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Everything posted by shaka
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For a comparison, last years ranking: 1) Tua 2) Burrow 3) Jake Fromm 4) Jordan Love 5) Nate Stanley (Iowa) 6) Anthony Gordon (Wash. St.) 7) Jalen Hurts 8. Justin Herbert 9) Jacob Eason 10) Steven Montez (Colorado) Maybe not the best guy to go to for rankings. Excellent film breakdown though, very educational.
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For those looking for a summary: "To me there's enough on tape to say I would go after Sam Darnold if I was in a situation where I was unsure about my quarterback and I don't feel like I can get up to go and get one of these top guys." Pretty much spot on for the Panthers.
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Actually the Denver defense looks better yardage wise from playing teams ranked lower on average than the teams the Panthers played. Scoring wise we faced on average similar opponents, and that shows with only an 8 point differential there. Source:
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Waxing On, Waxing Off, and Waxing the Seattle Seahawks
shaka replied to PhillyB's topic in Carolina Panthers
I've never seen the Karate Kid (blasphemous I know) but...- 54 replies
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I'll admit I haven't watched any Seahawk games with a watchful eye except our showdown..but isn't that #1 scoring defense number a little 'inflated' so to speak. The Jimmy Claussen lead Bears, Lions, 49ers twice, the Jimmy Claussen lead Ravens, the Matt Cassel lead Cowboys, the Johnny Manziel lead Browns. Beating up on bad qbs in will decrease your points against average. Against good quarterbacks, Rodgers, Dalton, Newton, Palmer, Roethlisberger, your team is 2-4. We played Brees, Wilson, Luck, Rodgers, Ryan, Eli Manning, Romo and were 8-1 in those games.
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Well said. I wish this post would go viral like that Tennessee mom's letter. Sums up the situation perfectly.
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If we were thinking revenge for Philly then you know it's the same for Green Bay. Once again, I have faith that Ron, TD, Luke, Greg and Cam will gently remind everyone what happened last year. This is the final stop on the revenge tour.
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No one said Lee Ward yet? I'm disappointed in you huddle. I'm interested in the following: Lee Ward Oher Brockel One of those is our biggest question mark and the other two can play an integral part in helping said question mark.
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Top 5 fullbacks from last season according to Bleacher Report and how the Punisher measures up: 5) James Develin, Patriots: 40 time: 5.02 Height/weight: 6'3" 255 Couldn't find bench press info 4) Kyle Juszcyk, Ravens: 40 time: 4.72 Height/Weight: 6'1" 248 24 reps on the bench press 3) Bruce Miller, 49ers: 40 time: 4.99 Height/Weight: 6'1" 254 35 reps on the bench press 2) Henry Hynoski, Giants: 40 time: 5.06 Height/Weight: 6'1" 260 24 reps on the bench press 1) Anthony Sherman, Chiefs: 40 time: 4.75 Height/Weight: 5'10" 242 32 reps on the bench press Lee 'the Punisher' Ward 40 time: 4.89 Height/Weight: 6' 250 (Some have him listed at 5'11" others at 6'1". I heard no one has gotten close enough to actually measure him without getting pancaked) 35 reps on the bench press As you can see, physically he most compares to Bruce Miller. Personally I love the idea of a true fullback and the I-formation. I know there are more important things going on, but this is the most interesting thing for me this summer. Way too often I dream of something like this: A third and short, I-formation with Ward and Tolbert. The ball is snapped and all the WRs begin their 26 yard digs. Ward runs through the line, hits a linebacker in the mouth (killing him in the process and accidentally impregnating his wife) and then runs out to the flat. Cam fakes it to Tolbert, and then rolls out. The routes are still developing and the defender in the flat has a decision, and either way it's wrong. He panics, rushes Cam who tosses a lob to Ward for the easiest third and short we've ever converted with Shula. But then I wake up, realize it's August and just hope he makes the practice squad.
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I said it in another topic: All aboard the Lee Ward hype train, the punisher express. We'll be making no stops, and running everything over in our path.
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I work with math and models (not the Igo kind, the nerd kind) occasionally at my job. Here are my issues with this article: Uses Pro Football Reference's Approximate Value statistic as a be-all end-all metric. Then immediately from the description of Approximate Value: "AV is not meant to be a be-all end-all metric. Football stat lines just do not come close to capturing all the contributions of a player the way they do in baseball and basketball." Does not account for team depth by choosing relatively random players. The top 4 front seven? Really? Why not the top 7 front seven? Does not account for injuriesRookies have the same value as backups. That means Devin Funchess has the same value right now as Jason Avant or Marcus Lucas? Ran linear regression with last years data for Elo ratings and found a high correlation which means fart noises pfffffffffffffffttttttttttttttt who caresNo seriously the last point is where statistically he's correct but logically he's really flawed. Naturally you want to test your model against historical data, but the results aren't really surprising. It's highly correlated...it should be! He's taking the final AV of players (which accounts for team success in some way) and is saying teams with the most AV win more. The more successful teams are successful? Well...yes, its right there in the definition of AV. Using it to project forward is essentially worthless, especially when you're cherry picking your observations. If he did this based on the entire offensive or defensive rosters and came up with projected rankings I would consider it a little more but it's nothing more than a July fluff piece with some statistical bologna thrown in there. Not shitting on the guys statistics, they seem to be pretty sound, but the lack of common sense in the application is hard to swallow.
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​Honestly this is the reason I didn't hesitate when it came to going All-Pro. I don't post. I don't contribute. But I spend hours each day reading quality information here that's so good I felt bad about getting it for free. This place is great, and has been my main time sink since I found it years ago. So..Yes..Thank you for what you do, it is greatly appreciated.
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