MHS831

Come back soon, Mr. Scot. I am not used to being the smartest one here. And that statement is not arrogant, unfortunately!

Yet they think they deserve it because the market is set. I think we are in the era where you should draft a QB every 2-3 years if not every year.

Yeah--Penix is better, but it all depends on Penix. The Raiders have been rumored to him. Latest rumor? The Dolphins take Penix, avoid the contract w Tua. Downfield thrower to those speedster WRs. It makes sense. Think about it--Miami trades up with Denver who moves back to 21 and they take Nix. Miami gets Penix, saves millions on the Tua contract, and The Raiders are bamboozled.

I think the Rams want him and they are going to be bold about it. Popcorn needs to be ready--Chicago at #9 (Rams Bears trade)?

If I were starting a game next week and had McCarthy and Penix on my roster--its Penix all day. McCarthy seems to be running a self-promotion add. At the beginning of all this, you and I (I think) debated whether McCarthy would be there at 33.

Tough one. Common sense says under but I am going with over for that reason

They have Corbett in that photo? What is going on? Is that a smokescreen? Selecting him for this photo is eerily strange--are they making other teams believe we love him at C? Could this foreshadow JMC or Barton?

Bama ran a lot of zone, so his stock is a bit elevated, imo. I honestly believe that we are trading back if we can. I can also say that it is possible we draft CB and WR in round 2...I still think that Sandristil is a good fit--and I hated it when I heard it--but it makes sense. At WR, we should have a nice selection. Legette, Pearsall, Coleman, Wilson, Franklin, Worthy. However, do not discount the perception of our need by our GM to bring in an ALPHA ILB. There are only 2 of them, and they will be available in the second round. (Cooper, Wilson).

Kool Aid and First Aid.

Rumors I have not heard---Jets looking to move up? Rams? Pray for OL to last to 31!

So what would it take to move from 15 to 4 (Indianapolis trying to get Harrison)? 750 points after swapping first rounders this draft. Without involving players, that trade would look like: Arizona: Pick 4 Indianapolis: Picks 15, 46 and a 2025 first round selection.

Atlanta beat writer thinks the Falcons will be an active trader tonight. JJ McCarthy dropping? That could influence a lot.

While not a rumor, an interesting thought that could involve the Panthers (Think Higgins, Tee):

Not checking to see if these rumors have been reported: Giants working hard to deal with Pats

Yes!!! And the odds that we hit on 2 WRs in this draft are even smaller! Since we added Johnson and have Thielen for another season, maybe we should draft 1 that is most likely to be successful at the next level. Someone who gets away from press coverage and runs good routes that create separation. Adding Johnson was HUGE. Lombardi referenced a stat on McAfee's show that was focused on the success rate of first round WRs--I think it was 27%--the lowest. That would suggest that second round WRs succeed about 15-20% of the time---making the Panther results not abnormal.

If it is a player that we know we would like a 5th year option, it could be wise to do so. However, the trade would have to be with KC or SF, imo--and they would be losing the fifth year option. I do not think the odds are 20%--I would say 10%, based only on my hunches. This is the "F YOU, FITTERER!!!" Draft. Last year was the "F YOU, PANTHER FANS!!" Draft:

I think that Caleb is going to be good. After that, it depends where they go: Maye If he goes to Minnesota or the Giants, he has a better supporting staff than Daniels will in Washington. New England would not be the best situation for Maye, imo. He will be able to watch for a season in NY--possibly in Minnesota. If Daniels goes to Washington, he will be on his own, but the Commanders have a lot of draft capital. Penix is not going to do well in Vegas until they get the OL worked out. However, he can sit for a season there. I see them as a potential trading partner with Carolina: Washington picks in top 100: Round 1 (2) Round 2 (36) Round 2 (40) Round 3 (67) Round 3 (78) Round 3 (100) McCarthy is going to land in a pretty good situation. Either the Giants (where he will sit for a season) or Minnesota is better than Washington or New England.

Samuel and LaFell are washes, imo. Neither more than a decent slot or a marginal Z WR.

Moose and Smith are the reason we were in the Super Bowl.

I added a few comments about each that I recall or have recently read See comments above---I had to go back and read articles etc. about Colbert, Jarrett, etc.

For those of us screaming for a WR on day 2, there is this: Day 2 WRs drafted by Panthers (round) 2023: Jonathan Mingo (2) 2021: Terrace Marshall Jr. (2) 2017: Curtis Samuel (2) 2015: Devin Funchess (2) 2010: Brandon Lafell (3); Armanti Edwards (3) 2007: Dwayne Jarrett (2) 2004: Keary Colbert (2) 2001: Steve Smith (3) 1997: Muhsin Muhammad (2)

This is based on need and the expected availability in the draft: 33. Trade to get a second rounder next year and a third or fourth this year. imagine we need a QB like Denver and are sitting there at #12 without a second rounder. Say we drop to pick 50. 39. Wide Receiver (a quality WR should be there---Pearsall, Coleman, Franklin, Worthy, Legette, or Worthy--all have a 50% chance or better to be there) Do not be surprised if the Panthers pick Mike Saindristil. 50. Inside Linebacker: Cooper (Tex AM) or Wilson (NCSU). The Panthers have a history of Dawg LBs and have not been successful without one. 65. Nickel CB (I would consider moving up for Sandristril here to about 55. If not, CB Max Melton (Rutgers) Of course, if an edge falls of a top C is there, I might go another direction--if Powers-Johnson is at #39, I take him. 101: This is the sweet spot for a backup Center: Nourzad (Penn St), Pran Granger (Georgia); We could find some fallen value at Edge: Eliss (Utah), and Austin Booker (Kansas). RB: Ray Davis (KY), Blake Forum (Mich)

It is starting to look like it--such a run on WR at the end of the draft-- If Nix is there, it could make pick #33 marketable. Same for JPJ. Powers-Johnson (C) To me, a pro-bowl level C for the next decade is worth a second rounder. (see Kalil, Ryan) Legette (WR) There are rumors that Kansas City and New England like him. Coleman (WR) An early favorite, he has tailed off. The big Mike Evans WR Canales may covet? Sainitstril (CB) Lotta folks projecting the nickel CB to the Panthers Rakestraw (CB) Probably not. Pearsall (WR) Possible, but only if we trade back to the mid second? Wilson (LB) I can't see Morgan not falling in love with Wilson. We always seem to draft LBs when we think we don't need them (Beason to replace Morgan; Luke to replace Beason) Cooper (LB) He can't read the play as quickly as Wilson, but he is a dawg who can cover ground. I'd take him over Wilson due to the injury history--since I do not have access to medicals) Franklin (WR) The guy nobody is talking about. Worthy (WR) The success of Zay Flowers and Tank Dell have helped Worthy. Frazier (C)

Center is very interesting. If Corbett is telling the truth and he can play C, then I wonder "at what level" and "who is your backup?" After watching the interview with Powers-Johnson, I would love his presence in the locker room. However, I actually had a dream about this, and we drafted Ladd McConkey and Mike Sainistil. We drafted a LB in the third, but I don't know if that was part of my dream or if it was what I told my wife when I was cuddling with her after a traumatic nightmare. I am kidding--I would actually like that draft. Not sure if the Sainistil pick was a trade back or not. Still feeling that we are going to trade back #33. I see possibly Denver moving up for Nix, offering us a future second rounder and a third this season to do so. As for edge--I just think there is a bit of a gap between rounds 1 and late 2. Best to wait and see if Elliss or someone like that drops. Please, no RBs or TEs until day 3.