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electro's horse

HUDDLER
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Everything posted by electro's horse

  1. Bryce is going to put up so many yards in the second half against this rams team.
  2. I just saw the Texas hit and honestly they need to ban jumping on these plays.
  3. Yeah another outlet talking about regression and how overall the panthers passing offense is anemic Though the Panthers’ pass game went berserk in Week 11 against a Falcons defense that has apparently given up on the 2025 season, they didn’t produce a ton of air yards. Their 293 air yards ranks 12th on the week. It was well above their season average but likely more an illusion than a sign of things to come. Carolina has the league’s second lowest pass rate over expected this season. Since Week 5 they are a rather stunning nine percent below their expected pass rate, by far the lowest in the NFL. I don’t think any Carolina pass catchers are reliable outside of Tetairoa McMillan. I’m probably not breaking any news there. https://www.nbcsports.com/fantasy/football/news/bryce-young-chris-olave-chase-brown-headline-week-12s-regression-files
  4. two torn ACLs in college he's playing on borrowed time
  5. It’s not meant to be predictive model, but there are a lot of people that take it into account. its value to me lies in its universality and how you can compare different teams across different years. and on a long enough timeline, everything regresses to the mean. That’s statistics.
  6. DVOA is just another way to rank the teams based on a ton different inputs. It's been tweaked throughout the years, but he always goes back and regrades teams so you're always using the same stat to compare teams. And it attempts to standardize everything to league average, so you're getting success play compared to what would happen on average in the league. https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/dvoa-explainer higher DVOA, better/more frequently the team is above average. Panthers are the second lowest team by DVOA to get to 6-5. The only worse team is the 2016 Brock Osweiler Texans. This means two things, generally 1. The Panthers aren't as good as their record: reality is coming and coming fast. This isn't a disney movie; they're not better than the sum of their parts. 2. Regression to the mean in 2026: 2016 texans went 9-7. 2017 went 4-12. It's very difficult to constantly pull poo out of your ass week after week, season after season. Hell, look at the Chiefs last year compared to this year.
  7. The panthers offense right now is spiritually the same as the 2010s Seahawks. They want to keep it close until the fourth quarter and then try to pull a rabbit out of their hat. instead of running marshawn into the line 30 times a game, we’re throwing 20 passes behind the line of scrimmage. And instead of Russell Wilson bullshit, we’re getting 20 yard drives to set up a 55 yard field goal. Also that team had multiple hall of famers and we’ve got the worst qb in the league by whatever collections of metrics you want to use
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