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Defensive Player of the Year odds


ctrcat

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You'd think Manziel's odds would be nill, since he's not going to any team anytime soon, but then again these are the same guys that had the Panthers as 3 point underdogs against the Cowboys last season. So anything goes.

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17 minutes ago, Saca312 said:

You'd think Manziel's odds would be nill, since he's not going to any team anytime soon, but then again these are the same guys that had the Panthers as 3 point underdogs against the Cowboys last season. So anything goes.

Fwiw Hardy had 12-1 odds AFTER the incident with Holder (May) and kangaroo court (July) as this article (August) proves.  Even VEGAS was fooled with the hypocritical tomfoolery!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/2014-nfl-defensive-player-year-odds/

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5 hours ago, ctrcat said:

Fwiw Hardy had 12-1 odds AFTER the incident with Holder (May) and kangaroo court (July) as this article (August) proves.  Even VEGAS was fooled with the hypocritical tomfoolery!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/2014-nfl-defensive-player-year-odds/

If one person put a penny on Hardy then Vegas made a penny. They weren't fooled. The fools were those who put down money. 

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1 hour ago, csx said:

If one person put a penny on Hardy then Vegas made a penny. They weren't fooled. The fools were those who put down money. 

Vegas may have made a penny, but possibly lost many pennies under that hypothesis from professional and even casual betters who saw a tilted board and avoided the board altogether.  Newton's third law of motion certainly applies to futures odds, as Hardy's spot on the board affected others, including eventual winner Watt.  Vegas DOES (usually) win in the end, but savvy bettors are constantly scouring the odds looking for value (which can be found for a variety of reasons), and the balance must constantly be kept while also trying to lure people in.

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This is a basically a bet that Watt goes down with an injury before he plays work games. Anything less than that and "it just proves how valuable he is! " will fly high. 

If he doesn't play that well, it will all be about "He has changed the NFL works, (with the way team game plan against him)", "triple team" or even "quadruple team" proving he is still the winner. 

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4 hours ago, Hammerin'Cameron34 said:

Why does Star even have odds

Star will go from good to great if healthy knowing his contract is on the line.  He has the raw skills to wreck a game.  Needs luck getting the splash plays but he can stay fresh in our rotation now and may get one on one match ups just enough.  The 100-1 group is interesting and fascinating to me.

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11 hours ago, morgan55 said:

Star will not stand out on paper... But he will stand out on the field and you can bank on that... That's all that matters 

This. Star is a very good DT, but he's absolutely not the type of player who will ever be in the DPOY discussion. He's the guy in the DL who does the dirty work, he's not the guy who puts up the gaudy stats. 

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