Interesting Stats About 13-0 Teams (in the Super Bowl era)

[UpstatePanther]

Trying to wrap my mind around this historic run. I cant pick out any trends. Maybe our resident statisticians can help me (whatcha say @KB_fan?)...

all stats and computations come from NFL.com

What do you think, Huddle fam?

[KB_fan]

Nice work UpstatePanther, thanks!

Obviously our weak strength of schedule jumps out...  Nothing we can do about that.  As so many have said, we only play the teams on our schedule.  Can't help it if they're losing.

Our points per game, defense rank & scoring differential are pretty solid.  We're NOT the "worst" 13-0 team.  Only by SoS, but not other measures.

[UpstatePanther]

4 minutes ago, KB_fan said:

Nice work UpstatePanther, thanks!

Obviously our weak strength of schedule jumps out...  Nothing we can do about that.  As so many have said, we only play the teams on our schedule.  Can't help it if they're losing.

Our points per game, defense rank & scoring differential are pretty solid.  We're NOT the "worst" 13-0 team.  Only by SoS, but not other measures.

Was wondering if maybe you could expand this for me. Lol. You are better with the stat crunching and digging up interesting nuggets than I am. :)

[KB_fan]

Sorry, really no time this week.  I fly out to the States in less than 48 hours and have like a week's worth of work to finish between now & then.  Spent way too much time here already recently!  But once I'm back in the States, I'll see what I can do in terms of comparing unbeaten teams stats.

[MeatSoda]

Surprised to see that we're scoring more points than those Colts teams.

[Moose Hoover]

Strength of schedule % should go up as we play playoff teams...can't really compare until the entire season is complete.

[UpstatePanther]

2 hours ago, thebigcat said:

I see too many 'lost in servos' for my liking

Right :( here's to hoping we keep bucking trends.

[caatfan]

Let's get on the 'Won Super Bowl' list. That's the only stat I care about.

[dksmith17]

5 of 7 made superbowl 

The 2 that didn't make the SB (colts 05, packers 11) rested their starters in the regular season. Colts rested weeks 16 + 17 and lost to a Steelers team they handled easy in the regular season. Packers rested starters weeks 17 and essentially blamed the loss on rust (several WR drops).

Our drops in preseason make me wonder if rust/nerves do make a difference

 

[MVPccaffrey]

A few of those teams had already peaked by the playoffs though, the Patriots come to mind who were putting up video game numbers the first half of the season, but the margins in the 2nd half were much closer, and we all know how that ended.

 

2005 Colts were another team that put up absurd margins to start the season, but not so much in the latter half.  Peaked too early, like most Peyton teams.

Packers 2011 laid a huge egg.  Any given sunday, though that Giants team was getting hot the right time.

At least under Rivera, we know this team always peaks right towards the end, and comparing the stats to the first half the season, i'd say that's held true this year as well.  We were just good enough to start the year that even our non-peak form was still better than almost everyone else.  Too many people underestimate momentum and put too much stock into september and october games when evaluating teams.

[gtanaka]

Pretty crazy that 2 of the teams didnt even win a playoff game that year. 

[Diehardpanther02]

The main stat I see is that out of the 7 other teams listed 5 made the big game, and 3 won. So with that said, based on that number alone we have 70% chance of getting there and 43% chance of winning it.  And I believe that the hard part is getting there and we should be favorites once we get there. The AFC doesn't scare me one bit because they are all riddled with injuries and the toughest defense's in the AFC are the Bengals and Broncos and I dont see them making it with their injuries under center, but the pats are right there.  If the pats health changes and they get Eddleman back it will be a much tougher game but one we could win.

[pantherphan96]

2005 Colts only lost to the Steelers because they allowed Roethlisberger to tackle their CB on a fumble return that would have won them the game. They also missed a 40+ yard FG that would have tied the game. The 2011 Packers rested Rodgers for all of week 17 and the bye which was dumb.