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So I modeled the season (and you aren't going to like it)


Happy Panther

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Applaud the effort. Though I do think football outsiders tracks the teams that win an unusual # of close wins (Falcons 2012) and how they typically come back to the pack the following year. But injuries and level of QB play is hard to model.

 

btw, home teams win about 57% of the time (2002-2012).

http://www.sportsdatallc.com/2012/09/04/home-field-advantage-nfl/

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