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How we measure up

lightsout

By lightsout,
in Carolina Panthers

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lightsout Grand Master

lightsout

Posted
Posted

Just for fun, here is the tale of the tape (Regular season only, so the Minny/Seattle game is not included)

Carolina:
PPG: 31.2
YPG: 366.9
Pass YPG: 224.3
Rush YPG: 142.6
D Yards rush allowed per game: 88.4
D Yards pass allowed per game:  234.5
TOP: 32:03
Turnover diff: +20


Seattle:
PPG: 26.4
YPG: 378.6
Pass YPG: 236.9
Rush YPG: 141.8
D Yards rush allowed per game: 81.5
D yards pass allowed per game: 210.25
TOP: 32:14
Turnover diff: +7

On paper, it looks pretty even, perhaps even a bit of an advantage to Seattle. However, as pointed out by a few different posters here, Seattle has faced a litany of terrible quarterbacks this season. We also rushed for about 135 against them back in October, so we're above their allowed average.

TOP is interesting. A few of us have said it, but Seattle is like our twin as far as offensive mindset. They like to possess the ball and control tempo. The team who wins the TOP will have an edge.

Turnover differential is another key. Team with the fewest amount of turnovers is likely to come out on top any week, but with these two defenses, it'll be a huge deal if there's only one turnover between the two teams all game. That can be a game changer.

Russell Wilson has fumbled 7 times, but only lost 3. Rawls fumbled once and lost it. Christine Michael has no fumbles, but only played in a few games all year for them.

Comparatively, Cam has fumbled 5 times and lost 4. Stew has fumbled 3 times and lost 2. None of our other RBs have fumbles this season.

For two teams who love to run, hanging on to the football has to be a big focus this week. 4 points of contact and cover the ball on contact.


As much as we all love to complain about our lack of pass rush, we have 44 sacks on the year as compared to Seattle's 37. Seattle has given up 46 sacks to opponents (about 3 per game) as opposed to our OL only giving up 33 (about 2 per game). If our front 4 can generate a pass rush and bring Wilson down 4 or 5 times, that can be huge for us. He has the ability to escape, but his OL does him no favors. Contain him much like Minnesota did for most of that game and you get a very tame Wilson. In November, ESPN did an article on Wilson's struggles against pressure. Wilson, at that time, averaged just 5.03 yards per pass against pressure. Don't let him have time to move around and tire out the coverage and you beat him. See also: our game back in October.


On paper, there's nothing to fear. Go out and execute and get the win. Fail to execute, fail to do the little things that matter in big football games, and we're in for a long day.

If anybody has any interesting stats to add, throw them in here.

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lightsout Grand Master

lightsout

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Some more



Seattle on the road

Wilson has thrown 8 INTs on the year. 6 of them have come when he is away. So, he hasn't fared well in hostile territory....and the Vault is hostile. However, he has only thrown 2 INTs overall since week 9. Also on the road, Wilson completes a higher percentage of his throws, but for less yards per attempt. Could be nothing, could be a look at Seattle's gameplan on the road. Quick, shorter throws to take care of the ball. Could also be indicative of his struggles in the first half of the season on the road with the interceptions.

Seattle has played only a few times on a grass surface, but their numbers aren't as impressive on grass. Also, on the season, we gave up the fewest rushing first downs (4) of all their opponents throughout the regular season. Our defense needs to be sure to repeat that.

Seattle's defense has 14 INTs. Half of those came on the sidelines. Cam is great at sideline throws and we utilize them often. Will be interesting to see how that plays into things. Most of their interceptions have come on 3rd & 6+ yards to go. Stay out of third and long.

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Hoenheim Grand Master

Hoenheim

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I hope panthers find some kind of answer for Wilson rolling out of the pocket. Wilson's huge plays come many times after some broken ass play where he should have been sacked 3 times over but avoid pass rushers and heaves down field to wide open targets. Actually being able to sack wilson and not just pressure him will be huge.

