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kungfoodude

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Everything posted by kungfoodude

  1. kungfoodude
    I would be fine with that.
  2. kungfoodude
    I could do an average or a weighted distribution for each round. I would want to use something like Career AV or similar to do that. It's a little more straightforward. I am generally wanting to keep it as a "round based" thing because I want to ultimately use it to gauge when/where to draft QB's based on results.
  3. kungfoodude
    I don't generally think that will emerge as a pattern. It's a blip. Darnold is a TBD as a "success" and Geno isn't looking hot.
  4. kungfoodude
    Yeah, grading individual players and "success" level is harder, IMO. I could always do an average based on career AV and then create something based on that. That might be interesting.
  5. kungfoodude
    The guys you are talking about as "successes" are considerably older than the last two or three years. It is possible that preparation isn't as robust in college anymore(this has been brought up before by several observers). For Darnold as a single example, he literally has less experience playing QB than any single current QB on an NFL roster. Including rookies.
  6. kungfoodude
    Lol. WTF are you talking about?
  7. kungfoodude
    I am confused by what you are asking. Also, the preliminary resulta of the model don't bear out that later round picks have a higher success rate. Remember, I am not ranking QB's.
  8. kungfoodude
    Well, that's the general idea of the model.
  9. kungfoodude
    People keep looking at the Mayfield's of the world and thinking that is the norm. It is not. Same with Geno. Darnold is a TBD but could he one. Regardless, those are in fact outliers. People assume this is very simple to do every offseason, despite the fact it quite literally almost never happens.
  10. kungfoodude
    Salary inflation has happened so that is far from an apples to apples. It would make him the 20th highest AAV QB in the NFL, however. Jones is likely to eclipse that and I don't think there are major QB contracts coming due that would bump him down further than 21st. Still too much, IMO.
  11. kungfoodude
    I will use his career in Detroit, who is VERY adept at talent evaluations and their willingness to move on from him so quickly as a 3rd round pick as pretty damning evidence. Matt Corral-esque, dare I say.
  12. kungfoodude
    Yeah but you don't want to be the guy that drafts the next Josh Rosen. Let someone else do that. Howell is a decent 3rd string guy, for sure. We would still need to draft a potential 1st/2nd stringer, though. Bcuz Panthers, bruh. Bcuz.....Panthers.
  13. kungfoodude
    For as hyped as the 2025 Draft DE class was, it hasn't produced a lot of sacks at the almost halfway point of the season. Early returns are looking less than stellar. TE, WR and RB class are having some big successes, however. That depth appears to be very valid.
  14. kungfoodude
    Technically our guys are in the top 6 in sacks for rookies and Scourton is tied for the lead.
  15. kungfoodude
    You would need to filter for postseason STARTS, actually. It's why I eliminated all Super Bowl criteria. Backups get rings too. If you come up with a workable tier system, post it and I will try the 1st rounders as a test to see the results.
  16. kungfoodude
    Yeah, I am fine with rostering 3 QB's. A older vet/gamble on a younger, "distressed asset" vet and a drafted QB. At least there are some options to roll through when Bryce is just Bryce again.
  17. kungfoodude
    If you have been in college as long as Nussmeier and you are a one read QB, you are not an NFL QB. That's a 6th/7th rounder even with the size/arm.
  18. kungfoodude
    We had that, sort of. Jake Delhomme. We had a shot at a real franchise QB that wasn't even a reclaimation project. We ended up making him play DE on the scout team.
  19. kungfoodude
    So how would you tier that?
  20. kungfoodude
    Why didn't feast last year? Was it maybe due to the lack of another elite pass rusher being across from him? Is he just a guy that needs only elite players on the DL to produce at an elite level? Is he elite then? I will say other elite pass rushers don't seem to have the issue with producing like he does.
  21. kungfoodude
    I mean, I don't really think he is a starting QB. We are starting him at QB. Anthony Richardson was technically a starting QB. Justin Fields is technically a starting QB. The one common trait they share is that none of them are actually starting QB caliber.
  22. kungfoodude
    I disagree. He appeared to have 15 pounds of rocks attached to his brain. Andy has never been a great athlete and he is less so with age. He is typically fairly decisive and doesn't hold onto the ball too long. That was not Sunday. It looked as if Bryce Young's brain had inhabited Andy's decrepit body with the full confidence of Bryce at Alabama.
  23. kungfoodude
    You are misreading that table. The $12 mil is happening no matter what. That is fully guaranteed. $37 mil is the value of his total rookie contract without the option. The option would be $26.5 mil at the moment, but that number would likely rise. Currently: https://overthecap.com/fifth-year-option-projections
  24. kungfoodude
    The issue with that option is that it's going to be pretty pricey. $26.5ish mil is a tough pill to swallow for a non-starter. Doesn't have to be in the 1st either. I think this class will be pretty deep with #2 QB's.
  25. kungfoodude
    I think we have largely ignored a lot of red flags for Canales and excused them as "learning." Remember when Ron talked about reaching out to his mentors during his early tenure here? I question if Canales really has those resources to even draw upon.
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