Panthers floor/ceiling record for 2014?

[panthers55]

The 3-4 or 4-3 record talk were just arbitrary numbers based on close games in 2013. Then dealing with next year (2014 season), when our record in close games should come back towards the median. Law of averages and such would set us up for a decline in close games unless Riverboat keeps being untouchable in them.

The whole concept of regression toward the mean assumes everything else is equal. But in football some teams seems to pull out wins and always get "lucky".  I think luck is made and law of averages doesn't apply  here since winning and losing aren't random or chance occurences.  

[Jangler]

floor somewhere around 0-16, ceiling undefeated and superbowl?

 

 

 

btw I used to think the lyrics were "and you come to me on a submarine."...

[Mol3m4n]

Floor: Superbowl

Ceiling: Superbowl

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[RelaxImaPro]

Damn, and here I thought I was gonna be clever coming into the thread with my floor 18-1, ceiling 19-0 prediction.

[Mother Grabber]

why do people always put the tl;dr at the bottom after the 4 pages that were tl and that we dr. wouldn't it make more sense to put it at the top?

[DaveThePanther2008]

I don't call making plays when you have to LUCK.  I think our Panthers made plays when we had to.  Everyone made a lot of plays last year and I expect every week someone is going to contribute and make a play in 2014.

 

I think too much is being made about the Potential of our WRs.  Got it, no one played for us last season. 

 

We had.

Smitty 745, 4TD,

Ginn 556, 5 TDs,

LaFall 627, 5 TDs. 

Hixon 55, 1 TDs 

 

1983 154 TDs.

 

Were getting

Cotchery 602 10 TDs,

Avant 447, 2 TDs,  

Underwood 440, 2 TDs. 

Total 1489 14TDs

 

To be even with last year Benjamin will need to have 504, 1. and IMO he is going to exceed that by much more.  So while our receiving corps is not familiar to the Panther Nation.  They are far from being unknown.  

 

Compared to last season NOT A CAREER

Benjamin>Smitty

Cotchery>LaFell

Underwood = Ginn

Avant > Hixon

 

 

 

 

 

[L-TownCat]

The floor is 9-7

 

Ceiling is quite impressive actually.  Deep run in the playoffs. Super Bowl?

[BigBoss]

Floor is probably 5-11. Somebody said Cam would have to be injured for that to happen. Well considering he's coming off an injury and our OT's are horses butt, I think of it as a realistic possibility.

 

 

Ceiling would be 11-5. I don't know if our defense will be better than it was last year, it was simply AMAZING last year, truly amazing, I think it will probably only be very good this year ( I know, I know.) Offense for sure has taken a few steps backwards and well I see no way we can replicate 12-4 with a weaker roster.

[Happy Panther]

12-4

6-10

 

Fact

[nosuchthingasapanther]

Ceiling is 12-4.  I don't think the Panthers can improve on their record from 2013 given some key areas of roster deficiency but they could match it if everything bounces their way again.

 

the panthers were 2 bone headed player mistakes from 14-2.

 

i think this team has turned the corner mentally, and losing to the 49ers in the playoffs has only made them more hungry and eager to finally establish themselves as perennial winners.

 

floor 10-6

ceiling 14-2

[CarolinaCoolin]

I also think people forget how "lucky" we were in close games last year. Yes, skill and simply being better than the competition comes into play, but so does luck. I'd expect that record to slide closer to the median this year.

Games decided by a TD or less last year, which we were 5-2 in...

SEA, Buffalo (Both losses, but highly winnable except for our own miscues). Also pre-Riverboat.

San Fran (Fumble at the end we luckily fell on), New England (Potential PI depending on the refs), Miami (Dolphins ineptitude helped that dreadful grind-out victory), New Orleans (rain game...thank you D Hixon), ATL.

In no way am I discrediting us winning these games last year, but simply saying I don't expect another magical run of finishing the season 11-1 while having a few 4th quarter or last minute comebacks to help us out. Our team is built to play close games...but the law of averages will come into play and make that 5-2 record (which easily could've been 7-0 if not for a Pass Int. against Buffalo and a DWill fumble) and make it closer to 4-3 or 3-4.

Here guys. This is what a faux intellectual huddler looks like.

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[Kakarot]

7-9

13-3

If were going to have a bad season, it's going to be one of those start 2-8 and finish off strong type deal

[ladypanther]

I think this team will surprise a lot of people....but not the players, coaches or Dave. Home playoff game 2 years in a row....not to mention back to back winning seasons for the first time ever.

[UpstatePanther]

The floor is 9-7

 

Ceiling is quite impressive actually.  Deep run in the playoffs. Super Bowl?

 

i agree wholeheartedly. i think the floor is a 9 win season. ceiling for the regular season is 13 wins IMO. but 13 wins in the NFC is often good enough for 1st seed. 1st seed will take us far this year. this team has gained experience and talent

 

7-9

13-3

If were going to have a bad season, it's going to be one of those start 2-8 and finish off strong type deal

 

i would consider 7-9 either terrible luck or a disaster after last season and the moves during the offseason. but youre absolutely right about having a bad season. 2-8 to start off is understandable. we play alot of tough teams.