Would Eddie Lacy Be Worth a Gamble?

[panthers1234]

Lacy is like a sucky version of stew. 

[Yaboychris28]

9 hours ago, Cracka McNasty said:

Weight has been a real issue the past few seasons. He slimmed down quickly this past offseason but then gained a lot of it back throughout 2016. Ended the year not much lighter, if at all, than in 2015. 

I'm going to lean no on this. He's decent when skinny, but he's eating himself out of a job. Couple that with Krispy Kreme, Bojangles, Cook Out, and other fast food available in the south, I don't see him staying slim.

 

Nah, I'm good. We already have Tolbert and we don't even want him.

Remmers replacement?

[Carolina28]

Yeap

Sent from my SM-J700P using CarolinaHuddle mobile app

[MHS831]

Here is my theory----never draft a RB in the first round, never give a RB a second contract.

An average RB behind a good line is just as good as a good RB behind an average line. Put the $$$ in the hogs.

RBs graduate college at age 22 and they get a 4-year deal.  At 26, they start declining.  Not many are worth their second contract.

[Wundrbread33]

1 hour ago, MHS831 said:

Here is my theory----never draft a RB in the first round, never give a RB a second contract.

An average RB behind a good line is just as good as a good RB behind an average line. Put the $$$ in the hogs.

RBs graduate college at age 22 and they get a 4-year deal.  At 26, they start declining.  Not many are worth their second contract.

At 26? Isn't that prime?

 

I'm obviously too lazy to do the research on this...but it just seemed a bit young for the decline.

[h0llywood]

Adrian Peterson and Leonard Fournette. The past and the future for 1 good season.

[Ricky Spanish]

10 hours ago, Wundrbread33 said:

At 26? Isn't that prime?

 

I'm obviously too lazy to do the research on this...but it just seemed a bit young for the decline.

26 is usually a RB's peak and then it's all downhill from there. It's more of a gradual decline but if you look at the YPC, YPG, YPSeason, etc, 26 is when they peak, then at 27 it get's a little worse, then at 28 it gets a little worse, then at 29 and 30 they fall off a cliff. 

Statistical Analysis Hyeah

Chart:

That's why statistically, it makes sense to cut ties with RBs after they turn 26. 

[CWORS]

I think he would be worth a look. The reason being is we could offer him a chance to get his career back on track. We avg over 100 yds a game in rushing and he could contribute to that. Tolbert probably will be released and if he sheds some pounds who knows he might be able to become our replacement for Stew! Maybe?!?

[CPF4LIFE]

Lmao if he couldn't maintain his weight in green Bay what you think is gonna happen whe comes to the south???

Just joking ....I honestly always liked lacy  and his run style. He is fun to watch to me.

[cardiackat88.]

Hell no. Maybe him, Tolbert, and Kelvin can destroy all the buffets in North and South Carolina.

[juliosantos]

NO

[MHS831]

20 hours ago, Wundrbread33 said:

At 26? Isn't that prime?

 

I'm obviously too lazy to do the research on this...but it just seemed a bit young for the decline.

tHIS ONE SHOWS 27 AS THE PEAK, but don't forget the contract would be based on performance when productivity is increasing....http://www.espn.com/blog/nflnation/post/_/id/123542/inside-slant-running-back-cliff-after-age-27

PPG During Each Year of Life (Top Three in Bold)

	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34
Emmitt Smith	15.8	20.3	18.6	20.3	23.0	15.8	9.7	14.7	15.4	11.4	9.4	8.5	4.8
Herschel Walker			15.1	17.4	15.2	11.7	10.2	10.9	11.3	10.0	9.4	2.6	1.7
LaDainian Tomlinson	13.8	19.2	21.5	18.8	19.8	26.9	17.1	13.8	10.9	11.0	6.5
Ahman Green	0.8	15.7	16.4	14.7	21.4	12.9	8.0	12.8	8.4	6.3	2.7
Deuce McAllister	2.1	16.9	16.9	12.0	14.1	12.4	8.7	6.9	8.1
Terrell Davis	13.3	16.6	19.2	22.8	17.9	3.3	13.7	9.5
Rudi Johnson	1.3	1.8	12.5	14.6	14.8	12.5	6.6	2.2

This article shows the fantasy production peaking at 25, and the fantasy ppg at age 26...If you measure a RB on fantasy productivity. 

https://www.profootballfocus.com/age-of-decline-rb1/

" As a group, running backs under 27 tend to improve, and running backs over 27 tend to decline. " 

-----http://www.pro-football-reference.com/articles/age.htm

This article describes the 1800 carry "Cliff" ---which measures some of the NFL's most successful backs.  It seems these backs, hardly average, hit the 1800 carry mark around year 6. 

https://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/4940/measuring-nfl-running-back-longevity-falling-off-the-1-800-carry-cliff

 

 

[ncfan]

Not going to get paid big $$$.  See him getting something like Deangelo in Pittsburgh, after the injury  this year and being overweight the year prior.

Honestly see him going to the Giants.  They are in need of a RB and would love to get another between the tackles bruiser like Brandon Jacobs brought them.

[Wundrbread33]

On January 20, 2017 at 7:31 AM, Cracka McNasty said:

26 is usually a RB's peak and then it's all downhill from there. It's more of a gradual decline but if you look at the YPC, YPG, YPSeason, etc, 26 is when they peak, then at 27 it get's a little worse, then at 28 it gets a little worse, then at 29 and 30 they fall off a cliff. 

Statistical Analysis Hyeah

Chart:

That's why statistically, it makes sense to cut ties with RBs after they turn 26. 

Well it is your chart vs. my blissful ignorance...which will win!?

 

 

 

 

Seriously though. Thanks and good work.