MHS831

Colby Parkinson had 247 yards and 2 TDs last season and he got a three year, $21m deal. Yikes.

A: 418 Q: How many receiving yards did both Michael Gallup and Jonathan Mingo (as a rookie) have in 2023?

Going to show you all how cheap I am. We saute mushrooms, peppers, onions, ground turkey, etc. in a frying pan that probably costs us about $7. We go to Little Ceasar's and pick up 3 large Pepperoni pizzas for about $20. We have 3 large "all the way" Pizzas for about $9 bucks each ($27). Delivered with the works? The cost would be about $40-50 or more.

Seriously, after the year Bryce had, I think Daddy should stay off social media related to the Panther's offense. While this was a hypothetical, it could be considered meddling, in my view. Remember, we live in an era now where moms and dads get involved in the recruitment process in college and the $$$ involved--if you recall, even before the college game endorsed it, Cam's dad was asking for six figure payouts when he was in college. Just my 2c. I hate what is happening to college sports now, and to see a Daddy going on social media about who the Pahthers should draft to help his son not suck is irritating.

Why not? Let's have everyone contributing to our big board. The Teppers, QB's daddy, the Pizza delivery guy....

I know, right? However, I have learned that making things quantifiable often makes them more understandable. So this brings up an interesting point. Instead of just generalizing something everyone knows or believes, how can we make that measurable? Let's say there are 300 players in the talent pool. The Panthers have 30 in for visits, and the interviewed 30 more players at the combine, SR bowl, etc. I looked back over the last 10 years, and it seems fairly safe to say that we had an average of just under 7 picks and we drafted at least 2 players (on average) that we met with. That means that approximately 30% of the players we draft were players we formally met with at the combine or had in for a visit. Now if you take a look at the players (on average) that we did not meet with at the combine or visited, then it is safe to assume that approximately 5 of 7 were not formally visited, approximately 70%. If you consider that about 30% of the Panther picks come from the 60 players the Panthers interviewed or visited (combine, visits), and 70% of the picks come from the much larger pool of the rest of the players in the draft who did not visit, Then a player has about a 5% chance of being picked by the Panthers if he visited or met with the Panthers. While a majority of players chosen did not meet with the Panthers, the approximate odds of being picked by the Panthers falls to 2.5%. Therefore, a player who the Panthers met with at the Combine or visited is twice as likely to be picked by the Panthers than a player who did not have formal contact as described herein.

Does this mean we are making room for another signing?

They met with Trice already, so they think he can do it--which OLB position? They met with him before the Wonnum signing. Heck, meeting with a player does not mean they walked away liking what they saw.... There is a guy from Colorado State that impressed me at some point this past year. Kamara. had 14 sacks in 2023, 15 sacks in 2021/2022. Sleeper?

He is also pretty versatile, from what i have read.

This may mean nothing and it could even be a detriment, but Morgan brings a perspective we have not had before--from a former player. Gettlemen was the closest thing we had to a player--he was a very successful high school football coach. Marty Hurney was a sports reporter for a now defunct Washington newspaper--and was hired as a PR guy. Scott Fitterer was a baseball player. The difference? The interviews--maybe this is what Morgan said when he talked about Dawgs. The mindset of the player. Of all the measurables, speed, strength, etc. He was saying that he values heart and intelligence above all else. He has also been true to his word so far. I am not seeing a lot of can kicking---he is going to find good players. I always wondered if extensions and overpaying players was a result of an inept or even lazy GM. Remember that CB we signed to start opposite Horn? He was a 7th rounder that Morgan found and promoted. Finally, I think Hurney was good at the first round because that is where the chances for success are high and he drafted pretty safely--but the great teams are built on days 2 and 3. Morgan seems to have an eye for the talent there. Before you say this is nonsense, that there have been a lot of good GMs who never played, just consider what it takes to be an elite MLB in the NFL. You have to know your defense and you better know the offense. Remember when Luke was calling out plays before the snap? You have to know both sides of the ball, and Morgan had success. He knows dawgs. I am not crowning him, but I am saying this start seems different. We need different.

