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Panther draft position

MHS831

By MHS831,
in Carolina Panthers

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MHS831 Grand Master

MHS831

Posted
Posted

Sorry if there is another version of this floating around--but this how my math figures it out-- Current draft standings BEFORE Dec 25 games.

7. San Diego Chargers (5-10; strength of schedule .547) The Chargers would have to beat the Chiefs next week and the Panthers would have to lose to the Saints.  Not likely, but if so, the Panthers are currently the front runners based on SOS-- .547 vs. .515.
8. Cincinnati Bengals (5-9-1) The Bengals host the Ravens and it would be a meaningful game for the Ravens if they win today vs. Pittsburgh.  If the Ravens lose today vs. the Steelers, their playoff hopes are gone.  Cincinnati has a chance to beat them in that scenario.  So, pull for the Steelers to win today vs. the Ravens. 
9. Carolina Panthers (6-9) If the Panthers lose vs.Tampa Bay on Jan 1, they probably get the 8th or 9th pick in the draft.  If they win, there are several teams just above them with a more advantageous strength of schedule, so they could end up picking 14th in a perfect storm.  The Panthers’ SOS is currently .515, while only Philadelphia’s is higher (.563).
10. Philadelphia Eagles (pick traded to Browns) (6-9; next game:  vs. Dallas—Dallas has nothing to lose and has already wrapped-up the # 1 seed—maybe they tank the game).  Who knows?
11. Arizona Cardinals (6-8-1; next game-Rams in LA) I think the Cards should win that game, but a loss and a Panther win puts the redbirds ahead of the Panthers on draft day)
12. Buffalo Bills (7-8; strength of schedule .481; next game:  At NY Jets.  The Bills will be favored and Ryan will not want to return to the Jets and lose.  A Panther victory and a Bills loss, however, allows the Bills to pick before the Panthers on draft day. )
13. Indianapolis Colts (7-8; strength of schedule .492; next game:  vs. Jacksonville at Indy.  The Colts face the upstart Jags next week and are coming off an eliminating loss to the Raiders.  Who knows which teams show up, but a Colt loss and a Panther win sends the Colts to the podium before the Panthers on draft day.)
14. Minnesota Vikings (pick traded to Eagles) (7-8; strength of schedule .498; next game vs. Chicago in Minnesota. A Panther win and a Bear upset would probably send the Vikings to the podium ahead of the Panthers). 
15. New Orleans Saints (7-8; strength of schedule .523; next game:  vs.Atlanta in Atlanta).  The SOS is close, but in the event of a Panther victory and Saints loss, the Panthers would probably win out because a win would increase New Orleans’ strength of schedule and decrease the Panther strength of schedule—they have many common opponents. Atlanta will be in safe mode, so New Orleans could win this.

Summary:  If the Panthers lose next Sunday, they will probably pick 8th or 9th. If they win next Sunday, then they are likely to pick 10-14.  However, for the Panthers to be dropped to 14th, the following teams would have to WIN:  Rams, Jets, Jaguars, and Bears (4 teams with a combined 14 wins on the season) .  So it is realistic to expect the Panthers’ to be picking somewhere between 10-12 should they beat New Orleans Sunday. 

 

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Nails Newbie

Nails

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Good post but we play the Bucs.  We WILL go to the podium before the Saints unless they panic trade as they always do.  They played the Lions and Giants and we played the Vikings and Redskins.  Their SOS WILL be higher.

The Bengals truly deserve to be punched in the face.

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MHS831 Grand Master

MHS831

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5 minutes ago, Nails said:

Good post but we play the Bucs.  We WILL go to the podium before the Saints unless they panic trade as they always do.  They played the Lions and Giants and we played the Vikings and Redskins.  Their SOS WILL be higher.

The Bengals truly deserve to be punched in the face. TRUE

Yeah--I fixed the mistake.  I am guessing we are looking at 9th if we lose and 11th if we win.

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