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Rookie running backs since the Huddle started


Cyberjag

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I hear a lot on here about CMC being over-drafted, but his numbers are really good compared to similar-skilled players drafted around the same time.  I looked at skill guys (RBs and WRs) drafted between 6-11 over the past 15 years or so.  The numbers below show Rookie Year yds from scrimmage.  For every AP or Gurley, there are about 4 CJ Spiller/Tavon Austin types.  CMCs projected numbers really stack up.  IMHO he is performing above average for his draft position.

Player Draft # Yds Scrim TD Fumble
K Robinson 9 549 2 2
D Terrell 8 415 4 0
Thomas Jones 7 581 2 4
Ron Dayne 11 781 5 1
Roy Williams 7 818 8 1
Reggie Williams 9 268 1 1
Troy Williamson 7 410 2 0
Mike Williams 10 350 1 2
Peterson 7 1,609 13 4
Ginn 9 423 4 3
Heyward-Bay 7 143 2 0
Crabtree 10 625 4 1
Julio Jones 6 1,015 8 1
Spiller 9 440 1 5
Austin 8 569 5 4
Evans 7 1,051 12 0
Gurley 10 1,294 10 3
K White 7 0 0 0
M Williams (2017) 7 84 0 0
Ross (2017) 9 12 0 0
         
CMC Projected(2017) 8 1,071 7 1
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I think McCaffrey will end up with around a 3.9 or 4.0 ypc after the seasons over. He's been averaging over 5 ypc the last 3 games and he's been busting longer runs with more consistency. Would be nice to see him get to 500 rushing yards , which isn't impossible , he just has to average 50 rushing yards a game from here on out. I'd say at the absolute very optomistic end of the spectrum, he finishes the season very strong on the ground averaging about 60 yards a contest, and gets 550 ish rush yards and 700 ish receiving yards . Which really makes it seem like hes a #2 or #3 WR who had a bunch of successful end around haha. Ginn had 700 something receiving yards in his last couple seasons here, and McCaffrey might also get around the same number of TDs he had. 

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I don't care where he was drafted.  The Panthers with CMC are a metric ton better on offense than the Panthers without CMC.  The amount they are better is probably worth a first round investment.  I am not sure I would say that about that many players taken after him.  And I don't know that I would be able to say the same thing about any player taken ahead of him save Fournette, although he plays a lot like Stewart and our line hasn't gotten it done for Stewie in a while.

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9 minutes ago, grimesgoat said:

 

The only person on that entire list who really beat CMC by a wide margin in yfs was Adrian fuging Peterson. Please hold on to this chart for people saying CMC is a bust. He could end up getting about 200 more yards from scrimage than that because his early season totals are bringing the average down. I think he goes off vs the Saints and the Bucs. 

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1 minute ago, Pantha-kun said:

The only person on that entire list who really beat CMC by a wide margin in yfs was Adrian fuging Peterson. Please hold on to this chart for people saying CMC is a bust. He could end up getting about 200 more yards from scrimage than that because his early season totals are bringing the average down. I think he goes off vs the Saints and the Bucs. 

Please stop busting out the "People say CMC is a bust" strawman. It's stupid. 

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If I had to re-rank the rookies of the 2017 draft based on their performance so far in the NFL , out of ALL the first rounders based on the value they provided to their respective teams, I'd only have Marshon Lattimore, TJ Watt, and Tredavious White ahead of McCaffrey.  He'd be top 5. 

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1 hour ago, Pantha-kun said:

If I had to re-rank the rookies of the 2017 draft based on their performance so far in the NFL , out of ALL the first rounders based on the value they provided to their respective teams, I'd only have Marshon Lattimore, TJ Watt, and Tredavious White ahead of McCaffrey.  He'd be top 5. 

Deshaun Watson bruh

Knowing what was shown...no way he wouldn't of been a top 3 pick

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1 minute ago, CRA said:

CMC will end up with about 1100-1200 total yards and 7-8 TDs.

On a team that heavily overuses a 30 year old RB.

That is far from "bust" level production for a first round pick given the situation. 

 

I think people were just expecting otherworldly play. Which I, myself, got caught up in just based on what I saw at Stanford and what we were seeing in practice/ preseason games. 

I think those plays will come but I still don’t see how the word “bust” is even mentioned by a few posters on here when this is the level of production you get from someone at the #8 pick who isn’t on the field every play like other skill positions. He’s been playing great.

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2 hours ago, grimesgoat said:

I hear a lot on here about CMC being over-drafted, but his numbers are really good compared to similar-skilled players drafted around the same time.  I looked at skill guys (RBs and WRs) drafted between 6-11 over the past 15 years or so.  The numbers below show Rookie Year yds from scrimmage.  For every AP or Gurley, there are about 4 CJ Spiller/Tavon Austin types.  CMCs projected numbers really stack up.  IMHO he is performing above average for his draft position.

Player Draft # Yds Scrim TD Fumble
K Robinson 9 549 2 2
D Terrell 8 415 4 0
Thomas Jones 7 581 2 4
Ron Dayne 11 781 5 1
Roy Williams 7 818 8 1
Reggie Williams 9 268 1 1
Troy Williamson 7 410 2 0
Mike Williams 10 350 1 2
Peterson 7 1,609 13 4
Ginn 9 423 4 3
Heyward-Bay 7 143 2 0
Crabtree 10 625 4 1
Julio Jones 6 1,015 8 1
Spiller 9 440 1 5
Austin 8 569 5 4
Evans 7 1,051 12 0
Gurley 10 1,294 10 3
K White 7 0 0 0
M Williams (2017) 7 84 0 0
Ross (2017) 9 12 0 0
         
CMC Projected(2017) 8 1,071 7 1

What a disingenuous chart, you’re comparing receivers to running backs, Mccaffrey already has 100 more touches than any receiver on that list.

And you’re using bust like Ron Dayne and Mike Williams to boost your argument? really 

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