He is a year away from playing, IMO, but do not discount that bloodline.

https://fb.watch/qQRnreJrs1/

Just that one that I have never heard of.

I like Wiley as well.

I don't care if Juan cannot embed--I am not his boss at Mattress Firm. I will say, he has been killin it!

He has had 2 seasons of 7 where he had over 1000 yards. He was overpaid by the Chargers.

We have to trust these guys to do it right--not the crackheads who were pulling strings before. I really do not think they understand talent. A WR that has good hands and runs crisp routes that gets separation is not going to bust. Instead, we were drafting players based on 40 times and active heart rates--zodiac signs and college stats-- Morgan is going to be watching a lot of film---that is what he knows and every successful MLB does it religiously.

Now there is some noise coming out of Pittsburgh about Picket not willing to dress week 17 as the emergency QB (did not know that was the case) and that he was not cooperative about Wilson coming to town. Sounds like a Diva. He did not want to stand beside Russell during the national anthem, for one, because their jerseys would read "Wilson Pickett" Thank you.

It seems that there is evidence to suggest that the plan is to address the following during the draft: Confirmed WR visits/meetings (no significance to order--estimated round is in parentheses) Keon Coleman - Wide Receiver - Florida State (1/2) Troy Franklin - Wide Receiver - Oregon (2) Xavier Legette - Wide Receiver - South Carolina (2/3) Ladd McConkey - Wide Receiver - Georgia (2) Ainias Smith - Wide Receiver - Texas A&M (4) Brian Thomas Jr. - Wide Receiver - LSU (1) Tez Walker - Wide Receiver - UNC (3) Malik Washington - Wide Receiver - Virginia (4) WR: The question is, "How many?" If the draft were tomorrow, I would guess 2. This strongly suggests that a WR will be the pick at #33. It also suggests that they are looking for a slot WR in round 4 (pick 101) or they will take Carolina players Legette or Walker should they fall to 101. To me, that might indicate the #33 pick is someone who could also play inside. If you look at the WR group likely to be available at #33, that leaves Coleman, Franklin, and McConkey. Coleman is a big WR who brings Kelvin Benjamin vibes back, but he can high point the ball. However, the only TE the Panthers have met with is 6'6"--so is Canales still craving the Mike Evans jump balls? Hmmm. If the decision comes down to Troy Franklin or Ladd McConkey, it could go to the better route runner--McConkey. I think it is a pretty safe bet to wager that the Panthers will take one of these players or trade out of #33. Malik Washington in the fourth would make the WR corps dangerous. Confirmed OLB/Edge/DE visits/meetings (estimated round in parentheses) Austin Booker - EDGE - Kansas (3/4) Andre Carter - EDGE - Indiana (undrafted free agent) Marshawn Kneeland - EDGE - Western Michigan (3) Xavier Thomas - EDGE - Clemson (6) Bralen Trice - EDGE - Washington (2) Gotta keep in mind that these visits happened or were scheduled before we added Wonnum and Chaisson. This is invalid if we sign Chase or Downey. It is my guess that if we do not sign Chase or Clowney, the Panthers will draft Bralen Trice at pick #39. Edge SOLB: Now that they have Wonnum at SOLB, they may be interested in some depth. They have shown interest (interview at combine and personal visit) in Western Michigan's Marshawn Kneeland, a player who would likely be available at pick #65. Currently, the depth at SOLB seems to be Eku Leota and DJ Johnson. Edge: Jack--At the Jack OLB position, they just signed Chaisson (who I think will do will in this system) and they have Amare Barno, who played will in 2023 in spot duty. Of course, they are trying to sign Chase or Downey, but if they do not, there seems to be interest in Bralen Trice (Washington--should be a day 2 pick) Conclusion: If we sign Clowney or Chase, we are done at Edge. Confirmed prospect meetings other than WR and Edge: Offense: Jonathan Brooks - Running Back - Texas (7-und) Anthony Bradford - Guard - LSU (4-6) Delmar Glaze - Tackle - Maryland (4/5) Christian Haynes - Guard - UCONN (3) Patrick Paul - Tackle - Houston (2/3) John Rhys Plumlee - Quarterback - UCF (und) Jared Wiley - Tight End - TCU (3/4) Defense: JD Bertrand - Linebacker - Notre Dame (5) Edgerrin Cooper - Linebacker - Texas A&M (2) Jaden Crumedy - Tackle - Mississippi State (5/6) Braden Fiske - Tackle - Florida State (2) Mark Perry - Safety - TCU (6) Nate Wiggins - Corner - Clemson (1) To me, it is noteworthy that there are no centers listed, but I realize this list is not complete or a great predictor. Still, if they were bluffing about Corbett and Mays, it seems that it would show here like it did with WR and Edge. Tight End--They are going to grab a TE in this draft; I just can't see them sticking with what they have.Wiley is 6'6" and Canales likes to throw up tall guys. I feel confident that the Panthers will draft him. Nate Wiggins is projected to be a first rounder, so I do not think he is on the board any longer. Based on what I know to be needs and taking these tea leaves into account, I predict the following on this 15th day of March in the 2024th year of our lord: #33: Ladd McConkley, WR UGA: He can play inside or outside, and it looks like he is polished and ready to go as a rookie--good route runner--runs entire route tree. Solid and smart, able to communicate with smart QB. Good hands, quick feet. #39 Bralen Trice, Edge Washington (perhaps a bit of a reach here, but if we do not sign a free agent, Trice is the best of the rest after round 1) #65: Jared Wiley, TE TCU (At 6'6" tall and 250lbs with the ability to run a 4;6 40, I can see Canales wanting to add this red zone weapon) #101: Mailk Washington WR UVA. A slot that can make things happen. If Legette or Walker fall here, one is the pick and Ladd becomes the slot of the future.

