Elliott Harrison: I see the Panthers winning NFCs at 9-6-1

[KB_fan]

Here's a quick table with his summary of projected ceilings and floors for each team.  I've added the calculations on averages and variances.  NFC South has the lowest average ceiling (i.e. "worst division in the NFC"), but also the lowest predicted difference in ceiling from the best team in the division to the worst (only 1 game difference), so that would suggest "most competitive" division in the NFC.

NFC East	Ceiling	Floor	Variance (Wins)	Average
Dallas	13	7	6	10
Giants	11	6	5	8.5
Philly	12	7	5	9.5
Washington	10	4	6	7
average ceiling	11.5
variance best to worst	3
NFC North	Ceiling	Floor	Variance (Wins)	Average
Chicago	10	5	5	7.5
Detroit	11	7	4	9
Green Bay	13	9	4	11
Minnesota	11	5	6	8
average ceiling	11.25
variance best to worst	3
NFC  South	Ceiling	Floor	Variance (Wins)	Average
Atlanta	10	4	6	7
Carolina	10	6	4	8
New Orleans	10	6	4	8
Tampa	9	3	6	6
average ceiling	9.75
variance best to worst	1
NFC West	Ceiling	Floor	Variance (Wins)	Average
Arizona	12	6	6	9
St Louis	10	6	4	8
San Francisco	10	5	5	7.5
Seattle	15	10	5	12.5
average ceiling	11.75
variance best to worst	5