave us as a Rook. I just don't see us using a 1st on a WR, so getting lucky will take a whole lotta luck.

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