Tbe

The IT and higher ed space.

Even if everyone is allowed to go out and do anything they want, a significant number of people will be too scared to do anything. That fear is going to suppress the economy for a while. I really don’t think we will start to see the end of this thing until next year at this time. The good news is there seems to be a floor to this. Only so many people will stay home indefinitely. I expect 30%+ unemployment by The fall. If I’m brought back to work, I’ve been told it will most likely be at reduced pay. They expect revenue to be down 30% over the next 12 months so they want to try to structure compensation accordingly.

Welp, I’m getting furloughed today. It’s probably 50-50 on whether I’ll get to come back in August. President and CFO project this will continue through the fall and into next spring.

I’ve Did that test for the flu once. It sucks. The idea that people and kids are going to do that on a regular basis is unrealistic.

True, they don’t know for sure if immunity to covid is real or how long it lasts. All viruses leave some level of immunity so this one most likely does. If it doesn’t, a vaccine will be impossible.

Unless a breakthrough vaccine comes through, this thing won’t be eradicated for years. Herd immunity doesn’t happen until 80% of the population gets the disease. Staying home just prolongs that process. Full scale testing doesn’t eradicate it either. Just slows it down some. Bottom line, waiting for this thing to be ‘eradicated’ will result in massive employment and even bigger poverty driven public health issues.

This is the most common sense discussion on what to do next that I’ve seen. It’s what many of us here have been saying and where everyone will be in a month or so.

Lower education levels and Limited access to quality food. Most buy groceries from Walmart etc.

Yep, that state votes republican 40/60. That 60% is just so consistent that the state is always blue. But yeah, it’s not what people think. PA is the same.

Yeah, people in NC and Georgia are like people in every state except parts of New England and parts of California. All of our news and other media happen to come from those parts of NE and Cali so it just seems like we’re different.

Yep, we are more reliant on tech than ever before. Deloitte just released their economic forecast and tech was at the top of the list of industries that will benefit most from this stuff. Internet buying will go up as physical stores close down.

Yep. The total infection amount doesn’t change. Only the timing of those infections change. If going only by that model, I would think 45% social distancing (whatever that means) is more ideal as it gets this over with in a few months while staying under hospital capacity. The media is still running with this assumption that we can get down to 0 new infections if we quarantine long enough. That’s just not going to happen.

My grandparents never trusted banks. I’m going to pull a Bill Gates and horde food in my basement for the next pandemic. Also pay off my mortgage ASAP.

Tenn is saying the vast majority of their businesses will be open by May 1.

I posted this a few pages back. Pretty incredible. I’m sure the actual infection rate is off the charts in NYC. I would love to take this test since I had a really strange flu like illness in mid February.

One third of participants in a random street study tested positive. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/04/17/business/nearly-third-200-blood-samples-taken-chelsea-show-exposure-coronavirus/

There is a theory that lower level staffers at this lab may have been selling lab animals to the wet markets under the table.

So 85x higher than reported.

Considering how contagious this is and the population density there, you have to believe a ton of people died or were critical before authorities even grasped what was going on. Either that or they knew what the virus was and that it was out very early. If so, I wonder how they figured it out so fast? *sarcasm*

Yeah, I feel like there are going to be two different prediction models and response protocols in the end. 1) How does the virus spread in densely populated areas (NYC, Jersey, Italy) and what response is appropriate. 2) How does the virus spread in less dense populations (Sweden, much of the US) and what response is appropriate.

He’s pulling those numbers out his @ss.

I’m sure he has an açaí berry bill or a special colon detox plan to help.

He said “2 to 3% in terms of total mortality.” Total, not 2-3% of kids. Is the mortality rate even that high among the elderly?

Please get off Twitter. It’s way worse than Fox.