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Tbe

HUDDLER
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Everything posted by Tbe

  1. I’m doing the same. They are requiring masks, temp checks, waiting outside, etc. They are taking no chances.
  2. To follow up on my own post, the nytimes had another article on this. Basically, they have no idea how many of these extra deaths are Covid and how many were other causes. They think most were Covid, but a good number were heart attacks or other issues. “It is too soon to know the precise causes of death for New Yorkers in this period. Although many of the deaths not currently attributed to coronavirus may represent an undercount of the outbreak’s direct toll, the broader effects of the pandemic might have also increased deaths indirectly. Throughout the city, emergency rooms have been overcrowded, ambulance response has been slowed, and many residents might have been reluctant to seek medical care because of fears of contracting the virus. Hospitals around the country have reported reductions in admission for heart attacks, one sign that some people may be dying at home from ailments they would survive during more normal times.” https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/27/upshot/coronavirus-deaths-new-york-city.html
  3. This is excellent. The bottom line is NYC’s historical average weekly death rate. Red is this year.
  4. Exactly, that’s my point. Even if someone believes that hospitals are over counting deaths, that number wouldn’t be enough to overcome the huge numbers of people who died at home.
  5. They all think we are over-counting?
  6. At the very least, the undercounting would cancel out any over counting. There were a LOT of cases in NYC where people died at home and were never tested because they didn’t make it to the hospital. Firefighters were reporting thousands of at home deaths. Some of those cases are now being counted as likely Covid deaths, but no one knows the true number. “Mayor Bill de Blasio acknowledged on Tuesday that the vast majority of deaths taking place at home were likely also due to COVID-19, the disease caused by the virus, meaning the death toll could be as much as 70% higher than currently reported figures.”
  7. I don’t think what happened in Georgia is as malicious as you are portraying. At least from the reporting I’ve read. Either way, they aren’t doing those things now and numbers aren’t spiking and hospitals are reporting falling case numbers. It could be a blip, but we’ll see.
  8. Four weeks later and Georgia is still flat. If this holds, it will be good news. https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/26/us/georgia-coronavirus/index.html
  9. I’m skeptical that will hold, but we’ll see. I did a little digging and realized my zip has had 34 cases total since Jan. The last reported case was weeks ago. I feel a lot better about being around my neighbors now.
  10. The closer to uptown you buy, the better your return will be. For 500k, you can get a 2500sq townhouse in south end. That area seems to be appreciating the fastest.
  11. That house is definitely in the far outskirts of Charlotte, but it’s in a nice area. The owner of that house would have a long drive to get to anything worth doing. Perspectives are interesting though. I would never consider that house to be a mansion. It’s all in what a person is used to.
  12. 1. Politicians and their families and staffers 2. Celebrities 3. The very wealthy 4. Hospital executives 5. Medical personal. 6. People with insurance 7. everyone else It will be easy to get since so many people think it is too risky/used by Bill gates to implant microchips.
  13. Yeah, let’s spike Charlotte’s infected total. A packed arena of 15k yelling people who just got off planes. What can go wrong?
  14. Woah...flex check. You don’t think there are a lot of parallels with the way people react? https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/05/10/health/coronavirus-plague-pandemic-history.amp.html https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.pbs.org/newshour/amp/nation/bubonic-plague-inspired-eerily-similar-reactions-among-the-rich-as-todays-pandemic
  15. Read about how people reacted to the Black Plague. It’s all the same. People don’t change. This is predictable. This pandemic will end like all others. People will start to ignore it long before it really goes away.
  16. Maryland....working on their social distancing and mask wearing.
  17. We don’t really know what’s happening yet. Phase 2 just started yesterday. The higher “infection rate” mostly comes from the state exceeding its testing targets. More testing = more know infections. Before the lock downs, very few tests were being done. Our ‘estimated death total’ was revised down by 40% last week. NC’s positive test rate continues to fall. The number of Covid hospitalizations are rising some, but it’s hardly a spike. We won’t know the effects of easing restrictions for another two weeks. Remember, lock downs were not implemented to eradicate the virus. It was just to ease the burden on hospitals.
  18. Well...that’s a problem. The Oxford University team in charge of developing a coronavirus vaccine said a decline in the infection rate will make it increasingly difficult to prove whether it’s been successful, the Telegraph reported. “It’s a race against the virus disappearing, and against time,” Professor Adrian Hill, director of the university’s Jenner Institute, told the newspaper. “We said earlier in the year that there was an 80% chance of developing an effective vaccine by September. But at the moment, there’s a 50% chance that we get no result at all.” https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-24/oxford-university-vaccine-trials-run-into-hurdle-telegraph
  19. I had a business until about 6 years ago. Before I went full time with it, I set aside 1 year of living expenses. It saved my ass several years later. Many industries don’t have the margins to do that for their entire company though.
  20. I haven’t been hearing much on inflation. Deflation is what everyone is talking about. https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2020/05/03/coronavirus-us-deflation-falling-prices-new-economic-risk/3070084001/
  21. Yeah, I’ve seen some of that recently. I wouldn’t mind it if masks prevented the wearer from getting it vs keeping someone from spreading it (what it really does). I’m hoping this data makes the rounds and governors and businesses start requiring it. I know, if given the choice, I would much rather wear a mask than have another lock down.
  22. According to recent studies (and what happened in Hong Kong), if everyone wears a mask we can greatly reduce the infection rate. https://www.vox.com/2020/5/18/21262273/coronavirus-hong-kong-masks-deaths-new-york
  23. Look at that man behind her in the photo. She just giving those old guys a reason to live. A national hero.
  24. I’m sure that’s true, but it just started getting warm here in Charlotte about a week ago. It’s been really mild (70’s) since March.
  25. Yay us! https://www.wral.com/coronavirus/covid-19-forecasters-slash-projections-for-nc-death-toll/19106241/ New modeling from a group of researchers at the University of Washington has significantly cut the number of COVID-19 deaths expected in North Carolina through August. Projections from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation now forecast more than 2,500 deaths from the disease through Aug. 4. That's down about 40 percent from the group's projection last week of 4,400 deaths. North Carolina saw one of the largest decreases in the forecast compared to other states. Arizona's forecast, on the other hand, increased by more than 3,000. But they wrote they also expected to see a bigger jump in cases due to rising mobility – a signal that people are social distancing less. "Yet such a surge has yet to materialize, suggesting that increases in human mobility alone may not fully capture risk of transmission," researchers wrote. The group is now trying to figure out how to incorporate other social distancing factors, like mask usage consistent with CDC recommendations, into the model.
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