MasterAwesome
HUDDLER-
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Everything posted by MasterAwesome
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Did you pack that in your carry-on?
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I don't know, ask the guy I quoted who was invoking Russell Wilson's injury history (or lack thereof) as a cautionary tale for Young. What I do know though, is that it sounds awfully cowardly to forego a better prospect (which is majority widespread belief, whether or not you would like to admit it) at the most important position in the NFL because he might get injured at some point. Having the 1st overall pick and settling for a lesser prospect is something I'm surprised people are advocating for, given how outspoken everyone is in here about a franchise "mired in mediocrity". There are two types of people in the world: Chad Riverboat Rons, and Virgin Calculated Risk Taker Rons. I'm proud to be Team Riverboat...you feel free to stay comfortable and complacent in the latter category.
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I mean, if you want to bring up the Russell Wilson comparison...are we saying we could get 9 full healthy seasons out of Bryce Young and have him miss 5 games total in his entire 11-season career? That sounds awesome, sign me up. That's a strange comparison to reference if you're trying to highlight injury concerns.
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Um actually....it clearly says there that it's the 2021 draft, so two years ago. (just teasing and being "pedantic" since someone called you that the other day lol)
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You've had such a weird character arc....you used to be the poster boy for the resident sunshine-pumping homer, who would rail against the whininess on these boards. You've always been pretty cringey but I at least respected you for staying hopeful and going against the grain when things were rough for the Panthers. Now you've rebranded from iamhubby to Gerry Green and became the very archetype of a whiny Huddler that you used to constantly argue with. The kicker is that you're having this philosophical existential crisis on the heels of the most exciting offseason for a Panthers fan in at least 5-6 years.
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CJ Stroud: I’m a football player, not a test taker
MasterAwesome replied to NAS's topic in Carolina Panthers
Yeah it's funny how people learn new things and integrate it into their understanding of the world. -
I don't watch UNC football (despite being an alum), but statistically speaking, the last 4 games of the season were his worst 4 games by virtually every metric. He seemed to start off sizzling hot and then fell off towards the end of the season. Not sure if he was injured or he lost a bunch of receivers/o-line or what, but that's a bit of a discouraging trend to end the season. Bryce Young on the other hand, doesn't seem to have really had a statistically "bad" game dating back the last two seasons, other than perhaps the UGA championship game last year where he threw for 369 yards, 1 TD, and 2 INTs. Maye has had a very promising start to his career, but I still think he's TBD to see if he can play an entire season at a high level, whereas Young has proven that.
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If a team sits tight and waits for a supposed Franchise QB to hopefully drop to them, as opposed to trading up to get their guy, that doesn't inspire a lot of confidence about their belief in those prospects. If you think a guy is a franchise QB, you don't sit and wait and hope that he drops...you go get him.
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I understand entertaining this hypothetical as a fan, but I think it'd be incredibly irresponsible for an actual NFL FO to forego their top choice at QB this year and trade down because "hey that Houston pick is probably going to be top 2 next year". The NFL is too much of a crapshoot. Going into the 2022 season, I think most people considered teams like the Lions, Seahawks, Jets, Giants, Commanders, and Jaguars to be bottom-feeders...but they all were either playoff teams or in the playoff run late in the season. On the other hand, teams like the Bucs, Rams, Packers, and Broncos were considered potential powerhouses going into the season and they all struggled significantly.
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If you're modeling the relationship between two variables (i.e. weight and injury risk, in this case), then it doesn't really matter if you're encountering a new data point that is the lowest on record (i.e. Bryce Young's size). Your model doesn't suddenly crash and burn and become invalidated. In the simplest terms, I'm sure once upon a time you've heard of the formula Y = mx + b. Y is your dependent variable (injury risk), m is your slope (basically how impactful weight is for injury risk), x is your independent variable (weight), and b is a constant. So if there is truly a statistically significant correlation between weight and injury risk, then even if Bryce Young was 40 pounds, you can still plug that into your model and determine the injury risk. It's very basic statistical analysis/linear regression. Also even if there was never a sub-200 pound QB in the history of the league, you can still determine if there's a correlation between size and injury risk. Do 200 pound QBs get more injured than 220 pound QBs, who get more injured than 240 pound QBs?
