KB_fan

Baldy did a bunch of breakdowns following the Texans game. Don't think they've been posted here yet. 8 different Tweets. I'll post all below, one each per comment to make replies easier..

I'll post more tomorrow....

Down goes another undefeated team! And then there were 5....!

Very excited to have Greg calling our game vs Dallas next week.

I'll see what I can find on this, but it may not be until after the Dallas game. I'm traveling for 4 days later this week.

There was a sack on 3rd down in the 1st half too. But yeah, no negative plays on 3rd down in 2nd half when you exclude the kneel.

Beginning my look at week 3 game log. Here's a summary of the Panthers performance on 3rd & 4th downs versus Houston: What really strikes me: 1) The success in converting some key 3rd & longs. (3/5 not counting a penalty play) 2) The efficiency of our drives - especially in the 2nd half. In the second half, not counting a kneel on the final drive of the game, we faced only four 3rd/4th downs and converted three of them (3/4 = 75%). Only FOUR 3rd/4th down attempts in 35 plays in the 2nd half!!! (Contrast that with 7 3rd/4th down attempts on 35 plays in the 1st half) Here's the summary table for week 3. Here are the details from the game log:

Tons of people had CMC in fantasy...

Sam. No question. He really did put the team on his back. Haason Reddick. Stablizing force on the D and for the team when things got very tough. You could see his leadership & maturity and hear it in his post-game presser. Huge plays. Not sure we would have won without him on the field. Just something about him. Wow. DJ Moore. All the man does is make clutch catches, especially on 3rd down. Such a weapon. Shout outs to the guys who stepped up. Tremble, Erikson, Chuba, Royce. And to Zane for making all the kicks, including some touchbacks. They were needed. For awhile the kicking was the margin of difference. Gave just enough cushion while we were reeling until the offense settled down again.

I didn't make predictions for either Jets or Saints games, so in order to stick with what's working, I'll refrain.

Absolutely. That Baldy clip 2 days ago showed just how great the coverage was and how it allowed the rush to totally stymie Jameis.

Nice.

I unsubscribed from Gamepass this season since I'm Stateside and don't need it to watch Panthers games. As far as I know the only All 22 that's available to folks right now is if you use a VPN and access international gamepass, but I haven't tried... Just seeing chatter about it on Twitter.

That reminds me, I saw a stat today that Panthers are the only team in the league to never play from behind this season. And the only team to keep opponents scoreless in the first half!

Too bad. We can only play the schedule we're given. Not our fault if it's "easy"

I can look that up later tonight if no one beats me to it. I'm about to sign off for a bit, but will be back on around 9 pm.

And some of these guys have years of experience running it under Snow at Temple & Baylor. I know we all groan and joke a bit about Rhule's love for his former players, but I think we're beginning to see why he did it... Anyone have a handy breakdown of how many Temple / Baylor players we have on offense vs. defense on the current roster? I can look later, but want to catch up on some other things first.

Horn & Bouye were a serious upgrade to our secondary for sure. But I think adding DaQuan was equally huge. He appears to be a big part of the reason why we've all of a sudden finally improved against the run after just STINKING in that for a few seasons.

Yeah, I think I saw that too. Basically talked about using one of our D line guys like you would use a pulling guard on the O line....

I hear you... and my history with the Panthers makes me cringe and prepare for the fall when we start getting hyped.... But still, gotta say, it's so fun this week to see heads exploding. You can practically see the reactions live as people look at the defensive stats. "Like WTH?!!!! Panthers are leading in EVERY MAJOR defensive stat? #1 in DVOA? How the H is this happening??!!!" So many analysts (not to mention opposing Offensive Coordinators) are now scrambling to try and figure out what is going on!! I'm here for the ride! Hope it's a long one all the way to the playoffs....!

I'd love to find data on how often teams are in 3rd & long, and what the conversion % is. I did some searching today, but I've not (yet) been able to find any site that provides data for the NFL on 3rd down by distance, e.g. to calculate how good teams are at converting 3rd & longs. If anyone has any leads on where to find that data, I'd love to know. I did find an article / site that tracked that for college football: https://staturdays.com/2021/01/14/comparing-third-down-conversion-rate-by-distance-to-go/ In 2020, the average college team converted 3rd & 7 / 3rd & 8 about 36% of the time, and 3rd & 9 or 3rd & 10 about 31% of the time. So far Panthers are converting 3rd and long (7 yards and longer) about 18% of the time. But it was widely uneven (0% Jets) (33% Saints). Panthers Defense is holding opposing defenses to 26% average conversion rate on 3rd & long. (38% Jets, 22% Saints).