trueblade

11 hours ago, DaveThePanther2008 said:

Put Brown and Christensen in on short yardage and we'll have better push than we we have right now. 

7 hours ago, Catsfan69 said:

This is what I would like to see Brown at a minimum. 

2 hours ago, KB_fan said:

I REALLY want to see this!

I agree, and this is why I was so disappointed when Brown was a healthy scratch (inactive) yesterday.

Little early to look ahead but put everything we've got into stopping 41 and see what Jamies can do.

31 minutes ago, KB_fan said:

Hey y'all.  I downloaded the Gamebook, and I'm likely going to spring for a PFRef subscription so I can dig into their stats that are now paywalled.

What stats are you curious about?  Remember, I'm not an Xs & Os gal, so I can't really tell you how many times we played what formation kind of thing.

But some of the things that have already caught my eye:

• Sacks / Pressures
• Red Zone performance
• 3rd down conversion (on both sides of the ball)
• Stopping the run

I may also start tracking snaps played by rookies.

What types of stats do you want to know more about?

Got some work and errands I need to do now, but will be back online this evening to check out the replies and start crunching numbers.

 

 

 

Run/Pass balance in 1st half play calling versus second half play calling.

% of first down passes called in the 1st half versus the 2nd half.

Query: does the data support that Brady went into 'clock-ball' in the second half.

28 minutes ago, LinvilleGorge said:

That was scary. Like, damn. This kid is a talent and the Jets have let him get broken in half in his very first game.

I thought they should have called out the U.N.C. He didn't look right immediately after that hit.

I'm not sharing this to take anything away from Shaq's performance yesterday, but just to say Luvu deserves some love, too.

5 minutes ago, Zod said:

After allowing opponents to convert nearly 50 percent of third downs last season, the Panthers held the Jets to 4-of-13 (30.8 percent) on third down.

This was great to see yesterday.

Also: 

Translation: 

Rookie CB Jaycee Horn gave up 1 catch for 10 yards on 3 targets in his NFL debut.

Horn also had 3 tackles, 2 of which were solo.

The one reception was a TD from WR Corey Davis on a beautiful pass from QB Zach Wilson:

16 minutes ago, Tbe said:

People just don’t get this. The Browns put a lot out there yesterday and it will prob cost them later.

They were playing the Chiefs. You better pull out everything you've got.

(and hope your punter can catch a snap...)

17 hours ago, Zod said:

He has a fantastic play book. He just is clueless on when to call them. 

Only conclusion I drew was that Jets didn't ruin Darnold. It looks like he could still be a competent QB. We'll know more next week because he's gonna have to do more next week against a good NO defense.

1 hour ago, frankw said:

Now that's commitment!

Berry likes Sam Darnold as a fantasy sleeper

https://es.pn/3mS6fYJ

1 hour ago, Mr. Scot said:

One thing I have to admit gives me a chuckle: I remember being told numerous times since Michael Vick that running quarterbacks were going to "change the game", yet I sit here watching the league continue to evolve more and more in favor of passing.

The reality is that passing has trumped running since the early days of the AFL, and I seriously doubt that's going to change.

Let us state your premise clearly: Michael Vick did not "change the game". This is something of a nebulous statement. 

That said, I would offer the following evidence that indicates something did in fact change in regard to rushing the football from the QB position between Vick's rookie year of 2001 and last season (2020). Causation here could be argued (was this changed because of Vick) but the change is clearly evident in the data.

Our metric here will be rushing attempts by a QB. This will include both scrambles and called runs. 

The data shows at that from 2001 to 2020, the number of QBs with more than 80 rushing attempts over a season increased by 250%. But that's just the top rushing QBs, the players many might label as "dual-threat". League wide (so taking the top 30 QBs), the average number of rushing attempts by a QB has increase by ~25%. 

Details:

In Vick's rookie season of 2001, there were 2 quarterbacks who topped 80 rushing attempts: Kordell Stewart, and Aaron Brooks. The average number of rushing attempts for a QB (using the top 30 QBs in rushing attempts) was 47.167.