I do not see other teams interested in him at the moment. I would say, basing this on nothing at all except my knowledge of math up to 100, is that he his chance of signing here is 82.27%.

Chase's last stop is Tenn, and they have $50m. cap room-- The Saints have about $16.6m and the Panthers are somewhere around $20m. I would say the odds are 50% to Tennessee, 30% New Orleans, 15% to Carolina, and 5% quit football

If we sign a free agent Edge at this point (Chase or Clowney) and the probability is about 30%. Chase is going to visit New Orleans and Tennessee, and he is slow playing it. Clowney has interest from the Jets, Panthers, and the Ravens would like him back. Here is Spotrac's estimate of cap space: 3. Tennessee $50m 16. Carolina $20m 18. New Orleans $16.6 19. NY Jets $13m 20. Baltimore $11m It seems likely that nobody will be able to compete with the contract Tennessee gives Chase, which is probably why he is visiting them last. That leaves the Panthers competing with 2 teams with less cap space for Clowney. The Jets are not in a good place, but he may think NYC is cool. The Ravens were successful and he is part of that team now--to me, they are the most likely to land Clowney. If Clowney wants to come home, we can probably offer him a slightly higher salary to make that happen. My guess is it will cost the Panthers $10m per year for 2 years. So if we do not sign either Clowney or Young, we plan to draft one, I suppose. This is what Person said in the Atlantic: Outlook: Wonnum looks like the type of long, athletic player who could thrive in Ejiro Evero’s 3-4 system. He had a pair of eight-sack seasons in four years in Minnesota after the Vikings drafted him in the fourth round. That’s not nothing, but the Panthers believe Wonnum can be more disruptive while raising his productivity.

Update: Young’s visit has been rescheduled, Underhill reports. Fans shouldn’t read into this one way or another until we have more information. It could be as simple as Young’s flight getting canceled. Either way, this story isn’t going to wrap up quickly.

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