So I modeled the season (and you aren't going to like it)

[L-TownCat]

NE again has one of the easiest schedules. And they are gonna lose 8 games? Their D is better and they will only be better in their offense as it has finally balanced out with run/pass. Not to negate your model but that throws the whole bit off.

Sent from my iPhone.

[sharkkiller]

Jacksonville at 9-7? Really?

 

And San Francisco at 6-10?

 

 

If there is a nice prize for this contest, you should really rethink your algorithms.

[Leeroy Jenkins PhD]

Well, this entire thing is nonsense.  The wins and losses to not add up to even.  

 

271 wins and like 231 losses??

 

How does that happen?

[Boltergeist]

Jacksonville at 9-7? Really?

 

And San Francisco at 6-10?

 

 

If there is a nice prize for this contest, you should really rethink your algorithms.

 especially since your algorithms have the whole league 30 games above .500

[Happy Panther]

Well, this entire thing is nonsense.  The wins and losses to not add up to even.  

 

271 wins and like 231 losses??

 

How does that happen?

Yeah the model is broken I need to fix it.

[Sean Payton's Vicodin]

I looked at the NFC side and thought it was questionable.

I looked at the AFC side and realized this was a massive ruse. You got me, OP.

[Leeroy Jenkins PhD]

Yeah the model is broken I need to fix it.

 

Yea, among other obvious errors, it has games where both teams win?.

 

 

 This entire post is bad and you should feel bad.

[SOJA]

lol

[frash.exe]

There's no way there will only be 2 losing AFC teams unless Goodell starts them all at 5-0 for week 1 and the entire NFC comes down with AIDS

[Happy Panther]

And that proves that it is bunk.  If it changes that much with each time you run the program then it obviously has some major flaws. Unless it is consistently putting out fairly similar numbers, you have some very big flaws in your formulas.

No that is the point of a stochastic model. The theory is that the NFL is an inherently random process. Which is why Houston goes from 14 wins to 2 and KC goes from 2 to 11 and ATL goes from 13 to 4 Panthers go from 7 to 12 etc etc.

 

In other words if you had a magic machine that would enable the 2013 season to playout 100 times in a row we would probably win the superbowl a few times and go 6-10 a few times. You should not expect similar results every time.

[TheRed]

Meh.

[chknwing]

[sharkkiller]

But then you have the problem of if you don't like the results, just run it again. You might as well just pick a team and a number out of a hat.

[Guest Irv]

Trying to predict a football matchup is an exercise in futility. Many factors go into a game that people fail to take into account when coming up with these idiotic predictions such as the weather, injurys, who's sick and hiding it, the want to win the game. Believe it or not some nfl players only care about the paycheck and not the scoreboard. Does your stupid simulation take that into account? I will never understand why people take the time to actually try to predict the future its fuging baffling to me.