Playoff Machine

[mcdougal]

2 hours ago, CoastalCat said:

Just checked this morning after the dust settled from week 12. 

Panthers still haven't clinched a playoff spot, but we clinch in week 13 if we win.

The fun part? Even if we completely lose out, we are in if...

1. Green Bay loses

or

2. Arizona loses

or

3. Atlanta loses

or

4. Seattle loses 

 

So just sit back, relax, and watch the world burn.

That cannot be true because some of those teams play each other in the upcoming weeks.

Maybe I am misunderstanding?

[ncsfinest21]

How about we beat the Saints and stop the gibberish of missing the playoffs.

[Bronn]

50 minutes ago, Kuechly59 said:

Even if we lost out theres only about a 5% chance of missing the playoffs... 

 

Also I don't understand how a seahawks loss affects us they can only finish 11-5 and even if we lose out and finsish 11-5 we hold the head to head.

 

 

It is because they would have a miniscule chance at winning their division, I think. Probably something about AZ and us breaking a tie if we both end up 11-5 for the wildcard, but I think that would also mean ATL would have to sweep us and beat everyone else the rest of the year, too, to win the NFCS so LOeffingL.
 

[CoastalCat]

3 hours ago, mcdougal said:

That cannot be true because some of those teams play each other in the upcoming weeks.

Maybe I am misunderstanding?

I am saying that if any of the teams that I listed lose this weekend, the Panthers are in the playoffs whether they win another regular season game this year or not. 

And yes, some do play each other, but not this week. 

[CoastalCat]

1 hour ago, Kuechly59 said:

Even if we lost out theres only about a 5% chance of missing the playoffs... 

 

Also I don't understand how a seahawks loss affects us they can only finish 11-5 and even if we lose out and finsish 11-5 we hold the head to head.

 

 

 

25 minutes ago, Bronn said:

It is because they would have a miniscule chance at winning their division, I think. Probably something about AZ and us breaking a tie if we both end up 11-5 for the wildcard, but I think that would also mean ATL would have to sweep us and beat everyone else the rest of the year, too, to win the NFCS so LOeffingL.
 

You've got it. Seattle can technically win out, win the NFC West, and get as high as the 2-seed at 11-5 at the moment. If they lose, our 11-5 beats their potential 10-6. 

Gotta love the machine:

 

[pantherphan96]

the only teams that scare me in the AFC are the Patriots and Bengals. 

[CoastalCat]

22 hours ago, hepcat said:

I played with it a bit.  All I've seen is how Seattle is on a collision course to play us in the 2nd round of the playoffs over and over.  They are likely ending up a wildcard team.  If they're the #6 team and they win, regardless of what else happens they play the Panthers in round 2.  If they're the #5 seed we'd have to hope the #6 team wins their game as well to avoid them (Likely either Green Bay or Minnesota - so it's possible).  

Panthers fans should be watching the Seattle @ Minnesota matchup this week...

My guess would be Seattle losing to Minnesota in the first round, then 3-seed Minnesota playing the 2-seed cardinals the next week, with us playing the 4 or 5 (maybe the winner between a 4-seed Washington or 5-seed Green Bay). 

[Inimicus]

17 hours ago, Kuechly59 said:

Even if we lost out theres only about a 5% chance of missing the playoffs... 

 

When it comes to looking at the percentages of our finish I look here: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NFL.html

According to their simulations there is only a .000454% chance that if we lose out we miss the playoffs.

They have us at 87.589% chance of getting home field throughout.

 

If you hove over the percentages it gives you the breakdown of our finising record and how many times the sims said we would finish with that record.