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Greg Bedard grades 2013 draft


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GRADE A-

Carolina Panthers (Dave Gettleman, Ron Rivera)

Average Career Approximate Value: 12.8.

First-round pick: DT Star Lotulelei (No. 14).

Best pick: DT Kawann Short (second round).

Worst pick: OL Edmund Kugbila (fourth round).

Comment: Gettleman knocked it out of the park with his first two picks as general manager with Lotulelei and Short. Even fifth-round pick A.J. Klein has been a valuable backup, which is exactly what you want in that spot. Kugbila, now a free agent, was the only miss.

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In case anyone is wondering how the grading is done, he's just taking pro-football-reference.com's approximate value stat, adding it up and dividing by the number of picks. He is not doing any grading himself.

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1 hour ago, carolina-chuck2 said:

How's Aints better than us? I loved Vaccarro coming out but he's been average. Armstead is overhyped and overpaid. 

Fuller is tight. Allen's best season was his rookie year. 

I'll give it to Detroit for Ansah and Warford. Slay is average. 

It's done based on a mathematical calculation.

http://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/?page_id=8061

Vaccaro(14) + Armstead(17) + Jenkins(10) + Stills(16) = 57, divide by 4 and you get 14.25 rounded up to 14.3

Star(20) + Short(21) + Kugbila(0) + Klein(10) = 51, divide by 4 and you get 12.75 rounded up to 12.8

Both Kenjon Barner and Saints 6th round pick Rufus Johnson appear to be left out of the calculation for whatever reason.

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2 hours ago, Bartin said:

Kenjon Barner probably goes in the miss column too, no?

In all reality yeah, but he is still in the league (played in 10 games with Philly last year). Probably aren't a ton of 6th rounders still kicking around the league after three years, at least not relative to picks in the higher rounds.

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3 minutes ago, KSpan said:

In all reality yeah, but he is still in the league (played in 10 games with Philly last year). Probably aren't a ton of 6th rounders still kicking around the league after three years, at least not relative to picks in the higher rounds.

Turns out that Bedard didn't factor in any 6th or 7th round picks into the calculation because "delving beyond that seemed to penalize teams with better rosters" so that's why he wasn't counted as a miss and yes you're right that it's hard to really call a 6th or even a 5th a miss. Anything beyond a depth/special teams player is a very good return on those picks.

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