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shaqattaq Grand Master

shaqattaq

Posted
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6 hours ago, Hoenheim said:

 Wilson's huge plays come many times after some broken ass play where he should have been sacked 3 times over but avoid pass rushers and heaves down field to wide open targets. Actually being able to sack wilson and not just pressure him will be huge.

I bet a lot of seattle fans are saying the same thing about Cam. We know both QB's can extend plays, the key is to not leave any wide open targets. This is going to be a hell of a good game.

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MadHatter Rookie

MadHatter

Posted
Posted
8 hours ago, lightsout said:

Just for fun, here is the tale of the tape (Regular season only, so the Minny/Seattle game is not included)

Carolina:
PPG: 31.2
YPG: 366.9
Pass YPG: 224.3
Rush YPG: 142.6
D Yards rush allowed per game: 88.4
D Yards pass allowed per game:  234.5
TOP: 32:03
Turnover diff: +20


Seattle:
PPG: 26.4
YPG: 378.6
Pass YPG: 236.9
Rush YPG: 141.8
D Yards rush allowed per game: 81.5
D yards pass allowed per game: 210.25
TOP: 32:14
Turnover diff: +7

On paper, it looks pretty even, perhaps even a bit of an advantage to Seattle. However, as pointed out by a few different posters here, Seattle has faced a litany of terrible quarterbacks this season. We also rushed for about 135 against them back in October, so we're above their allowed average.

TOP is interesting. A few of us have said it, but Seattle is like our twin as far as offensive mindset. They like to possess the ball and control tempo. The team who wins the TOP will have an edge.

Turnover differential is another key. Team with the fewest amount of turnovers is likely to come out on top any week, but with these two defenses, it'll be a huge deal if there's only one turnover between the two teams all game. That can be a game changer.

Russell Wilson has fumbled 7 times, but only lost 3. Rawls fumbled once and lost it. Christine Michael has no fumbles, but only played in a few games all year for them.

Comparatively, Cam has fumbled 5 times and lost 4. Stew has fumbled 3 times and lost 2. None of our other RBs have fumbles this season.

For two teams who love to run, hanging on to the football has to be a big focus this week. 4 points of contact and cover the ball on contact.


As much as we all love to complain about our lack of pass rush, we have 44 sacks on the year as compared to Seattle's 37. Seattle has given up 46 sacks to opponents (about 3 per game) as opposed to our OL only giving up 33 (about 2 per game). If our front 4 can generate a pass rush and bring Wilson down 4 or 5 times, that can be huge for us. He has the ability to escape, but his OL does him no favors. Contain him much like Minnesota did for most of that game and you get a very tame Wilson. In November, ESPN did an article on Wilson's struggles against pressure. Wilson, at that time, averaged just 5.03 yards per pass against pressure. Don't let him have time to move around and tire out the coverage and you beat him. See also: our game back in October.


On paper, there's nothing to fear. Go out and execute and get the win. Fail to execute, fail to do the little things that matter in big football games, and we're in for a long day.

If anybody has any interesting stats to add, throw them in here.

Not sure how you could say on paper it may look like Seattle has a slight edge.  We outscore them by 5 pts a game and have a +13 better TO differential.....two HUGE stats.  Everything else is basically equal.

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Hoenheim Grand Master

Hoenheim

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3 hours ago, SinaloaPaisa said:

not sure about everyone else, but i wish the coaching staff would replace allen and cj addison and that other guy.

our pass rush has seemed to fallen off since cj came back.

Yup. The coaches choices to continue to start CJ and Allen defies all logic. I think even the last game or game before last we played, the tv station had a stat of # of sacks generated from our interior lineman vs our DEs and it was not even close. Usually the best those two can do is push their lineman back a good bit or towards QB, rarely do they clean break off or blow by them thus they don't have much to show for their dominance of playing. It would be a nightmare to see Wilson rolling left and right all game long with not much challenge because of the ineptitude of our DEs

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