Soooo... which RB will Hurney be selecting in round 1?

[Car123]

24 minutes ago, frash.exe said:

marty hurney had a habit towards the end of drafting players in the second round that he had applied a first round grade to. he did it with everette brown, he did it with dwayne jarrett. he really liked jimmy clausen and i don’t know of any other gm that was confirmed to be trying to trade up for jimmy besides hurney. he obviously put a higher value on him than most other teams. so it doesn’t follow that he’s this first round guru that many people claim him to be, if he’s applying first round grades to these guys.

the other thing to consider is that of all of hurney’s first round picks (there are 10 of them), four of them were in the top 10. so the proportion of blue chip players available in that part of the draft is going to help your success rate. the four guys we picked are easily the best players he ever drafted (peppers, gross, newton, kuechly). so if we were in the top 10, i’d feel a lot more comfortable with him scouting the draft this year. but we’re not picking top ten. we’re picking 24th, in red chip land. and when it comes to picking red chips, hurney is as inconsistent as anybody else. this is something that gettleman was so much better than hurney at judging.

so, as far as players he picked in the 20s? gamble, williams, beason, otah. not really a showcase of gamechangers in comparison imo. and this is closer to the reality of what we’re likely to walk away with in the first round this year, assuming that we stay put. a lot of praise that hurney gets for picking in the first round is because of those top ten picks, especially the last two. 

my overarching point in all of this is that hurney is mortal in the first round like anybody else. so we might get a servicable starter in the draft, and this may be our best player acquisition this offseason, as our first round pick has been many times during hurney’s first run.

So we have a great (66%) chance of drafting an All-Pro at 24? Awesome.

[frash.exe]

24 minutes ago, Car123 said:

So we have a great (66%) chance of drafting an All-Pro at 24? Awesome.

show your work

[Car123]

5 minutes ago, frash.exe said:

show your work

Beason and Williams were All-Pros. Otah wasn't picked in the 20's.

[frash.exe]

6 minutes ago, Car123 said:

Beason and Williams were All-Pros. Otah wasn't picked in the 20's.

lol

19th, my god

still within a five pick range as are the other three. so that’s 50/50.

 

[top dawg]

If we pick an RB in the first,  it will be Sony Michel.  Mark it down. 

[bewonee]

not gonna happen