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LUCK and football

jonbig04

By jonbig04,
in Carolina Panthers

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jonbig04 Newbie

jonbig04

Posted
Posted

It seems there are so many threads dedicated to predicting what is going to happen this season: who the panthers will lose to and who they will beat. It seems to be the focus of all the news shows as well. I'm no football expert. I'm just a panthers fan. But is there really any point to all this? Besides entertainment value of course. Aren't there simply too many variables? It seems to me that there is far too much variance to make any sound predictions, especially since there are only 16 games in a season. To me, this is what makes sports fun to watch, but it also means that despite all the stats, handicapping, records etc there is just no way to have any idea what's going to happen in any given game or with even any given season.

We've had a horrible preseason in terms of our record, but we've already established that there is no quantifiable correlation between a preseason record and a regular season record. So, what can we predict after seeing the preseason? Nothing more than we could before it ever happened.

Don't get me wrong, there is some predicability, but the factors that we can identify that may help us to predict who is going to win a game and who isn't are usually far overshadowed by all the factors we can't account for.

It's all just speculation at best, which is good news for us right now-since obviously we don't want this trend to carry over into the regular season.

GO PANTHERS

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PhillyB Grand Master

PhillyB

Posted
Posted

very true. i find it hilarious when somebody posts the actual SCORE of a game as a prediction, and even more so predicting exactly how many yards key players get. Sure, it's all fun and games and it can be fun, but good lord, do people not get that you simply can't predict these things? There's a random factor, and much of it is the luck you speak of. Good post.

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