In 2020, there were 7 quarterbacks who had more than 80 rushing attempts: Jackson, Newton, Murray, Allen, Watson, Hill, Wilson. The average number of rushing attempts for a QB (using the top 30 QBs in rushing attempts) was 58.7.

I've been an NFL fan most of my life, and I'm a lot closer to 50 than I'd like to admit. I was always a casual fan until I got a 'home team'. One representing my home stat of South Carolina (and North Carolina as well - Two States. One Team.)  

Last night's game was a ton of fun. I had a great time.

The game is going to go through cycles as people adapt to the meta. Right now, the meta seems to be favoring spread offense and passing a disproportionate amount of the time. Maybe some team comes along and figures they counter the meta with ground and pound. Whatever is successful will get copied until it becomes the new meta and then someone will come up with a counter and round and round we go.

Did you see Vita Vea tonight? Be that disruptive. No rushing lanes, always pushing the pocket, and a key 3rd down pickup as the blocking fullback.

I don't want to think about Vita Vea versus Paradis or Elflein.

3 minutes ago, CPsinceDay1 said:

Bet you see him start this year...

1. Sam has never played all 16 games and now the season is 17 games long. 

2. The Panthers have a questionable offensive linemen at C, both OGs, and LT.

3. PJ is currently the back up quarterback. The backup starts if the starter is hurt.

Chances PJ starts a game?

4 hours ago, MasterAwesome said:

We’re already conceding the division to TB before the first game of the season? 

This take could age incredibly poorly, but TB isn't some unbeatable juggernaut. They brought back all 22 starters. Awesome. The same 22 starters that got pushed to the absolute brink by Ron Rivera and Taylor Heinicke. The same 22 starters that were 7-5 including a loss to a  Nick Foles led Bears team, and 2 losses to a Saints team with Drew Brees already halfway out the door of retirement. 

Week one is probably the hardest. You only have the vaguest notions of who any of these teams will be.

Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers W

W Philadelphia Eagles @ Atlanta Falcons

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills W

W Minnesota Vikings @ Cincinnati Bengals

W San Francisco 49ers @ Detroit Lions

W Arizona Cardinals @ Tennessee Titans

W Seattle Seahawks @ Indianapolis Colts

Los Angeles Chargers @ Washington Football Team W

New York Jets @ Carolina Panthers W

W Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans

Cleveland Browns @ Kansas City Chiefs W

Miami Dolphins @ New England W

W Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints

Denver Broncos @ New York Giants W

Chicago Bears @ Los Angeles Rams W

W Baltimore Ravens @ Las Vegas Raiders

1 hour ago, 45catfan said:

 Also, in the NFL you typically don't have those monster swings in records either.  Teams with 1-2 wins aren't double digit clubs by the next season. Sure, it's happened, but SUPER rare.

Typical year over year delta in win total is +/- 4. With the longer season, this number may start to stretch to 5.

There are outliers, of course, but most teams will change their win/loss record by a maximum of 4 games per year which gives the Panthers a range of 1-17 to 9-8.

2 hours ago, OldhamA said:

 

Cash strapped Saints.

 

Baltimore will sign him I bet 

7 hours ago, PanthersATL said:

You're lucky. CBS Atlanta is supposedly showing Texans/Jags.   You'd think that they'd at least want to show something in-conference if given a chance.

Then again, maybe this is a mistake in their listings too.  One can only hope.

Coverage maps won't get posted until Wednesday, September 8.

Maybe the Observer should hire @ellis.

Panthers jump out to a fast 10-0 lead, and go into halftime up 20-7 after allowing a last minute TD drive by the Jets. Rhule takes the air out of the ball in the second half, having Brady call running play after running play into a stacked box. The Jets crawl back and pull within two. With less than two minutes to go, Brian Burns gets a strip sack of Wilson with the Jets on the Panthers 36 yard line and the Panthers hold on for a 23-21 'victory'.

I'm seeing more similarities between Rhule and Ron than I like. Rhule (possibly influenced by Snow) has  demonstrated some of the same "defensive minded head coach" qualities.