Tbe

It’s less. The probabilities are independent. I asked chat gpt. It’s a 55% chance of landing at least one solid long term starter from those two picks. If you use this data.

27 years old. Spent time on IR last year. Money.

Good deal for Donte.

Some browns fan crunched the numbers on 20 years of draft data. NFL wide…not browns specific. https://247sports.com/nfl/cleveland-browns/Board/105323/Contents/odds-of-becoming-a-quality-player-in-the-nfl-by-draft-round-211678773/#:~:text=1st round - about 50% of,3rd round - about 16%. I’ve seen it broken down by position too. Some positions have higher success rates than others. This is the only source I can find right now. https://www.arrowheadpride.com/2015/2/20/8072877/what-the-statistics-tell-us-about-the-draft-by-round

2-3 years depends on if we get these picks right. If not, move that to 5-7 years.

If someone has a hard time making the putts, you don’t move them further from the hole. More swings is not going to help. Now, if they prove to be good evaluators, sure. But we have the same scouting dept from the past 3 drafts.

1st round - about 50% of players drafted in the 1st round developed into solid NFL starters. 2nd round - about 33% of players drafted in the 2nd round developed into solid NFL starter. From here, it dropped by 50% per round. 3rd round - about 16%. 4th round - about 8%. 5th round - about 4-5%. 6th round - about 2%. 7th round - about 1-2%.

The odds of a 2nd rounder to develop into a starter is 33%. A high 2nd is more like 40%. The odds of a 3rd drops to 16%. The math doesn’t favor those trades.

It’s not tanking…it’s rebuilding which takes years given our situation. Morgan will try. Considering his involvement the past few years..I’m not holding out hope.

I’m not mad at the “build from the inside out” philosophy.

We really need Zod to upgrade the forum software. It doesn’t recognize the new url format.

The guy who embeds tweets wins.

Bro, I need you to learn to embed.

C’mon guys. We’re a leverage team. Don’t put anything in these reports.

Yep. Zero evidence to think Morgan and Fitt were butting heads the past few years. He was in on all these decisions.

Oh that 5th is going straight to the practice squad….then out the door in 2 years tops.

Exactly, When it’s all over. 10 picks for a game manager QB CMC for an average WR Burns for, what I expect, an average WR and some guy who won’t make the roster in 2 years 2-4 picks to try and replace Burns.

39 is an early 2nd.

and.. DB WR OL TE LB

Hey man…pizza is hard. So many toppings to keep track of.

He was still in his rookie contract when we got that 2 1sts offer. Its different now that he’s demanding a huge contract. Either way, I’m so tired of trading away all our best players for nothing every year. The idea that Morgan wasn’t involved in most of Fitts moves is crazy. He’s more of the same.

He is under contract. We didn’t let him leave.

It’s because they have to also give him a huge contract. We would have gotten a lot more if he were on a cheap contract.