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Bryce Young Film Breakdown Megathread
MasterAwesome replied to Ricky Spanish's topic in Carolina Panthers
I've noticed the "Bryce Young fans are intolerant" camp has been awfully quiet while their boy is in here going an absolute unhinged tirade. -
I don't even know about "smart" agents, it's just common sense IMO. Like I mentioned earlier, what prospect would go into the Combine having never attempted a 40-yard dash? So what's different about this test where these prospects are apparently going into this S2 never having taken it before, knowing full well it's part of the evaluation? Maybe S2 has never really been on these kids' radar for the most part, but it sure as hell is now.
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Yeah it's more just me trying to understand why people use that argument to diminish Young. "Oh of course he scored well, he's been taking it every year since High School!". Either it's really hard to improve your score, thus him taking it multiple times has a negligible impact...or taking the test repeatedly does have an impact on your score, thus all the other QBs are foolish for not putting in the effort to practice taking this exam leading up to the draft.
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There has been a lot of chatter about Bryce Young having taken this test every year since HS or w/e, but I'd have to imagine every one of these aspiring NFL QBs has taken this test multiple times before the official registered one, no? Why would you want your first time taking the test to be the official one that gets released to NFL teams? That'd be nuts. It would be akin to knowing you're running the 40 at the Combine and being like "whatever let's just see what happens, I don't need to try it beforehand". Is this exam something that's not accessible to most of these QBs? Like Bryce had some special "in" to be able to take it all these years ahead of time?
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Long & Rangy- The Panthers Prototype?
MasterAwesome replied to Bear Hands's topic in Carolina Panthers
Yeah that makes sense. To your point about a league-wide baseline: I wonder how much disparity there truly is at the end of the day between the 32 teams when it comes to their ideal prototype at positions like LB & DB. Because I always find myself nodding along when our FO is speaking about what traits they look for in a player (length & athleticism in this case for LBs, edge rushers, DBs) - it resonates with us because it makes a lot of sense, right? Well, making a lot of sense is what also makes me think every other team in the league is basically going to be prioritizing the exact same attributes lol. Just like long arms is a league wide baseline for OTs, I imagine long arms and athleticism are very much sought-after for DBs and pass rushers as well. You can say maybe some FOs will value intelligence over athleticism, but I remember an earlier presser this offseason where we were all excited about our FO saying they were looking for "smart" players. So if you extract everything our coaching staff has said that they value, then it appears we're essentially looking for uber athletic, very smart, skilled players sounds good, sign me up! Appreciate all the work you put in on this content. Helps me learn about new prospects, as someone who doesn't watch college football. -
Long & Rangy- The Panthers Prototype?
MasterAwesome replied to Bear Hands's topic in Carolina Panthers
Is this really any different than our approach the last few years under Rhule? He constantly went after extremely athletic high RAS players, and we know how he felt about short arms... -
The difference between Bryce guys and CJ guys, is it seems like Bryce guys are hardcore all in on their guy...whereas the majority of posts from the CJ camp are more anti-Bryce than they are pro-CJ. I rarely see arguments for why we should pick CJ, but rather arguments for why we should not pick Bryce. May seem like a subtle difference, but one camp seems to believe in their guy much more than the other camp believes in their guy. I was leaning more heavily towards CJ over the last couple months as someone who doesn't watch a lick of college football (he just seems to check a lot of boxes), but when his own fans barely have anything nice to say about him other than "Bryce Young small", then it gives me a lot more pause lol.
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Yeah I get that, it's very possible the Panthers have a clear favorite. But the guy I quoted is basically saying Stroud is superior to Young in every single way possible. If that were true, you'd think public perception would even remotely reflect that, not only among media (who I know are flawed in their evaluations and often just piggyback off of what's trendy), but from actual scouts who evaluate prospects for a living. Instead, it seems like Young and Stroud are very much neck and neck by all accounts. I know I know, poor choice of expression...Bryce Young is tiny yadda yadda lol. The consensus seems to be that Stroud has his strengths and weaknesses, and Young has his strengths and weaknesses, hence why there's a genuine debate about which is objectively the better prospect. It'd be like if the narrative leading up to the 2021 draft was like "Who the heck are the Jaguars going to take?! Trevor Lawrence or Justin Fields??" when everyone knew they were taking Lawrence aside from a hot take here or there. If there's a QB prospect who is superior in virtually every way, then manufacturing an air of mystery surrounding which QB will be taken #1 overall would just come across as silly and cringe.
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So Stroud is the better QB, better fit, bigger, taller, stronger, better arm, etc. - how is there even a debate for the first overall pick? Something doesn’t really add up.
