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Irma


Ja  Rhule

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On 9/1/2017 at 7:28 AM, Squirrel said:

Won't have a good idea til Tuesday. But looks like it is tracking to high North for major impact.  Have to see what the frontal systems do as far as steering the storm. 

Bad news...  it went farther south than expected.  Will most def hit US around SC.

 

 

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Just watched weather channel and they explained everything.  There is a strong low pressure front in North West US and very strong High Pressure front in Bermuda.  That high pressure front keeps Irma from turning back into ocean.  There is a chance North West front will push Bermuda front away but unlikely causing Irma to turn into SC/NC.  Currently Irma turning back into Atlantic is only at 20% and making landfall in SC/NC at 80%.  Basically Mother Nature created a perfectal tunnel for Irma to travel right to us.  Also, Irma will be blocked off in West Virginia by another high pressure system and will be forced to stall and turn back toward Carolinas.  No joke.

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1 hour ago, ARSEN said:

Just watched weather channel and they explained everything.  There is a strong low pressure front in North West US and very strong High Pressure front in Bermuda.  That high pressure front keeps Irma from turning back into ocean.  There is a chance North West front will push Bermuda front away but unlikely causing Irma to turn into SC/NC.  Currently Irma turning back into Atlantic is only at 20% and making landfall in SC/NC at 80%.  Basically Mother Nature created a perfectal tunnel for Irma to travel right to us.  Also, Irma will be blocked off in West Virginia by another high pressure system and will be forced to stall and turn back toward Carolinas.  No joke.

Yeah not looking good. Better stock up on water and gas. Looks like Hugo II

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The latest model runs are putting Charlotte and central NC/SC back into play. Also looks really bad for Florida. The GFS has a giant hurricane keeping it's category 4-5 strength for several frames after landfall and covers all of South Carolina and most of North Carolina in hurricane force winds at some point.

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That last model has it turning north later than it was.  If that trend continues and it moves around FL before heading north then it is the worst case scenario here in the Tampa area.  The location here makes major hurricane landfall unlikely and it has not happened in ninety-six years.  One of these years though the luck will run out and the devastation will be historic.  Hopefully this is not it.

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the new GFS model has irma directly hitting miami, riding the coast north, making landfall again as a strong category 4/possible category 5 near the GA/SC border, and then running over charlotte on its way north:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=atl&pkg=z500a&runtime=2017090412&fh=180

 

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