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Irma


Ja  Rhule

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16 minutes ago, cookinwithgas said:

I checked our meteorology site at work (Duke Energy) and their track shows Irma hitting Miami, changing course due north, getting back out to sea before hitting Charleston area and coming straight north to Charlotte. Seems kind of early for that prediction.

Yeah way to early for that. The upper level jet stream is key on Irma's routes at 18000 ft and above it is steering Irma. If it moves faster North than predicted Irma will miss everything.  But it is looking more likely that Irma will make it into the Gulf of Mexico. 

 

Really think we will see the models changing and it will skim southern Florida and then turn North in the gulf going north and hitting Alabama and Tennessee.  

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3 hours ago, Shocker said:

Do you know a good link to track Irma?  I've been using. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/085048.shtml?cone

Maybe you have a better one? Thanks man

This is one of the most useful pages of information IMO( noaa wind speed probabilities ).  You really don't want to see your city or area on this list, and if it is you want the percentages to decrease, not increase.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIAPWSAT1+shtml/051445.shtml?

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Got that from a fishing site I use a lot...just changed what their thoughts are again...this is going to be last minute boys and girls.

 

If anyone wants to make a "tips and tricks" thread, we can start helping people get prepared.

 

NVM, I'll start one.

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First tip is to stock up  on diapers ahead of the storm.  When Berthas eye went over middle sound when I lived there in 96, I went out and used my chainsaw to cut up a tree that had fallen across the road so emergency vehicles could get through if necessary.  Along comes a woman in a car - she was headed out to the store to get some baby diapers. Un fuggin believable.

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2 hours ago, Squirrel said:

Yeah way to early for that. The upper level jet stream is key on Irma's routes at 18000 ft and above it is steering Irma. If it moves faster North than predicted Irma will miss everything.  But it is looking more likely that Irma will make it into the Gulf of Mexico. 

 

Really think we will see the models changing and it will skim southern Florida and then turn North in the gulf going north and hitting Alabama and Tennessee.  

I think that is what is going to happen too.  What scares me is if it does what you say but turns just past FL and goes up the gulf coast of the state.  That is the Atlantis scenario for my region (Tampa area)

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So GFS and US government have different predictions. GFS still says Irma will hit Miami and go back out to Atlantic and then re-enter as Cat 4 hitting Charleston and rolling thru Charlotte.  Government says Irma will hit North Florida and go thru Charlotte as depression.

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