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Which Analyst Was The Most Accurate


RumHam

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This is why mock drafts are stupid (and why the serious analysts like Mayock only do them to appease viewers) because it's almost impossible to guess what each GM is going to do and to pick out all the trades. 

How a rational human being should judge these analysts is were they right about the studs and the duds three years from now. This is why I am indifferent about Christian. I didn't waste my time watching hours of tape, but I trust that DG did. If he's Christian ends up being the player we want him to be, then that's success. If mayock and others saw him having success in the next level then that's success. If analysts don't think Trubisky will have success and he does, then that's failure on part of the analysts.

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That's why I want to know, because they are a waste and people take them too seriously. Kiper sat there in disgust last night not talking because he wasn't remotely close. He put a Linebacker with shoulder issues at #5. Anyone can be "opinionated" but it would help if someone was credible. I almost think the teams do this on purpose now despite the media. When they all talked about Chicago taking Solomon Thomas at #2, every casual knew it was for a QB. People just couldn't believe it. 

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24 minutes ago, RumHam said:

Kiper missed on like 75% of his picks. He seriously doesn't deserve a job. Anyways, who or where seemed to be the most accurate in the first round?

If he hit on 25% that would make him the most accurate. I think I read mayock only hit on 2 players. Garrett and McCaffrey.

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27 minutes ago, RumHam said:

Kiper missed on like 75% of his picks. He seriously doesn't deserve a job. Anyways, who or where seemed to be the most accurate in the first round?

First time watching the draft eh? he misses on like 75% every year, he knows a lot about every player and thats why he is who he is, not for getting the picks right cause he never does

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26 minutes ago, GoobyPls said:

For those saying Mayock, Mayock is actually one of the worse mock draft analyst out there. Kiper is actually more accurate 

Actually untrue. Until this year, when everyone struggled, Mayock was top 5 in Mock Draft accuracy. Jason Boris, the 2nd most accurate mock drafter, until this year, only got 3 right.

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Mocks are fun, but expecting them to actually be accurate is an exercise in futility. Just far too many variables with hundreds of prospects, different opinions within the same room (scout opinions vary a lot compared to media groupthink), trades, positional value assessments, etc. Getting the exact slot for 32 players correct is akin to getting 100% on your March Madness bracket.

But to answer your question: the top media guy from the first round was Marino from NDT, who got only 9 picks "right." That's 72% wrong, so there's only a 3% gap (or one correct pick) between the top guy and "how does this guy have a job?"

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