This is a rather hilarious statement, we haven't had a QB sniff 20tds since 2017, and are tied for the longest playoffs drought.....
You have to MAKE the playoffs to loose in the PLAYOFFS.
Early season is way more of a crap shoot you have wait until about November to have a baseline on statistics and whose actually good.
I win maybe 35-40% of my bets but the wins far out weight the losses. I bet hockey too though.