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strato

HUDDLER
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Everything posted by strato

  1. Knowing what it would look like was the main cause of all the consternation over sitting people.
  2. i was actually thinking of UDFA vs 6th or 7th round. I thought that was part of the idea we were discussing. Like you can wait until after the draft for these guys. I was saying that it holds true for about all players down there so what is really the difference? Now, I did not research success rate of 6th round picks by position, but I guess you did. . You might be citing established success rates or you might be guesstimating, I don’t know. I’m not challenging that in the first place, we can use it. I would say though, that if my eyes tell me there is potential, and the kid shows to have a good head on his shoulders I am going to do what feels right in that circumstance regardless of the percentages. It isn’t a high level of investment. That is where you can gamble a little. Moving along... You could take the view that you can more successfully predict success of other positions better than QB when you are at the top of the player rankings, I might look at focusing my 1st round on doing that. That was just off the top of my head so I looked for a better source. I stole the below from Jeremy Fowler on Twitter, it is compiled of the years 2000-20019. The percentages by positions are below (look at WR lol). And there is a link to a 2025 trade value chart also. There is a lot to this of course, but I thought I’d look at the trade value chart along with these percentages. I am not great with the math heavy statistical analysis, so I won’t try to quantify all this. But I did consider that 2% chance thing and compared that to the 46% for 1st rounders from this chart (QBs ftr) (That’s 23 times more likely? Or just divisible 23 times? I don’t the rules for probabilities like some folks here will.) The value of a mid 6th rounder is 15.4, for the 15th pick of the 6th round. 23 x 15.4 is 354.2 The value of the 15th overall selection, is listed as 1050. Looks like you get 23 shots x 2 percentage wise. You essentially get 3 times that many shots from a trade chart value. What can we do with those numbers? https://www.drafttek.com/nfl-trade-value-chart.asp https://x.com/JFowlerESPN/status/1783133659249193449
  3. Gotta give him a rookie year even if it doesn’t look great. He’ll learn a lot, see what he can do with it in ‘25
  4. You could kinda say the same thing about almost any player down there at the bottom. Who are you missing out on really, using these late rounds to secure a developmental QB?
  5. If Bryce has not improved there will be boos in BOA. It’s pretty simple. Cheers he stays, boos he goes.
  6. Missed quoting the post in the reply... Yep. There are some advantages, possibly. You just detailed aspects of it. I came to the same place after getting my frustration out and started trying to look at it clinically or whatever the right word is. With that 3 game thing, you could possible get an edge if you could reimagine it successfully. 1st game, what they did. Now they have guys in as real conditions as they can have, and focus on whatever potential stands out. That done, you have a hopefully healthy starting bunch to put through scrimmages and the 2nd game, a week to fix stuff for the next game and see maybe a progress arc, and two week to get ready for the season with your 53. It might make good sense.
  7. Milton was flashing, right off the bat. It doesn’t mean that he will develop, it means they have something to work with. Saints may be able to trade Rattler or Haener, they are both looking good so far. I envy that poo.
  8. Replays are our friend. Maybe more like an acquaintance.
  9. I had concerns over flying back with the storms and bands of wind. It was Delta huh? I would have guessed United.
  10. No one wants to watch horrible football. Especially when it’s your team making it bad football. There was like, ZERO payoff for us really. It was Christmas morning last night, and even though we were pretty sure what to expect; we were getting socks like we do most Christmases, we had disappointment when we opened presents. Even the socks were crappy. It is Devil’s advocate time, time to bright side this poo: The strategy of playing your depth might actually be smart. Things happen in game situations that you don’t see in practices, all day. You find who you want to focus on right away, have more time to form your decisions, might be a more efficient way of looking at finalizing a roster. And your starters stay healthy for the week of Jets scrimmages and will have the chance to gauge their progress.
  11. Why compare him to himself? Baseline should be in the average range of QBs that went on to have great success in the NFL.
  12. If they shop a pic of Bryce looking like Godzilla stomping on opposing fans tailgates before the games, and put it where that fap pic of him is over on the sidebar... they can stay
  13. https://www.panthers.com/video/dave-canales-addresses-the-media-after-preseason-opener-2024
  14. Looking at the situation going into tonight, expectations had to be basement level, and that held true. So rationally (and after last year) I knew it would be like a visit to the dentist, but it was a soul killing couple of hours all the same.
  15. Yeah that is fair. How many excuses were made for Plummer tonight in the game thread? I am going to guess a very low number.
  16. Yeah and it was there last year too. He is good at his job. It could hold a guy like him back because he could actually be a better hands on coach and defensive strategy than a staff and player manager.
  17. Odds on the defense getting one first are pretty good. Relative to odds given in the past.
  18. Since he looked so good in similar circumstances? I was glad they took a QB a little later and bought Phil Simms’ analysis, but that was not wise of me.
  19. Seeing as I am gonna guess you really don't believe we could make the playoffs, even if Hell froze over, I don’t know.
  20. That's that offensive coach team personality, unless it’s a guy that was an OL coach. There is no fuging toughness only schemes and finesse. Forgive my bias towards defensive players and coaches but that is how it feels to me over and over in the years of watching the game.
  21. Imagine last year. Bout the same.
  22. My analysis at the time. Bottom line. Then you have all the peanut gallery chirping for an offensive guy. They want a head coach that is also the OC. As if everyone can do that. Been to two Super Bowls with a defensive coach but it isn’t ‘modern’ enough for some people. Our offense under Offensive guys, has looked worse than it ever has under defensive coaches. Or, as bad. i like Canales though, in spite of this poo. I think. He did not create it he is only trying to deal with it.
  23. Gloves are gonna come off this year in the stadium, he better hope he looks better.
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