Jump to content

  • Welcome!

    Register and log in easily with Twitter or Google accounts!

    Or simply create a new Huddle account. 

    Members receive fewer ads , access our dark theme, and the ability to join the discussion!

     

Reverse line movement

TheGreatestOfAllTimeCam

Recommended Posts

ZeroZeroSeven Enthusiast

ZeroZeroSeven

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, TheGreatestOfAllTimeCam said:

We are 70% bet by the public yet the line has moved down, opened at -3 at some spots, we are now just a -1.5 favorite. 

If you have studied lines, gambling, or interpreted lines for any number of years you know what this means

The game is fixed?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
toldozer Veteran

toldozer

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, bigdog10 said:

Reverse line movement is when large bettors are betting opposite of the public. 

In this case, big money is coming in on the Seahawks which is moving the line opposite of where the bulk of the public play is. 

 

And they will continue to push money on to the seahawks until the last minute.  Then they will dump a ton of money on us to win. Sucker the public in, then drop the hammer.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
LUUUUUKE Rookie

LUUUUUKE

Posted
Posted

So I don't bet on lines, what does this historically mean. Keep it as simple as possible while fully explaining.

I have nothing to give but Pie. Quote me and answer for your pie. If multiple people reply, pie the most complete answer.

Thanks ahead of time.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
xXxBretWeedxXx Newbie

xXxBretWeedxXx

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, LUUUUUKE said:

So I don't bet on lines, what does this historically mean. Keep it as simple as possible while fully explaining.

I have nothing to give but Pie. Quote me and answer for your pie. If multiple people reply, pie the most complete answer.

Thanks ahead of time.

Sharps are the dudes who bet games for a living. If they're pounding Seattle they're basically predicting a Seattle victory. This is bad because you don't bet money for a living and survive if you're wrong often. It's basically experts picking Seattle but putting their money where their mouth is.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
PghPanther Mentor

PghPanther

Posted
Posted

At the horse races large dollar last minute wagering that changes the odds is called "tilting the board" ............the assumption is the smart money of owners, trainers and those in the know from the barn area don't like to place big bets on long shorts with a chance to win too earlier so that the betting public doesn't jump on the band wagon and push the odds down too low long before they close the betting windows..........

But I've seen as much of that late money go up in smoke as not............so whose to know.

In the case of a football game like this it probably has nothing to do with big money having any inside scoop on the game but more likely its just some who want to bet a given team on the point spread without trying to effect that spread too early in the wagering cycle.....it is not an indicate of smart/inside money nor of either team being tipped as a winner.......its a matter of big money trying to sneak late while minimizing as much as possible their manipulating perception to the general betting public of the spread by the size of their bet.

Do you know the difference between investing and gambling?

Investing is making a speculation when the odds are for you......................

Gambling is making a speculation when the odds are against you..........

Link to comment
Share on other sites
LUUUUUKE Rookie

LUUUUUKE

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, xXxBretWeedxXx said:

Sharps are the dudes who bet games for a living. If they're pounding Seattle they're basically predicting a Seattle victory. This is bad because you don't bet money for a living and survive if you're wrong often. It's basically experts picking Seattle but putting their money where their mouth is.

Well, I personally think that they're all gonna lose their asses! I'm sure though that they'll double down on Pittsburgh getting stomped and make their money back.

Carolina is winning this game. That's the bottom line

Link to comment
Share on other sites
xXxBretWeedxXx Newbie

xXxBretWeedxXx

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, LUUUUUKE said:

Well, I personally think that they're all gonna lose their asses! I'm sure though that they'll double down on Pittsburgh getting stomped and make their money back.

Carolina is winning this game. That's the bottom line

It's still gambling, it's just a prediction that means a bit more than the ones by the Conor Orrs of the world.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing

  • PMH4OWPW7JD2TDGWZKTOYL2T3E.jpg

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Gapanthersfan
      Would you trade Ickey

      By Gapanthersfan · Posted

      Oh he would absolutely flourish. It’s the panthers way. It’s no different with coaches. Sometimes they reach their expiration date, go somewhere else, and find new success.  Similarly to Burns, how long to wait for the light to finally turn on?  Market forces will demand a salary that the panthers can not responsibly match. Sliding him to guard will fit his skill set better, but he has played LT for 3 years. He will receive offers from other teams wanting to pay him LT money.  At guard, he won’t start with what they have paid Hunt and Lewis. Center then?? Dunno. Maybe? He will become a backup by default once they draft their stud LT. I doubt Dan just stands pat. That’s not his MO.  So where does this put him? Can you match what other teams will offer for a backup LT/guard? Do you dish out franchise LT $ on a guy who still needs significant improvement in pass protection. This team will be DOA in the playoffs with the very first team who has a formidable speed rusher. What if he has hit his ceiling in pass protection already and they sign him long term? It’s a big gamble either way. 
    • travisura
      Cousins benched in Atlanta

      By travisura · Posted

      We're in a great position to see just how big of a misstep it would be, having made so many ourselves
    • SCO96
      BREAKING: Panthers Announce Four Moves Including LB Trevin Wallace To IR

      By SCO96 · Posted

      I didn't say I would have done it. I was just saying that I can see why some in the FO considered it. Everything was done to give Bryce weapons. Solidify the interior line thru FA. Get XL at WR in round 1 and then get the most talented RB in round 2. Take a TE in round 4, etc They were probably "assuming" he'd make a complete recovery during the 2024 season. I'm a skeptical person. I wouldn't have assumed he'd be ok in 2024. I personally would have taken another position in the 2nd for that very reason. But, if I were "influenced" to take him I would've argued to keep him off the field, especially seeing how things were going for us record wise. Conventional Wisdom says most backs don't get back to normal until two years after the ACL surgery. He was injured in Fall 2023. Having him suit up in 2025 would have been almost 2 years since the original injury. You have him for 3 year on low contract. If he balls out, you resign him for a couple of more years b/c he'd only have 3 years of tread on the tires. If he's ok but not great you let him walk. 
×
×
  • Create New...